Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.2 319
Results Rating -8.7 308
Pace 69.3 158
Improvement +1.9 111

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 228 D+ C- C+ C+ C-
Defense F+ 357 D- F+ D+ B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 237 D 52% 321 -3.5 301
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 123 C+ 40% 114 +1.5 97
Three Pointers 40% 203 D+ 32% 269 -1.6 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 251 D+ -3.2 297
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 297
Second Chance D+ 27.0% 277 B- 1.08 103 C- 0.29 217
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 121
Freethrows C- 0.29 227 A- 79% 6 C+ 0.23 136
Total Offense C- -1.9 228

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 237 F+ 14.9% 343
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 103 B- 3.7% 82
Three Pointers D 77% 321 F 2.3% 360
Total D+ 52% 263 D- 7.3% 329

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 148 D 63% 318 +2.8 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 210 D 42% 314 +0.3 215
Three Pointers 41% 179 D- 38% 342 +2.6 305
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 217 F+ +5.3 350
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 340
Second Chance F 37.0% 356 D 1.11 298 F+ 0.41 355
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 294
Freethrows B+ 0.25 24 D- 75% 328 B 0.19 50
Total Defense F+ -8.2 357

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 61% 357 D- 6.4% 340
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 45% 361 D 2.4% 315
Three Pointers C- 86% 246 D+ 0.4% 284
Total F+ 67% 354 D- 3.2% 344

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 219 16.5 44
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 297 0.18 222
Improvement +0.5 #155 +1.4 #104

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 334 322 310
Results Rating Rank 328 306 283
Conference Record 8 - 12 9 - 11 10 - 10
Conference Finish 10 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 8% 43% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 56 @USC L 83 - 114 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 F -18 C+ +3 C+ D- A- F -17 C+ F D
 Wed, Nov 12 189 Utah Tech W 79 - 75 21% +3  77% 1 - 1 C+ +2 B+ +8 B+ B+ D- D -6 B+ F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 119 @Hawaii L 56 - 86 7% -15  1% 1 - 2 F -24 F -14 D+ F C- F+ -9 C F F
 Sat, Nov 15 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 73 88% +5  85% 2 - 2 F+ -16 C+ +3 B- B+ F+ F -18 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 34 @Texas A&M L 68 - 109 1% -21  0% 2 - 3 F -24 D -4 B F D F -17 F C- F+
 Wed, Nov 26 320 Wagner L 101 - 103 OT 62% +8  85% 2 - 4 F+ -15 B+ +9 C A- B F -24 F F D+
 Sat, Nov 29 338 @Army L 78 - 81 OT 45% -3  9% 2 - 5 D- -12 D- -7 F C+ C+ D -5 F C- B
 Fri, Dec 5 264 Fairfield W 70 - 66 45% +4  86% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -5 F -13 F+ F F A +8 B+ C+ A
 Sun, Dec 7 181 @Marist L 68 - 80 14% -3  15% 3 - 6 1 - 1 D -10 D- -6 C- F C C- -3 C- F+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 155 @Fordham L 53 - 82 11% -11  0% 3 - 7 F -26 F -13 F D+ B F -15 F F C+
 Thu, Dec 18 175 Furman L 68 - 75 28% -2  18% 3 - 8 D -11 D- -8 D+ C- D- D+ -3 D D- A
 Sun, Dec 21 277 Presbyterian W 87 - 81 47% +3  63% 4 - 8 C- -4 B +6 A- D A F -10 D F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 356 @Rider W 74 - 71 57% -2  10% 5 - 8 2 - 1 D -9 C- -2 F C+ D+ D- -7 D+ F C+
 Fri, Jan 2 192 Quinnipiac W 80 - 79 31% -8  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 B F B D- -7 C+ F A-
 Sun, Jan 4 160 @Merrimack L 66 - 73 12% -4  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 C- -4 D+ -3 D+ F A+ C -1 F B+ D
 Fri, Jan 9 344 Canisius L 64 - 70 69% +1  49% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -21 F -13 F+ F D+ F+ -9 D+ D- F
 Sun, Jan 11 336 Niagara W 79 - 70 67% -1  43% 7 - 10 4 - 3 D+ -6 A- +10 F A+ A+ F -14 F B- D
 Wed, Jan 14 264 @Fairfield L 62 - 98 24% -20  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F -39 F -18 F D- D- F -20 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 191 Siena L 59 - 74 31% -12  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -20 F -12 F D- A- F+ -9 F B- B
 Mon, Jan 19 192 @Quinnipiac L 92 - 98 OT 15% +1  44% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D+ -5 B+ +8 C C+ A- F -13 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 249 @Iona L 57 - 66 21% -8  0% 7 - 14 4 - 7 D -11 F -14 F D C- B- +2 C C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 356 Rider W 95 - 90 77% +2  72% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D- -13 A+ +15 A C- B F -27 F F F
 Sun, Feb 1 284 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 72 28% -4  1% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D -11 D -5 F B+ B- D -6 A F D
 Thu, Feb 5 235 St. Peter's L 75 - 80 38% -7  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 D- -12 B +7 D A+ C+ F -20 C F F
 Sat, Feb 7 286 Sacred Heart W 80 - 68 51% -2  28% 9 - 16 6 - 9 C +2 D -4 D- F B+ B+ +6 A- C- D-
 Fri, Feb 13 336 @Niagara W 76 - 69 44% +5  85% 10 - 16 7 - 9 C- -2 B- +5 C+ B C- D -6 F A D+
 Sun, Feb 15 344 @Canisius W 69 - 65 47% +6  76% 11 - 16 8 - 9 D+ -5 D+ -3 F A+ B- C- -2 D A F
 Fri, Feb 20 181 Marist L 70 - 84 29% -7  25% 11 - 17 8 - 10 F -18 B- +4 C- A+ B- F -23 F F F+
 Fri, Feb 27 235 @St. Peter's L 69 - 78 19%
 Sun, Mar 1 249 Iona L 77 - 79 42%
Totals 12 - 18 9 - 11 -10 C- -2 D+ D+ C- F+ -8 D+ A- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D C+ D+ D+ 37% 42% 40% C- D+ D+ B- C- C+ C- A- C+ F+ D D D- F+ 40% 19% 41% C- D- F D F+ D+ B+ D- B
1.06 52% 40% 32% -3 0 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 16% .29 79% .23 1.20 63% 42% 38% +5 0 1.13 37% 1.1 .41 15% .25 75% .22
Nov
9		 USC C+ F+ A+ D+ C 42% 19% 38% B- C+ D+ F D- A- A+ B+ A+ F D A+ D- C+ 48% 23% 30% D+ C+ F F F D D+ D+ D
1.01 45% 60% 30% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.7 .17 15% .51 81% .41 1.39 66% 21% 39% +2 0 1.07 52% 1.3 .65 15% .46 75% .34
Nov
12		 Utah Tech B+ C- C+ A+ B 52% 17% 30% B- B+ B+ B- B+ D- A A+ A+ D A- C C+ B+ 38% 15% 46% D+ B+ F D+ F F+ D+ A+ C+
1.22 58% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 19% .38 85% .32 1.16 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 43% 1.0 .43 12% .26 60% .16
Nov
14		 Hawaii F D F A+ D 57% 25% 19% B- D+ F F F C- B- F D- F+ B+ A+ F C 55% 13% 32% D- C F D- F F D- C- D-
0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17 1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30
Nov
15		 Mississippi Valley C+ A A+ C+ B- 27% 12% 61% C- B- A D B+ F+ A+ A- A+ F C F A- F 27% 43% 31% B- F F F F C- B+ F D+
1.25 73% 60% 36% +8 0 1.20 48% 1.2 .56 20% .62 81% .51 1.14 54% 62% 27% +6 -4 1.06 35% 1.8 .61 20% .21 100% .21
Nov
21		 Texas A&M D C D A+ B 37% 24% 39% C- B F F F D B F D+ F F A- F F 44% 5% 52% D+ F A+ F C- F+ A- C- B+
0.91 56% 33% 42% +3 -1 1.06 19% 0.7 .14 21% .32 58% .19 1.46 74% 33% 47% +17 +2 1.40 25% 1.4 .36 11% .26 76% .20
Nov
26		 Wagner B+ F A+ A+ C+ 37% 23% 40% D- C B B+ A- B A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 60% 12% 29% F F F B F D+ F D F
1.30 33% 54% 48% +3 0 1.07 36% 1.2 .43 12% .51 77% .39 1.33 65% 50% 60% +16 +3 1.40 48% 0.9 .45 18% .42 74% .31
Nov
29		 Army D- C- F F F 34% 22% 44% D+ F F A+ C+ C+ F A+ D D B A+ F F 45% 9% 47% D F C D+ C- B A+ F A
1.05 60% 23% 27% -7 0 0.86 23% 1.8 .40 14% .27 88% .23 1.10 50% 0% 48% +3 +2 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 20% .10 100% .10
Dec
5		 Fairfield F D- A+ F F 52% 12% 36% B- F+ D- F F F A- A- A A B- D A+ B 25% 28% 47% A B+ F A+ C+ A A+ F A
0.97 50% 50% 28% -6 +2 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 21% .37 81% .30 0.91 50% 44% 26% -6 -2 0.86 43% 0.7 .28 21% .12 86% .10
Dec
7		 Marist D- F+ C- B C 35% 33% 33% D C- F F F C B B+ B+ C- D+ D A- C+ 35% 15% 50% F C- F B- F+ D+ C+ A+ B
0.90 50% 35% 35% -3 -2 0.92 20% 0.5 .10 19% .39 75% .29 1.06 62% 44% 27% -3 0 0.97 36% 1.1 .38 16% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Fordham F F C- F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F F A+ D+ B F A+ D+ F C+ F F+ F 36% 29% 35% B+ F F B F C+ A+ D- A+
0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16 1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06
Dec
18		 Furman D- A C- F C- 28% 30% 43% F+ D+ B- D- C- D- B- D+ C+ D+ C F+ D D 42% 8% 50% D- D F C+ D- A C+ A+ A+
0.98 67% 38% 26% -3 -2 0.93 33% 0.9 .29 17% .28 69% .19 1.08 62% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.14 39% 0.9 .36 24% .27 36% .10
Dec
21		 Presbyterian B A A B A- 42% 15% 44% C+ A- D+ D- D A B- C+ B- F C+ B F D 46% 20% 34% D- D F+ D+ F+ F+ A+ F A
1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22 1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15
Dec
29		 Rider C- F A+ C- F 40% 17% 43% D F B+ D C+ D+ A+ A A+ D- B- C B- C- 44% 22% 34% F D+ F D F C+ C+ A B
1.13 32% 75% 35% -4 +1 0.96 41% 0.9 .36 15% .49 78% .38 1.08 50% 36% 29% -6 0 0.90 45% 1.0 .45 18% .24 62% .15
Jan
2		 Quinnipiac C+ C A+ C B+ 40% 23% 38% D+ B D- F F B C- A+ B+ D- F A+ D C- 26% 38% 36% A+ C+ F+ F F A- A+ F B-
1.12 57% 58% 35% +5 0 1.11 26% 0.7 .18 15% .26 94% .25 1.10 71% 20% 37% -2 -3 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 21% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Merrimack D+ F A+ F D+ 51% 28% 21% C D+ F F+ F A+ F A+ F C F F A- F 41% 8% 51% D F A C B+ D C A+ B+
0.98 41% 56% 25% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.8 .26 13% .14 88% .12 1.09 75% 50% 28% +3 +2 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 13% .34 65% .22
Jan
9		 Canisius F C+ F B- D- 36% 28% 36% D- F+ F+ F F D+ F A+ F+ F+ D+ D+ A D+ 42% 29% 29% C+ D+ F C+ D- F D+ F F
0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16 1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26
Jan
11		 Niagara A- C F F F 44% 29% 27% D+ F B- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 49% 9% 43% F+ F F+ A+ B- D A F B+
1.31 60% 31% 25% -5 -1 0.91 37% 1.7 .63 8% .38 90% .34 1.16 52% 75% 50% +10 +2 1.28 28% 0.5 .14 17% .14 86% .12
Jan
14		 Fairfield F F C F F 40% 26% 34% F+ F F+ D+ D- D- A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 34% 25% 41% B- F C- F+ D- D+ F A- F+
0.86 40% 38% 18% -15 -1 0.70 23% 1.0 .23 18% .41 79% .32 1.36 68% 57% 48% +17 -1 1.34 34% 1.1 .38 14% .36 64% .23
Jan
17		 Siena F F A+ F F 31% 19% 50% C F F+ D+ D- A- F+ D- F+ F+ C D+ F F 35% 22% 43% D+ F D+ A B- B A+ A+ A+
0.94 44% 60% 23% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.9 .22 13% .22 67% .15 1.18 59% 45% 57% +17 0 1.35 32% 0.8 .25 19% .06 33% .02
Jan
19		 Quinnipiac B+ F D+ A+ C 47% 22% 32% C C C B- C+ A- B+ A+ A+ F C+ D- F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F F F F C- F B F
1.15 46% 31% 47% -1 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .36 14% .33 91% .30 1.22 55% 42% 43% +4 0 1.11 44% 1.3 .59 16% .48 66% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Iona F F A+ F F 34% 19% 47% C- F D D+ D C- C+ A+ B B- F+ C- B- C- 26% 21% 53% B+ C F A+ C+ C+ D D- D-
0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22 1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23
Jan
30		 Rider A+ B+ F A+ A 37% 10% 53% C- A D+ C C- B A A+ A+ F F B- F F 48% 23% 29% F F F F F F F C+ F
1.41 67% 20% 50% +14 +1 1.33 31% 1.0 .31 12% .37 95% .35 1.34 68% 33% 40% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .45 9% .49 67% .33
Feb
1		 Mount St. Mary's D F A+ F F 25% 17% 58% C- F D+ A+ B+ B- F A+ F+ D A B A- A 40% 21% 38% B+ A F F F D B F D-
0.99 46% 56% 23% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.5 .39 12% .23 85% .19 1.10 47% 30% 28% -10 0 0.83 39% 1.6 .64 20% .27 93% .25
Feb
5		 St. Peter's B D+ A- F+ D+ 27% 22% 51% D- D A A- A+ C+ A+ A- A+ F B F A+ C 38% 22% 40% C- C F D- F F C+ F C-
1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42 1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26
Feb
7		 Sacred Heart D D- B- C D- 39% 21% 40% D+ D- F D F B+ B+ A+ A+ B+ D A- A+ A- 30% 20% 50% C+ A- B+ F C- D- B F B-
1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29 0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20
Feb
13		 Niagara B- A+ F A+ B 27% 29% 44% F+ C+ D A+ B C- D- A D+ D F F B- F 43% 15% 41% C- F A- A+ A D+ F+ F F
1.20 77% 14% 48% +7 -2 1.13 29% 1.4 .42 16% .24 85% .21 1.09 75% 57% 32% +9 +1 1.22 16% 0.5 .08 17% .31 81% .25
Feb
15		 Canisius D+ F D- B+ F 46% 26% 28% D+ F C- A+ A+ B- A+ F B C- F A- A+ D- 33% 27% 39% B- D B- A+ A F C+ F F+
1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25 1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25
Feb
20		 Marist B- C- A+ F C- 35% 26% 39% C- C- B+ A+ A+ B- B+ A A F D- F F F 36% 30% 34% C+ F F F F F+ D D+ D-
1.09 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.91 35% 1.5 .55 17% .41 77% .32 1.31 65% 57% 44% +13 -1 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 14% .29 81% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 1.8 1.8 6th
7th 5.7 5.2 10.9 7th
8th 22.7 1.4 24.1 8th
9th 15.5 14.4 29.9 9th
10th 32.0 1.3 33.4 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 47.5 44.2 8.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 8.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.3
9-11 44.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 44.1
8-12 47.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 47.4
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 32.5%