Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#295
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#288
Pace72.2#93
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#268
First Shot-4.8#314
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#99
Layup/Dunks-2.2#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#111
Freethrows-2.0#294
Improvement-1.1#268

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#294
First Shot-4.4#319
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#138
Layups/Dunks-0.5#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#338
Freethrows-1.5#288
Improvement+1.2#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.0% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 17.8% 20.7% 6.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.3% 52.9% 26.5%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 3.5% 16.2%
First Four2.5% 2.7% 1.5%
First Round2.4% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 78.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 412 - 1113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 124   @ Temple L 70-81 12%     0 - 1 -5.7 -3.8 -1.2
  Nov 06, 2024 10   @ Connecticut L 56-92 1%     0 - 2 -16.3 -13.7 -1.2
  Nov 09, 2024 280   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 35%     0 - 3 -8.4 -3.6 -4.3
  Nov 15, 2024 313   Holy Cross L 75-82 55%     0 - 4 -15.5 +4.9 -21.2
  Nov 16, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 80-63 71%     1 - 4 +4.1 +8.9 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2024 174   @ Brown L 70-89 18%     1 - 5 -16.6 +2.5 -20.1
  Nov 21, 2024 219   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 46%     2 - 5 +6.9 -3.7 +11.1
  Dec 01, 2024 257   @ Boston University W 73-65 31%     3 - 5 +5.8 +0.5 +5.4
  Dec 06, 2024 247   Iona W 83-59 52%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +16.2 +4.4 +10.8
  Dec 08, 2024 249   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 30%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -11.8 -2.2 -9.3
  Dec 18, 2024 233   Albany L 66-74 48%     4 - 7 -14.8 -12.0 -2.8
  Dec 22, 2024 200   @ Miami (OH) L 76-94 21%     4 - 8 -16.8 -1.5 -13.9
  Jan 05, 2025 353   Canisius W 78-70 79%    
  Jan 10, 2025 195   Merrimack L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 12, 2025 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 16, 2025 304   @ Siena L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 206   St. Peter's L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 353   @ Canisius W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 279   Manhattan W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 303   Rider W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 297   @ Fairfield L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 14, 2025 249   Quinnipiac W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 16, 2025 304   Siena W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 21, 2025 195   @ Merrimack L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 23, 2025 206   @ St. Peter's L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 28, 2025 231   Marist L 68-69 48%    
  Mar 02, 2025 297   Fairfield W 77-74 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 279   @ Manhattan L 76-80 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 247   @ Iona L 71-76 31%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 4.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.9 5.1 0.9 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.9 1.8 0.1 10.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.8 5.4 3.0 0.2 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 6.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.2 7.5 10.5 12.8 14.4 14.1 12.0 8.9 6.0 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 98.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
16-4 85.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 56.5% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 25.1% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 25.2% 25.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 18.4% 18.4% 15.4 0.1 0.1 0.6
15-5 1.8% 16.4% 16.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5
14-6 3.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 3.1
13-7 6.0% 10.5% 10.5% 15.9 0.0 0.6 5.4
12-8 8.9% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 8.2
11-9 12.0% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.4
10-10 14.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.7
9-11 14.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 14.2
8-12 12.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.7
7-13 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-14 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.5
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.2 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%