South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#134
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#145
Pace71.4#85
Improvement-5.7#348

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#120
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#41
Layup/Dunks-0.6#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#118
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement-2.5#298

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#184
First Shot-3.0#277
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#17
Layups/Dunks+4.7#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#332
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#355
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement-3.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 34 - 46 - 9
Quad 411 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 69   McNeese St. W 80-73 26%     1 - 0 +15.2 +6.8 +8.0
  Nov 08, 2024 292   Long Beach St. W 80-79 87%     2 - 0 -9.4 +1.8 -11.1
  Nov 14, 2024 125   Northern Colorado L 69-78 47%     2 - 1 -6.7 -5.5 -1.2
  Nov 20, 2024 295   Southern Miss W 101-76 87%     3 - 1 +14.6 +7.9 +2.3
  Nov 24, 2024 121   Duquesne W 71-60 47%     4 - 1 +13.4 +4.9 +9.2
  Nov 25, 2024 52   Boise St. L 82-83 19%     4 - 2 +9.9 +14.0 -4.1
  Nov 26, 2024 231   Missouri St. W 75-55 69%     5 - 2 +16.3 +7.2 +10.4
  Dec 04, 2024 155   @ Montana L 67-71 44%     5 - 3 -1.0 -9.2 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2024 294   Eastern Washington W 74-53 87%     6 - 3 +10.6 -1.4 +12.8
  Dec 11, 2024 82   @ Nevada L 63-77 22%     6 - 4 -4.5 +5.1 -11.9
  Dec 13, 2024 80   @ Colorado L 70-81 21%     6 - 5 -1.1 +10.0 -12.0
  Dec 29, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 82-105 3%     6 - 6 +0.9 +10.7 -7.9
  Jan 02, 2025 301   Denver W 91-70 87%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +10.2 +6.2 +2.2
  Jan 08, 2025 131   @ St. Thomas L 72-73 38%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +3.6 +4.9 -1.4
  Jan 11, 2025 148   @ Nebraska Omaha L 80-87 42%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -3.5 +4.5 -7.8
  Jan 16, 2025 264   North Dakota W 109-73 83%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +27.6 +22.3 +3.3
  Jan 18, 2025 322   Oral Roberts W 84-70 90%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +1.7 +3.1 -1.4
  Jan 23, 2025 233   @ UMKC W 65-64 60%     10 - 8 4 - 2 -0.2 -2.2 +2.0
  Jan 25, 2025 237   South Dakota W 90-71 79%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +12.1 +5.0 +6.0
  Jan 30, 2025 142   @ North Dakota St. W 72-62 41%     12 - 8 6 - 2 +13.8 +5.6 +9.5
  Feb 01, 2025 264   @ North Dakota L 75-80 67%     12 - 9 6 - 3 -7.9 +1.5 -9.7
  Feb 06, 2025 131   St. Thomas W 102-86 60%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +15.1 +17.3 -3.5
  Feb 13, 2025 148   Nebraska Omaha W 98-85 63%     14 - 9 8 - 3 +11.0 +17.7 -7.1
  Feb 16, 2025 237   @ South Dakota W 94-91 61%     15 - 9 9 - 3 +1.6 +9.2 -7.8
  Feb 19, 2025 142   North Dakota St. L 68-77 62%     15 - 10 9 - 4 -10.7 -3.5 -8.1
  Feb 23, 2025 233   UMKC W 70-65 78%     16 - 10 10 - 4 -1.7 +4.3 -5.4
  Feb 27, 2025 322   @ Oral Roberts W 77-69 79%     17 - 10 11 - 4 +1.2 +0.0 +1.3
  Mar 01, 2025 301   @ Denver L 62-78 74%     17 - 11 11 - 5 -21.3 -12.3 -9.0
  Mar 07, 2025 264   North Dakota L 69-85 75%     17 - 12 -21.6 -13.5 -7.4
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%