Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.9 #234
Expected Predictive Rating -7.4 #274
Pace 77.3 #26
Improvement +5.6 #5

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #184 C- C C B+ C+
Defense #285 D+ F B- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #262 1.05 #301 -3.8 #306
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #281 0.77 #152 -1.6 #255
Three Pointers 49% #38 1.01 #190 +4.0 #57
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #210 -1.4 #206
Freethrows 20.3 #51 73% #163 14.9 #59
Second Chance 28.0% #255 1.10 #116 0.31 #202
Turnovers 17.2% #213
Total Offense -0.5 #184

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #98 1.10 #112 -0.7 #202
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #259 0.79 #239 +0.6 #156
Three Pointers 41% #204 1.13 #320 -2.1 #269
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #247 -2.2 #252
Freethrows 20.7 #325 71% #114 14.6 #52
Second Chance 34.9% #319 1.17 #309 0.41 #339
Turnovers 17.9% #101
Total Defense -3.5 #285

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #142 1.2% #279
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.6% #229 3.0% #238
Possession Length 16.4 #96 16.6 #84
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #45 0.20 #268
Improvement +3.2 #21 +2.3 #51

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.3% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 37.5% 47.0% 21.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.2% 87.6% 65.0%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.7% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four1.8% 1.5% 2.1%
First Round4.8% 5.6% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 413 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 358 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 90%  +5  1 - 0 -13 +10 C+ A+ A- -22 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 26 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3%  -11  1 - 1 +3 -1 D+ C C +6 A+ C C+
 Sat, Nov 15 148 Wright St. L 59 - 92 33%  -13  1 - 2 -32 -16 F F D- -16 F F C
 Sun, Nov 16 321 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 72%  +9  1 - 3 -15 -10 F D F -4 F B+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 72 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 9%  -15  1 - 4 -18 -11 F D- F -7 D- F B
 Fri, Nov 21 118 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 35%  -8  1 - 5 -8 +0 B D- F -8 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 28 @SMU L 72 - 89 3%  -11  1 - 6 +0 -2 F B- A+ +4 A F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 201 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 56%  -6  1 - 7 -12 -5 F C- B+ -7 B+ C C
 Sun, Dec 7 361 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 91%  +17  2 - 7 +14 +8 D+ A+ C +6 C+ A- B-
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 95%  +12  3 - 7 +7 +14 A+ C+ D- -10 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 127 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 20%  -3  3 - 8 -8 +3 C- C+ C+ -9 B F F
 Sun, Dec 21 332 VMI W 97 - 90 82%  +2  4 - 8 -7 +12 A+ A+ F -19 F F A+
 Wed, Dec 31 287 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 50%  +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 +3 -1 C- C F +3 A F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 289 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 73%  +6  6 - 8 2 - 0 +9 +14 A F A+ -3 C+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 239 UNC Asheville W 79 - 76 63% 
 Wed, Jan 14 363 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 79 80% 
 Sat, Jan 17 279 Longwood W 84 - 78 71% 
 Wed, Jan 21 152 @Winthrop L 81 - 88 25% 
 Sat, Jan 24 86 High Point L 81 - 89 23% 
 Thu, Jan 29 225 @Charleston Southern L 81 - 84 37% 
 Sat, Jan 31 289 @Presbyterian W 74 - 73 51% 
 Wed, Feb 4 152 Winthrop L 84 - 85 46% 
 Sat, Feb 7 86 @High Point L 78 - 92 10% 
 Sat, Feb 14 225 Charleston Southern W 84 - 81 59% 
 Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 76 92% 
 Sat, Feb 21 239 @UNC Asheville L 76 - 79 41% 
 Thu, Feb 26 287 South Carolina Upstate W 83 - 77 71% 
 Sat, Feb 28 279 @Longwood L 81 - 82 49% 
Totals 13 - 15 9 - 7 -4 +0 C- C C -3 D+ F B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 7.1 9.8 6.4 2.1 0.2 27.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.0 9.4 9.3 3.0 0.4 24.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 7.9 6.9 1.3 0.1 17.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.2 5.6 0.9 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.4 2.7 4.3 0.8 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.3 0.8 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.9 11.6 16.3 19.0 17.8 13.3 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 80.4% 0.9    0.6 0.3
13-3 41.6% 1.5    0.7 0.8 0.1
12-4 15.7% 1.3    0.3 0.8 0.2
11-5 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 22.5% 22.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.2% 21.3% 21.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.5% 14.6% 14.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.0
12-4 8.0% 10.5% 10.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 7.2
11-5 13.3% 8.4% 8.4% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 12.1
10-6 17.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.7 0.3 0.8 16.6
9-7 19.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 18.2
8-8 16.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 15.8
7-9 11.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 11.3
6-10 5.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 5.8
5-11 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-12 0.7% 0.7
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.5 94.5 0.0%