South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.0 #287
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 #281
Pace 71.9 #102
Improvement -3.5 #337

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #301 C D+ C- C C-
Defense #245 C- C- D D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #125 1.11 #238 +0.2 #169
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #111 0.76 #164 +1.0 #127
Three Pointers 36% #293 1.01 #186 -2.7 #276
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #202 -1.5 #211
Freethrows 17.9 #153 72% #204 12.9 #197
Second Chance 27.7% #269 1.00 #239 0.28 #271
Turnovers 17.4% #229
Total Offense -4.7 #301

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #72 1.15 #166 -2.4 #260
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #129 0.78 #215 -0.2 #193
Three Pointers 35% #319 1.08 #275 +1.7 #119
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #228 -0.8 #208
Freethrows 19.8 #304 72% #166 14.3 #66
Second Chance 30.9% #187 1.12 #274 0.35 #245
Turnovers 14.4% #307
Total Defense -2.3 #245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #228 0.3% #194
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.7% #197 2.5% #229
Possession Length 17.2 #165 15.0 #3
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #150 0.16 #141
Improvement -1.8 #292 -1.6 #282

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.4% 12.4% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 19.2% 33.6% 11.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.7% 4.2% 12.7%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 34.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 811 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 147 @California Baptist L 75 - 87 16%  -8  0 - 1 -8 +4 C+ C+ F -12 F A F
 Wed, Nov 5 157 @Fresno St. W 67 - 66 18%  -4  1 - 1 +4 -3 C+ B+ F +7 A+ F D
 Sat, Nov 15 118 @UNC Wilmington L 60 - 73 12%  -8  1 - 2 -7 -1 D B- F -8 C- F C
 Wed, Nov 19 313 Tennessee Tech L 84 - 88 69%  -3  1 - 3 -16 -3 C F A+ -13 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 297 @West Georgia L 64 - 72 41%  -4  1 - 4 -13 -13 F F C +0 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 347 NC Central W 82 - 67 78%  +10  2 - 4 -0 +5 A+ D- F -5 B+ D F
 Sat, Nov 29 23 @Nebraska L 63 - 72 2%  -2  2 - 5 +10 -1 C C- A+ +11 A+ C+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 270 Coastal Carolina W 85 - 78 OT 59%  -7  3 - 5 -2 -1 C F C -3 D A C-
 Sat, Dec 6 283 Western Carolina W 78 - 67 61%  +4  4 - 5 +1 -1 F C D- +2 A+ C F
 Sat, Dec 13 26 @North Carolina L 62 - 80 2%  -8  4 - 6 +0 +4 C+ B B+ -5 C C F
 Tue, Dec 16 357 @South Carolina St. W 78 - 72 68%  +6  5 - 6 -6 +4 B- C- C- -10 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 210 @Youngstown St. L 65 - 74 24%  -8  5 - 7 -9 -7 F C C- -1 D A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 234 Radford L 69 - 76 50%  -4  5 - 8 0 - 1 -14 -12 F D+ C- -2 C C- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 289 @Presbyterian L 77 - 86 39%  -4  5 - 9 0 - 2 -13 +3 B+ D+ F -16 F D F
 Sat, Jan 10 152 Winthrop L 77 - 81 35% 
 Wed, Jan 14 225 @Charleston Southern L 74 - 80 26% 
 Sat, Jan 17 86 @High Point L 71 - 88 6% 
 Wed, Jan 21 239 UNC Asheville W 73 - 72 52% 
 Sat, Jan 24 363 @Gardner-Webb W 80 - 74 72% 
 Thu, Jan 29 279 Longwood W 77 - 74 59% 
 Wed, Feb 4 239 @UNC Asheville L 69 - 75 29% 
 Sat, Feb 7 225 Charleston Southern L 77 - 78 48% 
 Thu, Feb 12 86 High Point L 74 - 85 16% 
 Sat, Feb 14 279 @Longwood L 74 - 77 38% 
 Thu, Feb 19 152 @Winthrop L 74 - 84 18% 
 Sat, Feb 21 289 Presbyterian W 70 - 67 62% 
 Thu, Feb 26 234 @Radford L 77 - 83 29% 
 Sat, Feb 28 363 Gardner-Webb W 83 - 71 87% 
Totals 11 - 17 6 - 10 -7 -5 C D+ C- -2 C- C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.9 1.9 0.1 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 6.4 3.8 0.3 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 7.9 6.5 0.6 16.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 3.0 9.1 8.5 1.2 22.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 6.8 11.0 7.6 1.5 0.0 28.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.5 4.6 9th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.4 8.4 14.5 18.4 19.4 15.5 10.6 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 0.0%
12-4 26.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 10.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.2% 11.8% 11.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.8% 7.9% 7.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
10-6 2.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
9-7 5.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 5.0
8-8 10.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.3
7-9 15.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 15.2
6-10 19.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 19.1
5-11 18.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 18.2
4-12 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.4
3-13 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
2-14 3.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.8 98.3 0.0%