Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.9 #144
Expected Predictive Rating +0.2 #165
Pace 65.7 #280
Improvement -1.4 #258

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #130 B- C F C+ C-
Defense #177 C+ B- D+ D+ A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #162 1.14 #205 -0.1 #183
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #99 0.89 #35 +3.2 #50
Three Pointers 37% #278 1.11 #64 -0.5 #204
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #109 +2.6 #108
Freethrows 17.5 #182 78% #43 13.6 #118
Second Chance 35.3% #54 0.94 #297 0.33 #152
Turnovers 19.5% #330
Total Offense +1.2 #130

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #347 1.16 #181 +4.8 #45
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #22 0.74 #155 -2.5 #339
Three Pointers 42% #153 1.00 #160 -0.2 #188
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #111 +2.1 #110
Freethrows 18.8 #260 73% #191 13.7 #106
Second Chance 26.4% #51 1.07 #220 0.28 #92
Turnovers 15.2% #272
Total Defense -0.3 #177

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.9% #249 -3.1% #16
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.1% #83 -0.9% #163
Possession Length 18.8 #322 17.2 #169
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #302 0.18 #215
Improvement +1.7 #72 -3.1 #342

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.4 12.0
.500 or above 55.9% 63.0% 34.2%
.500 or above in Conference 31.1% 36.7% 13.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.6% 6.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 75.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 410 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 90 @Nevada L 77 - 78 21%  -2  0 - 1 +8 +11 A+ F A+ -3 C C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 12 262 Long Beach St. W 69 - 66 82%  -3  1 - 1 -6 -7 F A F +1 A- D- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 232 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85 - 73 57%  +14  2 - 1 +11 +2 A+ F F +8 A+ A- F
 Thu, Nov 20 106 @Florida Atlantic L 59 - 82 27%  -11  2 - 2 -16 -6 C- D F -12 F A+ B
 Mon, Nov 24 276 Stony Brook W 86 - 58 76%  +17  3 - 2 +21 +16 A+ F F +7 A+ B C
 Tue, Nov 25 328 Jacksonville W 68 - 53 86%  +7  4 - 2 +5 +2 F C+ D +5 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 296 Sacramento St. W 68 - 54 86%  +6  5 - 2 +3 -10 C- F F +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 334 @Air Force W 80 - 65 80%  +9  6 - 2 +7 +19 B A+ A+ -9 D+ D- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 84 @California L 61 - 67 20%  -9  6 - 3 +4 +2 C- B F +1 C+ C+ C+
 Tue, Dec 16 8 @BYU L 57 - 93 3%  -18  6 - 4 -13 -6 C- B F -5 A- C D+
 Sun, Dec 21 215 Nicholls St. W 95 - 82 75%  +7  7 - 4 +7 +17 A+ A+ F -11 F A+ A
 Sun, Dec 28 222 @San Diego L 54 - 66 54%  -9  7 - 5 0 - 1 -12 -14 F F F +1 A+ D F
 Tue, Dec 30 122 @Loyola Marymount L 71 - 80 33%  +1  7 - 6 0 - 2 -4 +3 D- B- C- -7 F A+ D-
 Fri, Jan 2 182 Oregon St. W 84 - 53 70%  +17  8 - 6 1 - 2 +26 +19 A+ B C +11 A+ C C+
 Sun, Jan 4 274 Pepperdine W 74 - 69 84%  +3  9 - 6 2 - 2 -5 +3 B A+ F -7 C- B F
 Thu, Jan 8 238 @Portland L 89 - 90 OT 58%  -4  9 - 7 2 - 3 -2 +12 C+ C+ A+ -14 D- F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 222 San Diego W 79 - 72 75% 
 Wed, Jan 14 61 @Santa Clara L 70 - 81 14% 
 Sat, Jan 17 182 @Oregon St. L 70 - 71 48% 
 Sat, Jan 24 120 Seattle W 70 - 69 55% 
 Wed, Jan 28 238 Portland W 78 - 70 78% 
 Sat, Jan 31 100 @San Francisco L 67 - 74 26% 
 Wed, Feb 4 61 Santa Clara L 73 - 78 31% 
 Sat, Feb 7 274 @Pepperdine W 72 - 68 66% 
 Wed, Feb 11 122 Loyola Marymount W 71 - 69 56% 
 Sat, Feb 14 41 St. Mary's L 66 - 75 22% 
 Wed, Feb 18 145 @Washington St. L 71 - 74 39% 
 Sat, Feb 21 10 @Gonzaga L 66 - 88 2% 
 Sat, Feb 28 100 San Francisco L 70 - 71 45% 
Totals 15 - 14 8 - 10 +1 +1 B- C F +0 C+ B- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 6.6 3.6 0.2 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 1.0 7.4 5.7 0.5 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.4 5.9 8.0 1.4 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 3.5 9.5 2.7 0.1 15.8 8th
9th 0.0 2.0 7.8 3.5 0.1 13.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.8 3.6 0.2 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.6 0.2 4.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.5 8.6 15.4 20.3 20.2 15.9 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.3
12-6 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 4.1% 0.5% 0.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 4.0
10-8 9.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 9.6
9-9 15.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 15.8
8-10 20.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 20.2
7-11 20.3% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 20.2
6-12 15.4% 15.4
5-13 8.6% 8.6
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.3 99.9 0.0%