Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.1 #335
Expected Predictive Rating -13.4 #345
Pace 68.1 #202
Improvement -6.7 #364

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #328 D D C- C B-
Defense #316 C- D D C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #168 1.03 #328 -2.3 #262
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #283 0.73 #216 -2.0 #283
Three Pointers 45% #96 0.91 #312 -0.3 #191
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #316 -4.6 #316
Freethrows 0.29 #207 73% #176 0.21 #196
Second Chance 26.1% #305 0.96 #272 0.25 #313
Turnovers 17.8% #257
Total Offense -6.2 #328

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #3 1.09 #91 -4.0 #313
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #289 0.88 #337 +0.2 #168
Three Pointers 35% #338 1.10 #295 +1.8 #115
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #243 -1.9 #243
Freethrows 0.31 #224 71% #125 0.22 #218
Second Chance 32.3% #260 1.16 #331 0.38 #322
Turnovers 14.5% #308
Total Defense -4.9 #316

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #99 2.2% #350
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.2% #334 1.5% #211
Possession Length 17.3 #177 16.5 #58
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #164 0.15 #123
Improvement -4.7 #353 -2.0 #287

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 56.3% 31.9% 58.0%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 6.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 43 - 105 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 56 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 2% -9  0 - 1 -11 -10 F D+ C- +3 A- F B
 Wed, Nov 12 69 Tulsa L 87 - 88 7% +2  0 - 2 +4 +9 A- C B -5 A- C B-
 Sat, Nov 15 74 Belmont L 60 - 83 8% -6  0 - 3 -18 -17 F F C+ +0 C F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 55 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0 - 4 -11 +2 D A+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 223 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 16% -0  0 - 5 -5 +9 A+ C+ F -14 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 25 142 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 13% -1  1 - 5 +9 +9 A+ F F -1 C C+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 233 Rice L 62 - 81 25% -10  1 - 6 -23 -6 F A- D+ -19 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 221 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 16% -17  1 - 7 -26 -12 D F F+ -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 166 Montana St. W 72 - 68 23% -6  2 - 7 +1 +4 D- C D -3 D+ B- A
 Tue, Dec 16 182 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 12% -2  2 - 8 +0 -4 F+ D- C +4 C+ A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 51 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  2 - 9 -6 -3 B F D -6 B- F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 163 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 23% -6  2 - 10 -15 -11 F D+ F+ -4 D+ D- C
 Thu, Jan 1 282 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 25% -10  2 - 11 0 - 1 -15 -15 F D B+ -0 C+ D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 139 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 8% +0  2 - 12 0 - 2 +2 +0 D- C C+ +2 A F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 133 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 18% -2  2 - 13 0 - 3 -12 +1 C D- A -14 C C F
 Wed, Jan 14 288 @Denver L 87 - 98 26% -6  2 - 14 0 - 4 -15 +7 C+ D A -22 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 241 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 36% -6  2 - 15 0 - 5 -19 -12 F D F+ -7 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 282 North Dakota L 62 - 79 45% -8  2 - 16 0 - 6 -27 -14 F B F -14 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 24 139 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 19% -19  2 - 17 0 - 7 -30 -9 D+ C- D- -24 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 285 @South Dakota L 69 - 77 25% -1  2 - 18 0 - 8 -12 -9 D F B- -3 A- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 177 @South Dakota St. L 72 - 95 12% -14  2 - 19 0 - 9 -21 -4 F D- A- -16 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 7 133 @St. Thomas L 67 - 83 7%
 Thu, Feb 12 358 UMKC W 75 - 69 73%
 Sat, Feb 14 177 South Dakota St. L 71 - 78 26%
 Wed, Feb 18 241 @Nebraska Omaha L 68 - 78 18%
 Sat, Feb 21 285 South Dakota L 79 - 80 47%
 Thu, Feb 26 288 Denver L 79 - 80 47%
 Sat, Feb 28 358 @UMKC W 73 - 72 52%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -11 -6 D D C- -5 C- D D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 1.2 5.0 3.9 0.6 10.6 7th
8th 12.5 23.9 12.7 1.9 0.0 51.1 8th
9th 3.0 14.3 15.5 3.8 0.2 36.9 9th
Total 3.0 14.3 28.1 28.9 18.0 6.5 1.1 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.1% 0.0 0.1
6-10 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-11 6.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.4
4-12 18.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 17.9
3-13 28.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 28.9
2-14 28.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.0
1-15 14.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.2
0-16 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%