Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.5 288
Results Rating -7.0 276
Pace 69.0 168
Improvement -3.6 315

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 217 D+ C- C D+ C-
Defense D- 327 D D+ F+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 211 D- 50% 345 -3.6 304
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 98 C 38% 185 +1.1 120
Three Pointers 39% 225 C+ 35% 132 -0.5 197
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 245 D+ -2.5 269
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 271
Second Chance C 29.9% 198 C- 1.01 204 C- 0.30 202
Turnovers C 17.0% 191
Freethrows D+ 0.28 270 C 73% 182 D+ 0.20 261
Total Offense C- -1.6 217

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 268 F 18.0% 362
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 121 C+ 4.7% 155
Three Pointers C+ 86% 156 D+ 1.4% 301
Total C- 54% 209 F 8.4% 359

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 239 D 62% 299 +0.6 201
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 356 C+ 37% 145 -2.8 8
Three Pointers 50% 9 D+ 35% 251 +5.6 353
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 315 D+ +2.5 280
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 295
Second Chance C 30.9% 204 D 1.14 319 D+ 0.35 284
Turnovers F+ 13.0% 351
Freethrows C 0.31 210 C+ 72% 135 C 0.22 200
Total Defense D- -6.0 327

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 160 D 7.0% 324
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 75 D+ 3.0% 298
Three Pointers D 89% 318 C 0.9% 154
Total D+ 60% 294 D- 3.4% 334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 262 16.5 36
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 160 0.20 288
Improvement -0.6 #223 -3.1 #321

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 310 290 267
Results Rating Rank 314 275 252
Conference Record 3 - 15 4 - 14 5 - 13
Conference Finish 13 12 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 66% 30% 74%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 48 - 79 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 236 Coastal Carolina W 76 - 71 48% -1  30% 1 - 0 C- -2 D -6 C F F B- +3 B- D- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 197 @Campbell L 82 - 91 21% -6  5% 1 - 1 D -8 D -5 F+ F C- C- -2 D- D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 12 261 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83 - 71 54% +1  45% 2 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -3 D- C- C B+ +6 A+ D D-
 Sun, Nov 16 293 @South Dakota L 78 - 83 39% +3  79% 2 - 2 D -10 C +1 B- A+ F F -11 D+ D- F
 Thu, Nov 20 36 @Ohio St. L 58 - 91 2% -25  0% 2 - 3 F+ -16 F -13 F D+ F C -1 C- B B-
 Sun, Nov 23 284 Mount St. Mary's W 83 - 60 60% +8  97% 3 - 3 B+ +13 B+ +8 B C+ A B+ +6 B- C+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 151 @Valparaiso L 55 - 84 16% -14  6% 3 - 4 F -26 F -14 F B+ F F -14 F F C
 Wed, Dec 3 339 Southern Indiana W 88 - 74 76% +13  95% 4 - 4 C -1 B- +5 B+ C+ B D- -7 F C F
 Sat, Dec 6 260 @SIU Edwardsville W 83 - 73 32% +8  95% 5 - 4 B- +7 A +13 A+ A- F D -5 C- C F
 Sun, Dec 14 26 @Iowa L 51 - 91 2% -30  0% 5 - 5 F -21 F -11 F B+ B F -14 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 207 Buffalo L 71 - 88 42% -10  6% 5 - 6 0 - 1 F -23 D -5 D- F A+ F -19 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 161 @Toledo L 79 - 84 17% +3  59% 5 - 7 0 - 2 C- -2 C +0 D- C- D- C- -2 A- F D+
 Tue, Jan 6 83 @Miami (OH) L 76 - 87 6% -6  6% 5 - 8 0 - 3 C -1 C- -1 D D B+ C+ +1 C D- A-
 Sat, Jan 10 248 Eastern Michigan W 79 - 62 51% +1  54% 6 - 8 1 - 3 B +9 B +6 B+ B F B +4 C- A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 13 185 Massachusetts L 82 - 85 39% -4  16% 6 - 9 1 - 4 D+ -8 B +6 B A+ B F -14 C+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 79 @Akron L 89 - 104 6% -2  42% 6 - 10 1 - 5 C- -4 A+ +19 A+ B C+ F -24 F F F+
 Tue, Jan 20 166 Bowling Green L 54 - 72 34% -10  9% 6 - 11 1 - 6 F -21 F -18 F D F D+ -4 C A F
 Sat, Jan 24 270 Central Michigan W 77 - 65 56% +3  62% 7 - 11 2 - 6 C+ +3 C- -1 D- D- A+ B +4 A+ F+ D+
 Tue, Jan 27 323 @Northern Illinois L 65 - 85 49% -12  0% 7 - 12 2 - 7 F -27 C- -1 F+ D- D+ F -29 F F F
 Tue, Feb 3 209 @Ohio L 71 - 91 23% -13  0% 7 - 13 2 - 8 F -20 D+ -4 C+ F A+ F -16 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 7 237 @Texas St. L 61 - 77 27% -5  19% 7 - 14 F+ -17 D- -8 F C+ D F -11 F C+ D-
 Wed, Feb 11 161 Toledo L 79 - 90 34% -5  15% 7 - 15 2 - 9 D- -14 C +1 F A A+ F -15 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 248 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 62 29% -2  30% 8 - 15 3 - 9 B+ +12 B+ +8 F+ A+ A+ B +5 C B F
 Tue, Feb 17 79 Akron L 73 - 90 13% -13  1% 8 - 16 3 - 10 D- -12 C- -1 C+ F A+ F -12 F+ A F
 Sat, Feb 21 270 @Central Michigan L 70 - 83 34% -7  12% 8 - 17 3 - 11 F+ -16 F -11 F C F+ D+ -4 D C+ D-
 Tue, Feb 24 166 @Bowling Green L 70 - 80 17%
 Fri, Feb 27 83 Miami (OH) L 77 - 88 14%
 Tue, Mar 3 313 Ball St. W 73 - 68 67%
 Fri, Mar 6 144 @Kent St. L 75 - 86 14%
Totals 9 - 20 4 - 14 -8 C- -2 A- D+ C- D- -6 C+ C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- C C+ D+ 38% 45% 39% C- D+ C C- C- C D+ C D+ D- D C+ D+ D+ 37% 14% 50% D D C D D+ F+ C C+ C
1.06 50% 38% 35% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.0 .30 17% .28 73% .20 1.17 62% 37% 35% +3 +1 1.09 31% 1.1 .35 13% .31 72% .20
Nov
3		 Coastal Carolina D D+ A+ F C 38% 31% 31% C+ C F C- F F A+ A A+ B- D- B- A B- 25% 26% 49% C B- B F D- B- D- A+ C
1.01 50% 53% 27% -2 -1 0.96 16% 1.0 .16 20% .58 80% .46 0.94 62% 36% 27% -5 -2 0.89 22% 1.4 .32 17% .32 60% .19
Nov
9		 Campbell D F C- C+ F 50% 25% 25% C F+ D+ F F C- A A A+ C- A- C+ F F+ 32% 13% 55% B D- A+ F D+ C+ F C+ F
1.02 50% 36% 36% -4 0 0.95 28% 0.8 .23 19% .40 81% .32 1.13 47% 33% 42% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.6 .38 19% .63 71% .44
Nov
12		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ C F D F+ 43% 14% 43% C+ D- A- F C- C D+ D+ D+ B+ B+ C A+ A+ 30% 13% 57% C+ A+ F B- D D- C D- C-
1.09 60% 25% 32% -2 +1 1.00 43% 0.8 .33 20% .25 73% .18 0.94 50% 38% 23% -12 0 0.79 29% 0.9 .27 12% .24 75% .18
Nov
16		 South Dakota C A- C+ F B- 62% 15% 23% B B- A- A+ A+ F F A- D- F A- F D+ D 28% 15% 57% C+ D+ C F D- F B- A+ A-
1.13 69% 43% 27% +5 +2 1.17 41% 1.5 .59 22% .20 82% .17 1.21 47% 50% 35% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.3 .34 4% .33 64% .21
Nov
20		 Ohio St. F F F F F 21% 42% 38% F F D+ D+ D+ F C- C C- C F F B- C- 33% 16% 51% D- C- F A+ B B- D+ C- D+
0.80 45% 27% 25% -12 -4 0.70 26% 0.9 .23 22% .27 73% .19 1.25 83% 56% 32% +10 0 1.22 47% 0.7 .33 17% .38 78% .30
Nov
23		 Mount St. Mary's B+ C A+ D+ B 43% 19% 38% B- B D A+ C+ A F A+ F+ B+ C A+ C+ B- 41% 10% 49% D+ B- A F C+ B A F B
1.22 56% 64% 32% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.4 .33 9% .23 86% .19 0.88 57% 0% 32% -6 +2 0.94 21% 1.3 .27 25% .22 82% .18
Nov
29		 Valparaiso F F F B- F 42% 27% 31% C- F C A+ B+ F F+ F F F A+ F F F 30% 24% 46% D F F F+ F C F F F
0.85 42% 17% 36% -12 -1 0.78 31% 1.2 .37 25% .24 58% .14 1.29 43% 45% 48% +6 -1 1.13 42% 1.2 .52 15% .47 88% .42
Dec
3		 Southern Indiana B- B- A+ B B+ 49% 15% 36% B- B+ F A+ C+ B F F F D- A+ C- F F 33% 23% 44% C F A+ F C F F A+ F
1.22 62% 56% 38% +7 +1 1.19 17% 2.0 .34 14% .19 67% .13 1.02 38% 36% 43% -1 -1 0.98 20% 1.2 .24 10% .55 50% .28
Dec
6		 SIU Edwardsville A D A+ A+ A+ 27% 30% 43% D- A+ C A+ A- F A- A+ A+ D C- D- A- C 34% 21% 45% D- C- B F C F C A B-
1.22 50% 54% 58% +18 -2 1.34 33% 1.3 .43 28% .39 89% .35 1.07 58% 42% 28% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 7% .27 59% .16
Dec
14		 Iowa F F F F F 34% 21% 45% C- F A C- B+ B A+ F C- F F+ D- F F 40% 8% 52% D- F B- D+ C+ F B A+ A
0.79 38% 10% 24% -20 0 0.62 36% 0.9 .33 20% .43 50% .21 1.42 71% 50% 48% +17 +2 1.40 31% 1.1 .34 9% .29 65% .19
Dec
20		 Buffalo D D C- C D- 35% 14% 51% C D- D+ F F A+ F+ C D- F F A+ C+ C- 34% 8% 58% D- D+ D F F F D- C- D-
1.08 55% 38% 34% -1 +1 1.02 29% 0.4 .12 11% .20 75% .15 1.34 71% 25% 34% +4 +1 1.12 30% 1.5 .45 6% .39 75% .29
Dec
30		 Toledo C F C+ B D- 36% 27% 38% F+ D- A F C- D- C C C C- F F A+ A 37% 22% 41% C- A- F C F D+ F A F
1.10 45% 40% 38% -2 -1 0.96 45% 0.7 .33 21% .25 71% .18 1.17 78% 55% 10% -4 0 0.94 43% 1.0 .43 14% .58 67% .39
Jan
6		 Miami (OH) C- D A F F+ 52% 19% 30% B+ D C+ F D B+ A- D+ B+ C+ F C- A+ C+ 43% 11% 47% D- C F A- D- A- F D+ F
1.03 54% 50% 25% -4 +1 0.96 30% 0.6 .19 15% .35 73% .25 1.18 80% 40% 27% +5 +2 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 19% .57 79% .45
Jan
10		 Eastern Michigan B A+ F+ A+ A+ 31% 38% 31% F B+ B+ C B F A+ C+ A+ B D B- A+ B- 49% 6% 45% F C- A+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A
1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38 0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11
Jan
13		 Massachusetts B D- A+ A- B+ 32% 15% 53% C B A- A+ A+ B F B- F F C- C C+ C 29% 19% 52% C+ C+ D+ F F F+ C- F F+
1.21 53% 63% 39% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.3 .47 15% .28 75% .21 1.26 60% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 15% .35 80% .28
Jan
17		 Akron A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 21% 44% D+ A+ B B B C+ D+ F D- F D C+ F F 33% 15% 53% C+ F F F F F+ A+ F A
1.31 61% 64% 48% +16 0 1.33 37% 1.1 .40 18% .25 64% .16 1.53 67% 38% 55% +19 0 1.42 41% 1.5 .62 12% .15 89% .13
Jan
20		 Bowling Green F F A+ F F 34% 15% 51% C F C- F D F F+ B+ D D+ C+ F A B- 58% 6% 36% F C C+ A+ A F F B- F
0.81 31% 57% 25% -13 0 0.77 28% 0.8 .23 23% .25 77% .19 1.08 55% 67% 28% -3 +3 1.02 26% 0.4 .11 12% .46 70% .32
Jan
24		 Central Michigan C- D- F+ D F+ 50% 15% 35% B D- D D+ D- A+ A+ C A+ B C A+ A+ A+ 39% 14% 47% F A+ C- F F+ D+ F D F
1.13 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 10% .54 70% .38 0.96 58% 0% 17% -17 +1 0.69 29% 1.3 .39 16% .46 73% .33
Jan
27		 Northern Illinois C- F F C+ D- 34% 17% 49% D+ F+ A F D- D+ A+ A+ A+ F B- F F F 36% 8% 56% D+ F F D+ F F A+ B+ A+
1.07 50% 29% 35% -4 0 0.95 42% 0.6 .25 18% .54 81% .44 1.40 50% 75% 50% +13 +1 1.32 50% 0.9 .44 15% .19 60% .12
Feb
3		 Ohio D+ D F A+ C 52% 21% 27% B- C+ F F+ F A+ A F F F F D- F F 35% 8% 58% F F D+ F F D- D F F
1.03 52% 27% 50% +1 +1 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 9% .40 40% .16 1.32 72% 50% 40% +11 +1 1.27 30% 1.3 .40 13% .37 82% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Texas St. D- F A- C+ F 40% 22% 38% D+ F C+ C+ C+ D F A+ F F F F+ F F 36% 32% 32% B F A- D C+ D- A F B+
0.96 40% 45% 37% -4 0 0.94 31% 1.0 .31 20% .12 83% .10 1.21 68% 47% 41% +10 -2 1.19 27% 1.0 .27 16% .19 90% .17
Feb
11		 Toledo C F B- D F 28% 31% 41% F F D+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- F D+ F F F 49% 15% 36% F F A+ F B+ F F A+ F+
1.15 40% 41% 32% -5 -2 0.87 32% 1.6 .50 12% .28 82% .23 1.31 62% 75% 47% +14 +1 1.34 14% 1.5 .21 7% .44 61% .27
Feb
14		 Eastern Michigan B+ F F A+ F 54% 19% 27% B F+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ B C- A+ F C 38% 28% 34% C C A+ F B F A A+ A+
1.18 31% 22% 54% -10 +1 0.85 39% 1.3 .50 11% .40 83% .33 0.96 60% 13% 44% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 12% .16 56% .09
Feb
17		 Akron C- A+ F A+ B+ 20% 35% 45% F C+ F F+ F A+ D- B D F D A+ F F+ 49% 9% 42% F F+ D- A+ A F C C+ C
1.08 82% 21% 44% +6 -3 1.07 17% 0.8 .14 13% .22 77% .17 1.33 67% 0% 48% +9 +2 1.25 38% 0.8 .29 10% .26 75% .20
Feb
21		 Central Michigan F F+ D- F F 47% 25% 27% D+ F D- A C F+ A- A- A D+ F+ D+ A+ C- 51% 15% 34% F D B D+ C+ D- F F F
0.94 50% 31% 21% -11 0 0.80 30% 1.4 .41 20% .42 76% .32 1.11 67% 43% 25% +1 +2 1.06 25% 1.1 .29 15% .60 76% .46



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.3 0.2 0.5 8th
9th 2.8 2.9 0.1 5.9 9th
10th 1.4 11.9 1.2 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 13.9 7.2 0.0 21.2 11th
12th 26.9 1.2 28.1 12th
13th 21.5 8.2 0.0 29.8 13th
Total 21.5 50.5 23.1 4.5 0.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 4.5% 4.5
5-13 23.1% 23.1
4-14 50.5% 50.5
3-15 21.5% 21.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2%
Lose Out 21.5%