Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.3 #273
Expected Predictive Rating -6.0 #258
Pace 69.0 #174
Improvement -1.5 #252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #198 C- C- C- C- C-
Defense #321 C- D D- C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #214 1.03 #322 -3.0 #286
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #128 0.80 #113 +1.3 #105
Three Pointers 40% #206 1.05 #127 +0.1 #175
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #228 -1.7 #228
Freethrows 0.28 #262 73% #159 0.20 #235
Second Chance 31.0% #162 0.94 #295 0.29 #228
Turnovers 17.8% #253
Total Offense -1.2 #198

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #278 1.22 #266 +0.7 #150
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #347 0.78 #230 +2.3 #31
Three Pointers 50% #7 1.02 #176 -4.8 #344
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #241 -1.9 #240
Freethrows 0.30 #189 71% #87 0.21 #159
Second Chance 32.3% #259 1.16 #325 0.37 #317
Turnovers 13.2% #342
Total Defense -5.1 #321

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #243 1.2% #280
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.6% #220 2.4% #225
Possession Length 18.1 #258 16.2 #32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #125 0.20 #292
Improvement +1.3 #105 -2.8 #319

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.5% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 0.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.9% 27.6% 57.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Away) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 13
Quad 49 - 610 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 239 Coastal Carolina W 76 - 71 54% -1  1 - 0 -2 -5 C F F +2 B- D- B
 Sun, Nov 9 212 @Campbell L 82 - 91 27% -6  1 - 1 -9 -4 F+ F C- -4 D D+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 216 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83 - 71 50% +1  2 - 1 +6 +1 D C- C +4 A+ C- D
 Sun, Nov 16 285 @South Dakota L 78 - 83 42% +3  2 - 2 -9 +2 B- A+ F -11 C- D+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 36 @Ohio St. L 58 - 91 3% -25  2 - 3 -16 -11 F D+ F -4 C- C+ C+
 Sun, Nov 23 289 Mount St. Mary's W 83 - 60 65% +8  3 - 3 +13 +10 B C+ A+ +3 C+ C+ B-
 Sat, Nov 29 160 @Valparaiso L 55 - 84 20% -14  3 - 4 -26 -10 F B+ F -18 F F C
 Wed, Dec 3 332 Southern Indiana W 88 - 74 76% +13  4 - 4 +0 +10 B+ B B- -10 F C- F
 Sat, Dec 6 252 @SIU Edwardsville W 83 - 73 35% +8  5 - 4 +8 +15 A+ B+ F -7 C- C F
 Sun, Dec 14 21 @Iowa L 51 - 91 2% -30  5 - 5 -20 -8 F B+ B -16 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 204 Buffalo L 71 - 88 47% -10  5 - 6 0 - 1 -23 -3 D F A+ -20 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 159 @Toledo L 79 - 84 19% +3  5 - 7 0 - 2 -2 +3 F+ C D- -5 B+ F D+
 Tue, Jan 6 90 @Miami (OH) L 76 - 87 8% -6  5 - 8 0 - 3 -2 +1 D D B+ -2 C F+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 237 Eastern Michigan W 79 - 62 54% +1  6 - 8 1 - 3 +10 +9 B+ B F +2 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 13 173 Massachusetts L 82 - 85 41% -4  6 - 9 1 - 4 -7 +11 B+ A+ B -18 C F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 61 @Akron L 89 - 104 5% -2  6 - 10 1 - 5 -3 +22 A+ B B- -25 F F F+
 Tue, Jan 20 151 Bowling Green L 54 - 72 36% -10  6 - 11 1 - 6 -21 -16 F D F+ -5 C+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 294 Central Michigan W 77 - 65 66% +3  7 - 11 2 - 6 +1 +2 D D- A+ -0 A+ F+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 308 @Northern Illinois L 65 - 85 48% -12  7 - 12 2 - 7 -26 +1 D- D- C -30 F F F
 Tue, Feb 3 199 @Ohio L 75 - 82 27%
 Sat, Feb 7 259 @Texas St. L 71 - 75 37%
 Wed, Feb 11 159 Toledo L 78 - 81 39%
 Sat, Feb 14 237 @Eastern Michigan L 71 - 76 32%
 Tue, Feb 17 61 Akron L 77 - 89 12%
 Sat, Feb 21 294 @Central Michigan L 74 - 76 44%
 Tue, Feb 24 151 @Bowling Green L 71 - 81 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 90 Miami (OH) L 77 - 86 19%
 Tue, Mar 3 298 Ball St. W 74 - 69 66%
 Fri, Mar 6 145 @Kent St. L 75 - 85 18%
Totals 10 - 19 5 - 13 -6 -1 C- C- C- -5 C- D D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 1.1 0.1 2.1 7th
8th 0.8 3.3 0.8 4.8 8th
9th 0.8 6.8 3.4 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.2 6.0 7.4 0.6 14.2 10th
11th 3.3 11.2 2.2 16.7 11th
12th 2.0 13.1 6.2 0.2 21.4 12th
13th 4.5 13.9 9.2 0.5 0.0 28.1 13th
Total 4.5 15.8 25.9 24.7 17.4 8.3 2.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.0 0.0 0.7
8-10 2.7% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.6
7-11 8.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 8.3
6-12 17.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.4
5-13 24.7% 24.7
4-14 25.9% 25.9
3-15 15.8% 15.8
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%