Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.9 #285
Expected Predictive Rating -10.5 #322
Pace 70.6 #146
Improvement -0.2 #194

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #197 D+ C- F C C
Defense #337 F D+ D+ C+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #343 1.11 #235 -5.4 #335
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #276 0.63 #314 -2.7 #313
Three Pointers 54% #8 0.98 #226 +5.5 #29
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #251 -2.6 #253
Freethrows 15.9 #264 79% #20 12.6 #182
Second Chance 30.6% #189 0.98 #261 0.30 #221
Turnovers 20.6% #351
Total Offense -1.1 #197

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #169 1.33 #343 -3.8 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #351 0.76 #189 +2.5 #27
Three Pointers 47% #38 1.11 #297 -5.4 #343
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #344 -6.7 #345
Freethrows 16.8 #161 75% #279 12.5 #221
Second Chance 34.8% #316 1.04 #196 0.36 #280
Turnovers 15.4% #259
Total Defense -5.8 #337

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #194 1.9% #336
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.0% #255 11.0% #339
Possession Length 17.5 #189 17.1 #163
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #192 0.23 #334
Improvement +0.4 #155 -0.7 #233

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.6% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.2% 6.2% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 20.1% 33.4% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 2.9% 9.1%
First Four1.4% 1.9% 1.1%
First Round1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 36.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 410 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 129 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 14%  -7  0 - 1 -7 +3 F D+ B- -10 A+ F F
 Tue, Nov 11 31 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2%  -21  0 - 2 -17 -1 B- C+ F -18 F D A+
 Sat, Nov 15 207 @Queens L 64 - 81 24%  -13  0 - 3 -17 -13 F F F -4 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 326 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 73%  +9  1 - 3 -0 +4 C+ F C -3 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 269 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 37%  -2  1 - 4 -5 +16 A- C+ D+ -21 F F D
 Sat, Nov 29 105 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 10%  -21  1 - 5 -24 -17 F F F -4 F F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 292 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 40%  +3  2 - 5 1 - 0 +3 +18 F A+ D- -15 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 214 Iona L 69 - 81 46%  -4  2 - 6 1 - 1 -18 -6 B+ F F -12 D+ D- F
 Sat, Dec 13 351 @NJIT W 65 - 49 62%  +4  3 - 6 +6 -3 F C+ D- +11 A- A D-
 Tue, Dec 16 286 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 39%  +0  3 - 7 -9 +2 A- F F -11 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 230 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 50%  +8  4 - 7 +15 +4 F A+ C +9 A+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 22 175 @Towson L 47 - 72 21%  -9  4 - 8 -23 -20 F D F -5 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 237 Merrimack L 72 - 80 51%  -8  4 - 9 1 - 2 -15 +1 B- D- D -17 F D+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 354 @Niagara L 61 - 64 63%  -9  4 - 10 1 - 3 -13 -4 F C- F -10 F B+ D
 Sun, Jan 4 331 @Canisius L 78 - 82 53%  +4  4 - 11 1 - 4 -12 +5 B- D+ F -17 F F F
 Fri, Jan 9 140 Marist L 72 - 76 31%  +2  4 - 12 1 - 5 -6 +11 A A- D- -17 F F F
 Sun, Jan 11 158 Quinnipiac L 77 - 81 36% 
 Wed, Jan 14 190 @Siena L 70 - 78 23% 
 Mon, Jan 19 348 @Rider W 72 - 70 60% 
 Thu, Jan 22 331 Canisius W 75 - 68 73% 
 Sat, Jan 24 354 Niagara W 77 - 67 81% 
 Fri, Jan 30 158 @Quinnipiac L 74 - 84 19% 
 Sun, Feb 1 237 @Merrimack L 69 - 75 30% 
 Thu, Feb 5 282 Fairfield W 80 - 77 60% 
 Sat, Feb 7 311 @Manhattan L 80 - 81 47% 
 Fri, Feb 13 259 St. Peter's W 73 - 71 56% 
 Sun, Feb 15 348 Rider W 75 - 67 78% 
 Fri, Feb 20 282 @Fairfield L 77 - 80 38% 
 Sun, Feb 22 140 @Marist L 65 - 76 15% 
 Fri, Feb 27 292 Mount St. Mary's W 77 - 74 62% 
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -7 -1 D+ C- F -6 F D+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.9 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.9 2.4 0.2 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.1 4.7 0.7 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 5.1 6.9 1.6 0.0 14.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.4 8.1 3.1 0.2 16.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.8 8.5 4.1 0.3 0.0 17.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.9 4.1 0.6 0.0 15.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.7 7.8 13.6 18.0 18.8 16.5 11.2 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 12.5% 12.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.7% 9.4% 9.4% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
12-8 2.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.1
11-9 5.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.5
10-10 11.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
9-11 16.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 16.3
8-12 18.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 18.5
7-13 18.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.8
6-14 13.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.5
5-15 7.8% 7.8
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.9 98.2 0.0%