N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#333
Expected Predictive Rating-15.1#352
Pace76.6#20
Improvement-2.4#293

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#301
First Shot-4.0#292
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#241
Layup/Dunks-1.6#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#268
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement-1.4#271

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#339
First Shot-4.5#313
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#305
Layups/Dunks-5.4#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#111
Freethrows-1.0#260
Improvement-1.0#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 89.5% 71.8% 90.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 121 - 16
Quad 44 - 105 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 58   @ Wake Forest L 64-80 3%     0 - 1 -3.8 -8.3 +6.6
  Nov 12, 2024 124   @ George Washington L 80-85 8%     0 - 2 -0.4 +4.4 -4.5
  Nov 17, 2024 358   @ The Citadel W 82-73 53%     1 - 2 -2.6 +4.6 -7.3
  Nov 20, 2024 329   Morgan St. W 86-83 58%     2 - 2 -10.0 -5.5 -4.8
  Nov 25, 2024 342   @ Buffalo L 81-82 44%     2 - 3 -10.3 -5.3 -4.9
  Nov 29, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 69-93 10%     2 - 4 -20.7 -1.0 -20.1
  Dec 03, 2024 287   @ Hampton L 71-82 27%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -15.4 -5.9 -9.2
  Dec 07, 2024 159   UNC Greensboro L 55-67 20%     2 - 6 -14.1 -13.7 -1.5
  Dec 12, 2024 118   @ Virginia Tech L 67-95 8%     2 - 7 -22.9 -10.2 -10.4
  Dec 14, 2024 90   @ Liberty L 74-83 5%     2 - 8 -0.3 +5.7 -5.8
  Dec 17, 2024 309   Coastal Carolina L 68-73 50%     2 - 9 -16.0 -9.3 -6.8
  Dec 21, 2024 43   @ Arkansas L 67-95 2%     2 - 10 -13.9 -1.7 -10.5
  Dec 28, 2024 295   NC Central W 85-72 46%     3 - 10 +3.2 +9.7 -5.9
  Jan 02, 2025 175   Elon L 67-75 23%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -11.2 -0.3 -11.9
  Jan 04, 2025 195   Drexel L 59-68 26%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -13.1 -13.2 +0.0
  Jan 09, 2025 232   Delaware L 88-98 34%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -16.6 -5.8 -9.2
  Jan 11, 2025 208   @ William & Mary L 78-81 15%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -2.9 -3.6 +0.9
  Jan 16, 2025 253   Monmouth L 63-72 38%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -16.8 -11.7 -5.5
  Jan 20, 2025 287   Hampton L 73-74 44%     3 - 16 0 - 7 -10.4 +1.4 -11.9
  Jan 23, 2025 160   @ Towson L 67-83 10%     3 - 17 0 - 8 -13.1 +0.1 -13.9
  Jan 25, 2025 318   @ Stony Brook L 74-89 34%     3 - 18 0 - 9 -21.7 -2.4 -19.6
  Jan 30, 2025 117   UNC Wilmington L 59-83 15%     3 - 19 0 - 10 -23.7 -11.4 -13.9
  Feb 06, 2025 131   @ College of Charleston L 75-90 7%    
  Feb 10, 2025 178   @ Campbell L 67-80 11%    
  Feb 13, 2025 175   @ Elon L 68-81 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 131   College of Charleston L 77-87 19%    
  Feb 20, 2025 178   Campbell L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 318   Stony Brook W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 27, 2025 206   @ Northeastern L 72-83 14%    
  Mar 01, 2025 174   @ Hofstra L 63-76 11%    
Projected Record 5 - 25 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.2 12th
13th 2.4 9.2 8.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 22.9 13th
14th 18.1 33.5 19.1 4.7 0.3 75.7 14th
Total 18.1 36.0 28.3 12.9 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 12.9% 12.9
2-16 28.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.3
1-17 36.0% 36.0
0-18 18.1% 18.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 13.8%