South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#339
Expected Predictive Rating-11.8#332
Pace77.8#17
Improvement+0.7#148

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#330
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#318
Layup/Dunks+3.2#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#350
Freethrows-1.3#266
Improvement-1.9#287

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#321
First Shot-5.3#335
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#146
Layups/Dunks-2.1#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#224
Freethrows-1.9#304
Improvement+2.6#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.3% 8.3% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 66.3% 45.0% 68.7%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Away) - 10.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 91 - 15
Quad 45 - 105 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 82   @ North Carolina St. L 66-97 4%     0 - 1 -21.2 -6.6 -12.6
  Nov 08, 2024 134   @ Virginia Tech L 74-93 8%     0 - 2 -14.3 +1.1 -14.8
  Nov 13, 2024 61   @ Wake Forest L 80-85 3%     0 - 3 +6.7 +12.5 -5.6
  Nov 15, 2024 143   UNC Wilmington L 85-89 19%     0 - 4 -5.8 +1.4 -6.8
  Nov 22, 2024 154   @ East Tennessee St. L 76-87 9%     0 - 5 -7.6 -1.4 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2024 225   Queens L 74-98 24%     0 - 6 -27.6 -7.4 -18.5
  Nov 26, 2024 37   @ Iowa L 77-110 2%     0 - 7 -17.8 -1.4 -12.3
  Nov 30, 2024 283   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-73 24%     0 - 8 -25.8 -22.1 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 323   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 33%     1 - 8 -0.5 -2.5 +1.8
  Dec 14, 2024 76   @ South Carolina L 53-73 3%     1 - 9 -9.8 -12.3 +2.0
  Dec 18, 2024 241   South Carolina St. L 70-85 35%     1 - 10 -22.2 -13.7 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2024 199   Youngstown St. L 64-72 27%     1 - 11 -12.7 -16.5 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2025 191   @ Winthrop L 76-95 12%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -17.2 +0.2 -16.9
  Jan 08, 2025 275   Presbyterian W 77-67 43%     2 - 12 1 - 1 +0.7 +1.4 -0.3
  Jan 11, 2025 195   Radford L 67-80 26%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -17.5 -3.9 -14.8
  Jan 15, 2025 177   @ UNC Asheville L 75-88 10%    
  Jan 18, 2025 259   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-83 21%    
  Jan 22, 2025 107   High Point L 75-87 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 202   @ Longwood L 71-83 13%    
  Jan 29, 2025 290   Charleston Southern L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 195   @ Radford L 67-80 12%    
  Feb 05, 2025 275   @ Presbyterian L 70-78 23%    
  Feb 08, 2025 191   Winthrop L 80-87 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 177   UNC Asheville L 78-85 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 259   Gardner-Webb L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 290   @ Charleston Southern L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 26, 2025 107   @ High Point L 72-90 5%    
  Mar 01, 2025 202   Longwood L 74-80 29%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 3rd
4th 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.2 0.1 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 6.7 4.3 0.7 13.5 7th
8th 0.6 4.6 11.5 7.3 1.1 25.1 8th
9th 5.6 15.5 17.5 9.6 1.7 0.0 50.0 9th
Total 5.6 16.0 22.2 23.0 16.7 9.1 5.1 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
11-5 23.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 4.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
9-7 0.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
8-8 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
7-9 5.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-10 9.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.0
5-11 16.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.6
4-12 23.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.0
3-13 22.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.2
2-14 16.0% 16.0
1-15 5.6% 5.6
0-16
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.9%