Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#279
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#222
Pace70.4#143
Improvement+1.2#106

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#183
First Shot+1.2#139
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#292
Layup/Dunks-2.7#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#79
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+2.3#46

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#341
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#349
Layups/Dunks-4.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#95
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement-1.0#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.1% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 49.6% 63.8% 38.4%
.500 or above in Conference 54.9% 69.3% 43.5%
Conference Champion 4.8% 8.0% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.6% 1.5% 7.0%
First Four2.0% 2.2% 1.8%
First Round4.3% 5.9% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 44.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 32 - 5
Quad 412 - 1015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 49-79 2%     0 - 1 -11.0 -14.4 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2024 178   Fordham W 78-76 40%     1 - 1 -1.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2024 333   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 82-85 53%     1 - 2 -10.2 +5.1 -15.3
  Nov 22, 2024 312   Army W 80-79 69%     2 - 2 -10.5 -0.6 -9.9
  Nov 26, 2024 92   @ Virginia L 65-74 9%     2 - 3 -0.4 +8.6 -10.2
  Nov 29, 2024 332   Le Moyne L 77-81 74%     2 - 4 -17.2 -6.1 -10.8
  Dec 06, 2024 206   @ St. Peter's W 70-67 24%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +3.9 +1.1 +2.8
  Dec 08, 2024 231   Marist L 75-82 51%     3 - 5 1 - 1 -13.7 +3.1 -17.1
  Dec 18, 2024 307   @ Wagner W 80-66 45%     4 - 5 +8.9 +18.0 -7.6
  Dec 21, 2024 268   @ Presbyterian W 86-81 OT 36%     5 - 5 +2.2 +7.1 -5.1
  Jan 03, 2025 304   @ Siena L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 05, 2025 303   @ Rider L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 10, 2025 234   Mount St. Mary's W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 12, 2025 195   @ Merrimack L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 320   Niagara W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 23, 2025 297   Fairfield W 79-75 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 31, 2025 247   Iona W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 02, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 206   St. Peter's L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 14, 2025 195   Merrimack L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 16, 2025 297   @ Fairfield L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 21, 2025 247   @ Iona L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 23, 2025 249   Quinnipiac W 79-78 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 353   @ Canisius W 77-74 62%    
  Mar 02, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 72-73 49%    
  Mar 06, 2025 295   Sacred Heart W 80-76 64%    
  Mar 08, 2025 304   Siena W 73-69 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.6 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.8 0.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.3 1.7 0.1 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 2.7 0.2 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 5.9 8.9 11.1 13.3 13.7 12.7 10.6 7.9 5.2 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 94.8% 0.4    0.4 0.1
16-4 81.6% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 54.0% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 23.2% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 31.7% 31.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 22.9% 22.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.4% 22.4% 22.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.1
15-5 2.8% 18.4% 18.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.3
14-6 5.2% 15.5% 15.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 4.4
13-7 7.9% 12.0% 12.0% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.0
12-8 10.6% 9.0% 9.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 9.6
11-9 12.7% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 12.0
10-10 13.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 13.3
9-11 13.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.0
8-12 11.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.9
7-13 8.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.8
6-14 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
5-15 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 94.6 0.0%