San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#316
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#341
Pace76.0#31
Improvement-1.6#280

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#351
First Shot-5.3#324
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#308
Layup/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#322
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement+0.4#146

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#209
First Shot+0.7#147
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#322
Layups/Dunks+1.9#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#224
Freethrows-0.4#222
Improvement-2.0#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.8% 1.5% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.8% 34.8% 43.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 12.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 60 - 11
Quad 31 - 61 - 16
Quad 45 - 86 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 303   Rider L 67-68 58%     0 - 1 -11.8 -12.2 +0.4
  Nov 08, 2024 257   Boston University W 74-60 48%     1 - 1 +5.8 +6.3 +1.2
  Nov 12, 2024 250   Portland St. L 76-85 46%     1 - 2 -16.9 -15.1 -0.1
  Nov 16, 2024 251   Idaho St. L 66-78 46%     1 - 3 -19.9 -14.0 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2024 227   Southern Utah L 67-72 41%     1 - 4 -11.6 -12.9 +1.6
  Nov 24, 2024 258   Idaho W 68-61 48%     2 - 4 -1.2 -12.3 +11.0
  Dec 03, 2024 59   @ Arizona St. L 53-90 4%     2 - 5 -24.7 -16.2 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 38   @ San Diego St. L 57-74 2%     2 - 6 -2.2 -9.0 +7.6
  Dec 10, 2024 259   Long Beach St. L 70-76 48%     2 - 7 -14.3 +1.3 -16.4
  Dec 14, 2024 273   @ Fresno St. L 65-73 29%     2 - 8 -11.2 -7.6 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2024 90   UC San Diego L 65-77 13%    
  Dec 28, 2024 107   Grand Canyon L 68-81 11%    
  Dec 30, 2024 301   Pacific W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 02, 2025 73   Santa Clara L 68-82 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 61   @ Oregon St. L 59-79 3%    
  Jan 08, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 62-94 0.2%   
  Jan 11, 2025 53   St. Mary's L 59-75 7%    
  Jan 16, 2025 74   Washington St. L 69-82 11%    
  Jan 18, 2025 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-77 14%    
  Jan 23, 2025 314   @ Portland L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 62   @ San Francisco L 60-80 3%    
  Jan 30, 2025 204   Pepperdine L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 157   Loyola Marymount L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 301   @ Pacific L 71-75 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 73   @ Santa Clara L 65-85 4%    
  Feb 13, 2025 204   @ Pepperdine L 68-78 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 62   San Francisco L 63-77 10%    
  Feb 22, 2025 61   Oregon St. L 62-76 10%    
  Feb 27, 2025 74   @ Washington St. L 66-85 4%    
  Mar 01, 2025 314   Portland W 75-72 59%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 4.9 4.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.2 4.2 10.9 7.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 24.7 9th
10th 0.6 7.3 13.5 6.1 1.0 0.0 28.6 10th
11th 3.0 9.9 11.0 3.9 0.4 0.0 28.1 11th
Total 3.0 10.5 18.5 21.7 18.8 13.6 7.8 3.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 0.6% 0.6
8-10 1.6% 1.6
7-11 3.9% 3.9
6-12 7.8% 7.8
5-13 13.6% 13.6
4-14 18.8% 18.8
3-15 21.7% 21.7
2-16 18.5% 18.5
1-17 10.5% 10.5
0-18 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.6%