Vermont
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#220
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#241
Pace60.7#351
Improvement-2.8#323

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#309
First Shot-2.0#232
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#327
Layup/Dunks-4.1#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#97
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement-0.9#253

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#123
First Shot+0.9#141
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#125
Layups/Dunks-2.0#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#48
Freethrows-0.5#226
Improvement-1.9#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 13.2% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 50.4% 57.1% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.6% 82.7% 59.4%
Conference Champion 14.0% 16.8% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 4.7%
First Four3.3% 2.9% 4.2%
First Round10.8% 11.8% 7.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 73.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 412 - 815 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 127   @ UAB W 67-62 21%     1 - 0 +10.1 +0.4 +10.2
  Nov 06, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 43-94 1%     1 - 1 -24.6 -20.4 -4.4
  Nov 09, 2024 195   @ Merrimack L 51-65 33%     1 - 2 -12.7 -13.8 -0.3
  Nov 15, 2024 247   @ Iona L 59-62 44%     1 - 3 -4.8 -10.5 +5.6
  Nov 19, 2024 330   Buffalo W 78-67 82%     2 - 3 -2.1 +4.7 -5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 215   Delaware W 75-71 48%     3 - 3 +1.3 +0.1 +1.3
  Nov 24, 2024 297   Fairfield L 66-67 65%     3 - 4 -8.4 -5.2 -3.2
  Nov 30, 2024 170   Northeastern W 68-64 51%     4 - 4 +0.5 -2.6 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2024 174   Brown L 53-60 51%     4 - 5 -10.6 -8.8 -3.5
  Dec 07, 2024 98   @ Yale L 50-65 15%     4 - 6 -7.0 -14.4 +5.6
  Dec 15, 2024 241   @ Colgate L 60-65 43%     4 - 7 -6.4 -6.4 -0.7
  Dec 18, 2024 200   Miami (OH) W 75-67 56%     5 - 7 +3.2 +1.1 +2.2
  Dec 21, 2024 280   @ Dartmouth L 54-84 51%     5 - 8 -33.4 -16.9 -17.6
  Jan 04, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 67-60 74%    
  Jan 09, 2025 144   @ Umass Lowell L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 185   @ Bryant L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 16, 2025 302   Binghamton W 67-59 75%    
  Jan 23, 2025 352   NJIT W 66-54 87%    
  Jan 25, 2025 245   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 302   @ Binghamton W 64-62 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 217   Maine W 63-60 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 233   @ Albany L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 13, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 70-57 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 217   @ Maine L 60-63 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 185   Bryant W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 144   Umass Lowell L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 27, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 63-57 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 245   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-73 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 233   Albany W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.7 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 14.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 4.0 7.1 4.1 0.8 0.1 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.6 8.1 3.5 0.4 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.5 7.9 3.3 0.2 0.0 16.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.9 3.0 0.2 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.3 2.5 0.2 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.5 6.8 10.8 14.5 16.2 15.9 13.2 9.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
14-2 97.1% 1.9    1.7 0.2
13-3 83.1% 4.1    2.9 1.2 0.1
12-4 51.2% 4.7    2.0 2.2 0.5 0.0
11-5 17.4% 2.3    0.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 14.0% 14.0 7.7 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 37.8% 37.8% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.6% 41.1% 41.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 2.0% 31.3% 31.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
13-3 5.0% 28.6% 28.6% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 3.6
12-4 9.2% 21.9% 21.9% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 7.2
11-5 13.2% 18.0% 18.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.1 10.8
10-6 15.9% 12.9% 12.9% 15.7 0.0 0.7 1.4 13.8
9-7 16.2% 9.3% 9.3% 15.8 0.3 1.2 14.7
8-8 14.5% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1 13.4
7-9 10.8% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.6 10.2
6-10 6.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.2 6.5
5-11 3.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.4
4-12 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.2 6.3 87.7 0.0%