Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.1 #234
Expected Predictive Rating -5.3 #247
Pace 75.7 #30
Improvement +5.2 #17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #177 C C- C- B C+
Defense #285 D+ D C+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #221 1.09 #260 -2.0 #256
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #271 0.76 #171 -1.6 #261
Three Pointers 47% #67 1.00 #201 +2.5 #96
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #204 -1.1 #204
Freethrows 0.36 #32 73% #172 0.26 #37
Second Chance 28.2% #252 0.99 #227 0.28 #255
Turnovers 17.2% #218
Total Offense -0.4 #177

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #108 1.19 #231 -2.4 #267
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #282 0.74 #146 +1.4 #82
Three Pointers 41% #173 1.13 #328 -2.4 #289
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #291 -3.5 #291
Freethrows 0.34 #304 72% #153 0.25 #292
Second Chance 33.5% #295 1.11 #298 0.37 #309
Turnovers 17.7% #112
Total Defense -3.7 #285

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #128 1.2% #282
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.9% #222 5.5% #289
Possession Length 16.2 #76 16.8 #105
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #100 0.19 #251
Improvement +3.1 #47 +2.0 #70

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.7% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 41.8% 64.5% 28.6%
.500 or above in Conference 96.6% 99.8% 94.7%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.5% 1.0% 1.7%
First Round4.2% 5.3% 3.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 413 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 362 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 91% +5  1 - 0 -14 +10 B- A+ A- -24 F F C
 Tue, Nov 11 29 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  1 - 1 +3 -3 D- C- C+ +8 A+ B- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 144 Wright St. L 59 - 92 31% -13  1 - 2 -32 -17 F+ F F+ -14 F D C
 Sun, Nov 16 306 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 66% +9  1 - 3 -13 -11 F D+ D- -1 C- B C
 Tue, Nov 18 91 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 11% -15  1 - 4 -20 -11 F D+ F -8 D- F B
 Fri, Nov 21 116 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 34% -8  1 - 5 -8 -0 B- D F -8 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 39 @SMU L 72 - 89 4% -11  1 - 6 -1 -2 F B- A +4 A- F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 250 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 65% -6  1 - 7 -15 -5 F D+ B -10 C+ C- C
 Sun, Dec 7 357 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 89% +17  2 - 7 +16 +8 C A C +7 B- B+ B-
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 95% +12  3 - 7 +7 +12 A+ C D -8 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 150 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 23% -3  3 - 8 -9 +1 D B- C+ -8 B- F F+
 Sun, Dec 21 356 VMI W 97 - 90 89% +2  4 - 8 -10 +10 A- B+ D+ -21 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 302 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 54% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 +2 +0 C- C F+ +1 B+ F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 262 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 68% +6  6 - 8 2 - 0 +10 +14 A F+ A- -1 B C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 209 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 57% -9  6 - 9 2 - 1 -25 -7 F F A+ -17 F A- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 85% +5  7 - 9 3 - 1 -6 +8 D+ D- B+ -15 F+ F+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 264 Longwood W 85 - 83 68% +11  8 - 9 4 - 1 -7 +9 B+ F+ B -16 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 21 123 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 19% +2  8 - 10 4 - 2 +4 +5 A+ D- F -1 F B+ B
 Fri, Jan 23 98 High Point L 83 - 93 27% -1  8 - 11 4 - 3 -8 +4 A- D- F+ -11 F B+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 246 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 75 41% +8  9 - 11 5 - 3 +7 +3 C+ B- F +4 A- C B
 Sat, Jan 31 262 @Presbyterian W 93 - 84 2OT 45% +0  10 - 11 6 - 3 +6 +5 D C A- -0 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 123 Winthrop L 81 - 84 37%
 Sat, Feb 7 98 @High Point L 79 - 91 12%
 Sat, Feb 14 246 Charleston Southern W 85 - 81 63%
 Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb W 90 - 73 94%
 Sat, Feb 21 209 @UNC Asheville L 75 - 79 35%
 Thu, Feb 26 302 South Carolina Upstate W 81 - 74 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 264 @Longwood L 79 - 80 46%
Totals 14 - 14 10 - 6 -4 +0 C C- C- -4 D+ D C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.3 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.4 0.2 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.3 20.6 28.9 15.9 2.3 71.0 3rd
4th 0.7 8.1 8.0 1.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 2.5 0.2 4.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.2 3.2 14.0 28.7 30.3 18.2 4.9 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 57.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
12-4 4.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.4% 12.6% 12.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 4.9% 6.8% 6.8% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.6
11-5 18.2% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 17.0
10-6 30.3% 5.3% 5.3% 15.6 0.0 0.6 1.0 28.7
9-7 28.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.1 1.1 27.5
8-8 14.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 13.6
7-9 3.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.1
6-10 0.2% 0.2
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.6 95.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.1%