Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.0 #155
Expected Predictive Rating +1.1 #148
Pace 77.7 #22
Improvement -4.0 #350

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #162 D- C A- B C+
Defense #171 D+ A C+ D+ A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #104 0.95 #355 -2.8 #276
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #183 0.74 #194 -0.3 #194
Three Pointers 39% #230 0.98 #223 -1.8 #247
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #313 -4.8 #311
Freethrows 19.1 #88 75% #107 14.4 #81
Second Chance 35.1% #66 0.96 #269 0.34 #142
Turnovers 13.8% #31
Total Offense +0.1 #162

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #346 1.14 #145 +5.2 #31
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #54 0.86 #320 -3.2 #350
Three Pointers 45% #82 1.12 #314 -4.3 #327
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #257 -2.2 #254
Freethrows 20.2 #315 70% #71 14.1 #76
Second Chance 28.0% #89 0.84 #12 0.23 #22
Turnovers 17.4% #132
Total Defense -0.2 #171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #152 -2.5% #28
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.0% #326 7.2% #306
Possession Length 16.4 #99 17.0 #134
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #132 0.12 #38
Improvement -1.7 #283 -2.3 #315

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.6% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 13.8
.500 or above 64.3% 75.1% 50.4%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 73.1% 47.4%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.7% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.9% 5.6%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round7.2% 8.5% 5.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UTEP (Away) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 36 - 87 - 13
Quad 410 - 216 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 313 Tennessee Tech W 82 - 70 87%  +9  1 - 0 -0 -4 F B+ B- +2 C- D+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 254 @Eastern Kentucky W 87 - 79 59%  -0  2 - 0 +6 +4 D+ F A+ +1 F A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 16 219 Tennessee St. W 95 - 82 72%  +9  3 - 0 +7 +12 C A- A+ -6 F A+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 7 Vanderbilt L 78 - 83 4%  -6  3 - 1 +15 +4 B+ D+ D- +12 A A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 89 South Florida L 91 - 97 OT 26%  +5  3 - 2 +1 -1 C C C +3 B- A+ C+
 Fri, Nov 28 104 Wichita St. W 75 - 70 32%  +1  4 - 2 +10 +11 B- C- A+ -1 C+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 263 Evansville W 80 - 79 80%  +3  5 - 2 -8 +3 C D D+ -11 F C C+
 Wed, Dec 10 159 @Marshall L 61 - 77 39%  -7  5 - 3 -13 -10 F F C -4 B B- F
 Fri, Dec 19 81 Tulsa L 81 - 82 34%  +3  5 - 4 +3 +6 C C+ A+ -3 C+ A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 29 208 @Jacksonville St. L 67 - 78 48%  -12  5 - 5 0 - 1 -11 -3 F C C -8 F A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 134 Sam Houston St. W 102 - 91 55%  -1  6 - 5 1 - 1 +10 +18 D A+ C -9 D+ B- D+
 Sun, Jan 4 228 Louisiana Tech W 66 - 61 74%  +7  7 - 5 2 - 1 -2 -2 F B- B+ +0 B+ D F
 Thu, Jan 8 136 @New Mexico St. L 64 - 80 33%  -16  7 - 6 2 - 2 -12 -3 F B A+ -9 C+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 10 244 @UTEP W 75 - 73 56% 
 Wed, Jan 14 192 Missouri St. W 76 - 71 68% 
 Sat, Jan 17 162 Kennesaw St. W 86 - 83 63% 
 Wed, Jan 21 99 Liberty L 76 - 78 42% 
 Sat, Jan 24 134 @Sam Houston St. L 80 - 85 33% 
 Wed, Jan 28 162 @Kennesaw St. L 83 - 86 40% 
 Sat, Jan 31 123 @Middle Tennessee L 74 - 79 31% 
 Thu, Feb 5 208 Jacksonville St. W 76 - 70 69% 
 Sat, Feb 7 164 Florida International W 85 - 81 63% 
 Sat, Feb 14 123 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 76 53% 
 Wed, Feb 18 277 @Delaware W 74 - 70 62% 
 Sat, Feb 21 99 @Liberty L 73 - 81 23% 
 Thu, Feb 26 136 New Mexico St. W 78 - 77 55% 
 Sat, Feb 28 244 UTEP W 78 - 70 76% 
 Thu, Mar 5 192 @Missouri St. L 73 - 74 47% 
 Sat, Mar 7 164 @Florida International L 82 - 84 42% 
Totals 15 - 14 10 - 10 +0 +0 D- C A- +0 D+ A C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 5.1 3.9 0.9 0.1 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.6 4.8 1.0 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.7 5.7 1.2 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 6.4 2.0 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.9 3.2 0.2 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.4 3.8 0.3 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.6 1.0 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.9 6.7 10.9 13.7 15.8 15.2 12.6 9.3 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 98.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 84.8% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
15-5 57.3% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1
14-6 27.1% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
13-7 5.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 35.8% 35.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-4 1.0% 26.3% 26.3% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-5 2.5% 20.6% 20.6% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.0
14-6 5.2% 18.9% 18.9% 13.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.2
13-7 9.3% 15.2% 15.2% 13.3 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 7.9
12-8 12.6% 11.1% 11.1% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 11.2
11-9 15.2% 7.2% 7.2% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 14.1
10-10 15.8% 4.6% 4.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 15.0
9-11 13.7% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 13.3
8-12 10.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 10.7
7-13 6.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.6
6-14 3.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.9
5-15 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 13.6 92.7 0.0%