Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#279
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#309
Pace72.5#63
Improvement+2.6#88

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#343
First Shot-6.4#336
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#263
Layup/Dunks-7.0#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#276
Freethrows-1.7#281
Improvement-1.5#259

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot+2.3#100
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#284
Layups/Dunks+5.3#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#330
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+4.1#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 31.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.4% 31.1% 0.0%
First Round9.2% 17.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 413 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 40   @ Xavier L 69-78 3%     0 - 1 +6.6 +1.7 +5.2
  Nov 10, 2024 33   @ Georgia L 64-92 3%     0 - 2 -11.5 -1.8 -8.8
  Nov 12, 2024 94   @ Georgia Tech L 62-81 9%     0 - 3 -11.0 -8.3 -1.6
  Nov 17, 2024 124   @ Samford L 82-97 14%     0 - 4 -10.0 +3.6 -12.4
  Nov 24, 2024 41   @ New Mexico L 68-99 3%     0 - 5 -15.6 -2.2 -10.2
  Dec 01, 2024 202   Texas St. L 59-72 44%     0 - 6 -18.2 -14.7 -4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 175   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-87 21%     0 - 7 -14.3 +0.0 -15.1
  Dec 14, 2024 82   @ Nevada L 73-105 7%     0 - 8 -22.5 +2.1 -23.5
  Dec 17, 2024 52   @ Boise St. L 51-82 4%     0 - 9 -17.3 -18.6 +3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 211   @ Abilene Christian L 65-69 26%     0 - 10 -4.1 -9.9 +6.2
  Jan 04, 2025 240   Southern L 58-67 51%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -16.1 -15.1 -1.0
  Jan 06, 2025 328   Grambling St. W 71-66 OT 73%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -8.1 -14.0 +5.3
  Jan 13, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 82-53 95%     2 - 11 2 - 1 +3.4 -1.5 +4.9
  Jan 18, 2025 325   Alcorn St. W 66-57 72%     3 - 11 3 - 1 -3.7 -8.0 +4.9
  Jan 20, 2025 262   Jackson St. W 81-73 56%     4 - 11 4 - 1 -0.4 +3.6 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 82-78 OT 74%     5 - 11 5 - 1 -9.3 -9.0 -1.0
  Jan 27, 2025 288   @ Alabama St. W 80-69 42%     6 - 11 6 - 1 +6.3 +4.8 +1.3
  Feb 01, 2025 360   Prairie View W 79-63 87%     7 - 11 7 - 1 -2.9 +2.7 -4.5
  Feb 04, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 68-69 81%     7 - 12 7 - 2 -16.8 -16.8 +0.1
  Feb 08, 2025 326   Florida A&M L 64-66 72%     7 - 13 7 - 3 -14.7 -14.3 -0.4
  Feb 10, 2025 289   Bethune-Cookman L 77-80 64%     7 - 14 7 - 4 -13.3 +1.9 -15.2
  Feb 15, 2025 328   @ Grambling St. W 67-60 54%     8 - 14 8 - 4 -0.6 -5.7 +5.2
  Feb 17, 2025 240   @ Southern L 57-66 31%     8 - 15 8 - 5 -10.6 -17.2 +7.2
  Feb 22, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 79-38 98%     9 - 15 9 - 5 +9.9 -9.0 +17.9
  Feb 24, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-56 91%     10 - 15 10 - 5 +3.7 -2.2 +6.1
  Mar 01, 2025 262   @ Jackson St. L 52-67 35%     10 - 16 10 - 6 -17.9 -21.7 +4.1
  Mar 03, 2025 325   @ Alcorn St. W 75-59 52%     11 - 16 11 - 6 +8.8 +7.2 +3.2
  Mar 08, 2025 360   @ Prairie View W 80-68 74%     12 - 16 12 - 6 -1.4 +1.5 -2.8
  Mar 13, 2025 288   Alabama St. W 70-69 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 16.4 83.6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 16.0 16.4 83.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 16.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.4%
Lose Out 47.3%