Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.8 #335
Expected Predictive Rating -16.3 #352
Pace 74.0 #60
Improvement -0.9 #233

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #333 F C- C- D+ D-
Defense #307 D- F D+ F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #170 1.14 #211 -0.4 #194
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #36 0.69 #265 +2.5 #66
Three Pointers 32% #342 0.81 #350 -8.0 #355
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #333 -5.9 #333
Freethrows 15.7 #270 71% #232 11.2 #270
Second Chance 25.9% #307 1.15 #65 0.30 #224
Turnovers 17.4% #234
Total Offense -6.7 #333

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #238 1.27 #310 -1.0 #218
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #360 0.88 #331 +1.9 #54
Three Pointers 50% #14 1.03 #211 -5.3 #341
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #307 -4.3 #307
Freethrows 22.7 #354 71% #126 16.2 #20
Second Chance 32.1% #234 1.35 #365 0.43 #354
Turnovers 15.0% #280
Total Defense -4.1 #307

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.3% #312 1.6% #309
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.4% #319 6.7% #299
Possession Length 17.1 #162 15.6 #13
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #199 0.22 #320
Improvement -1.7 #285 +0.8 #128

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.0% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.4% 3.7% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 41.2% 17.0%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.8% 3.1%
First Four2.9% 3.8% 1.6%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 48 - 128 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 10 @Gonzaga L 43 - 98 0%  -20  0 - 1 -32 -21 F C F -8 B- F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 40 @Texas A&M L 70 - 104 2%  -12  0 - 2 -18 -3 B- C F -13 F C- F
 Wed, Nov 12 229 Samford L 90 - 93 OT 35%  +1  0 - 3 -10 +4 A+ F A+ -13 D+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 268 @Texas St. L 67 - 77 23%  -12  0 - 4 -13 -7 F F F -6 D+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 7 @Vanderbilt L 74 - 109 0%  -24  0 - 5 -12 +7 A+ F C -17 D+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 134 Sam Houston St. L 70 - 82 19%  -6  0 - 6 -13 -13 F C- D+ +1 A B C+
 Sun, Dec 14 76 @Minnesota L 53 - 89 3%  -20  0 - 7 -25 -13 F F F -12 F C+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 34 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 108 1%  -24  0 - 8 -19 +5 F A+ A -24 F F F
 Mon, Dec 22 202 Abilene Christian L 68 - 75 30%  +2  0 - 9 -12 -6 D+ D+ C+ -7 C- D+ C
 Sat, Jan 3 256 @Southern L 73 - 84 21%  -8  0 - 10 0 - 1 -14 -8 F C- F -4 F C+ D
 Mon, Jan 5 246 @Grambling St. L 67 - 84 20%  -9  0 - 11 0 - 2 -19 -5 F A+ D -14 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 80 59% 
 Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 64 93% 
 Sat, Jan 17 346 @Alcorn St. L 77 - 79 43% 
 Mon, Jan 19 342 @Jackson St. L 76 - 78 42% 
 Sat, Jan 24 303 Alabama A&M W 72 - 71 50% 
 Mon, Jan 26 301 Alabama St. L 77 - 78 50% 
 Sat, Jan 31 306 @Prairie View L 78 - 83 32% 
 Sat, Feb 7 345 @Florida A&M L 75 - 77 42% 
 Mon, Feb 9 278 @Bethune-Cookman L 74 - 81 25% 
 Sat, Feb 14 246 Grambling St. L 71 - 74 39% 
 Mon, Feb 16 256 Southern L 77 - 79 42% 
 Sat, Feb 21 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 80 - 83 38% 
 Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77 - 67 82% 
 Thu, Feb 26 346 Alcorn St. W 80 - 76 64% 
 Sat, Feb 28 342 Jackson St. W 79 - 75 63% 
 Thu, Mar 5 306 Prairie View W 81 - 80 52% 
Totals 8 - 19 7 - 10 -11 -7 F C- C- -4 D- F D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.6 1.4 0.1 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.5 2.7 0.1 6.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.4 0.7 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.8 2.8 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.9 5.6 0.4 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 4.4 6.8 1.5 0.0 13.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.8 7.1 3.0 0.1 16.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.0 5.3 5.3 2.4 0.2 17.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 6.9 10.9 14.5 16.0 15.4 13.1 8.8 5.7 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 93.9% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-5 66.0% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 25.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.0% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.1 0.8
12-6 2.6% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.4 2.2
11-7 5.7% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.5 5.2
10-8 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.7 8.1
9-9 13.1% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 12.3
8-10 15.4% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 15.0
7-11 16.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.9
6-12 14.5% 14.5
5-13 10.9% 10.9
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 16.0 97.0 0.0%