Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.7 #298
Expected Predictive Rating -8.9 #304
Pace 69.1 #186
Improvement -1.6 #275

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #293 D+ D+ D C C+
Defense #270 C D- C C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #213 1.08 #267 -2.1 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #264 0.66 #285 -2.2 #286
Three Pointers 46% #79 0.95 #254 +1.4 #129
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #261 -3.0 #260
Freethrows 15.9 #263 78% #35 12.4 #192
Second Chance 27.1% #278 1.02 #221 0.28 #273
Turnovers 18.6% #295
Total Offense -4.5 #293

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #38 1.11 #117 -2.2 #255
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #185 0.81 #271 -0.5 #222
Three Pointers 36% #315 1.04 #224 +2.2 #106
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #190 -0.5 #191
Freethrows 18.8 #258 71% #112 13.3 #134
Second Chance 34.6% #309 1.14 #292 0.39 #325
Turnovers 16.9% #167
Total Defense -3.2 #270

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #131 0.9% #262
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.8% #288 0.1% #179
Possession Length 17.4 #179 16.9 #128
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #156 0.15 #92
Improvement -3.1 #344 +1.5 #81

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.9% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 22.0% 37.7% 15.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 26.1% 14.4% 30.6%
First Four2.0% 2.4% 1.8%
First Round1.3% 2.0% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Home) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 46 - 88 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 54 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 4%  -9  0 - 1 -11 -9 F C- D- +3 A+ F A
 Wed, Nov 12 81 Tulsa L 87 - 88 14%  +2  0 - 2 +3 +10 A+ C A- -6 A+ C- B
 Sat, Nov 15 73 Belmont L 60 - 83 12%  -6  0 - 3 -18 -16 F F C -0 C+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 48 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 3%  -19  0 - 4 -10 +2 D- A+ F -12 C+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 189 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 20%  -0  0 - 5 -4 +8 A+ C+ F -12 F F C
 Tue, Nov 25 162 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 24%  -1  1 - 5 +8 +10 A+ F F -3 C C+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 245 Rice L 62 - 81 39%  -10  1 - 6 -24 -5 F A+ D+ -21 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 212 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 23%  -17  1 - 7 -26 -12 D F F -13 F B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 153 Montana St. W 72 - 68 32%  -6  2 - 7 +1 +5 D+ D+ D- -3 D+ B+ A+
 Tue, Dec 16 192 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 21%  -2  2 - 8 -0 -3 F D C +3 C A C-
 Thu, Dec 18 44 @TCU L 53 - 72 3%  -15  2 - 9 -4 -2 B- F D -5 B F D
 Mon, Dec 22 156 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 33%  -6  2 - 10 -15 -12 F C- F -4 D+ F C
 Thu, Jan 1 319 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 46%  -10  2 - 11 0 - 1 -18 -14 F F B -3 C D- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 146 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 14%  +0  2 - 12 0 - 2 +2 +1 D- C+ C+ +1 A F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 135 St. Thomas L 72 - 78 28% 
 Wed, Jan 14 264 @Denver L 77 - 82 33% 
 Sat, Jan 17 257 Nebraska Omaha W 75 - 74 53% 
 Thu, Jan 22 319 North Dakota W 77 - 72 68% 
 Sat, Jan 24 146 North Dakota St. L 70 - 76 30% 
 Thu, Jan 29 290 @South Dakota L 79 - 82 38% 
 Sat, Jan 31 173 @South Dakota St. L 70 - 80 18% 
 Sat, Feb 7 135 @St. Thomas L 69 - 81 13% 
 Thu, Feb 12 343 UMKC W 75 - 68 74% 
 Sat, Feb 14 173 South Dakota St. L 73 - 77 37% 
 Wed, Feb 18 257 @Nebraska Omaha L 72 - 77 32% 
 Sat, Feb 21 290 South Dakota W 82 - 79 58% 
 Thu, Feb 26 264 Denver W 80 - 79 55% 
 Sat, Feb 28 343 @UMKC W 72 - 71 53% 
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 10 -8 -4 D+ D+ D -3 C D- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 5.4 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 7.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 14.7 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 8.4 5.1 0.5 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 8.4 6.0 0.7 0.0 17.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 7.6 6.1 1.0 0.0 17.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 3.6 5.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 15.1 9th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.8 8.0 13.6 17.3 18.2 16.0 10.8 6.5 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 69.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 56.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 11.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 1.3% 11.0% 11.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.2
10-6 3.1% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.2 2.9
9-7 6.5% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.4 6.1
8-8 10.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 10.3
7-9 16.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.6
6-10 18.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 17.8
5-11 17.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.1
4-12 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.6
3-13 8.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.9
2-14 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%