IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.3	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	-14.0	#345

Pace	69.3	#166
Improvement	-1.6	#256

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#271

First Shot	-5.8	#328
After Offensive Rebound	+2.2	#58

Layup/Dunks	+1.4	#135
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#88
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.5	#348
Freethrows	-2.2	#305

Improvement	+0.0	#173

Defense
Total Defense	-4.7	#315

First Shot	-5.3	#336
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.6	#128

Layups/Dunks	-3.9	#315
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#89
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.4	#309
Freethrows	+0.9	#118

Improvement	-1.6	#267

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.4%	1.1%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.1%	1.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	8.1%	24.4%	6.6%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.5%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	15.9%	7.3%	16.7%

First Four	0.4%	1.0%	0.3%
First Round	0.2%	1.0%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Away) - 8.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 10	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	283	@ Coastal Carolina	L	56-60	33%	0 - 1			-7.8	-13.2	+4.9
Nov 11, 2024	81	@ Butler	L	65-85	6%	0 - 2			-10.2	-3.6	-6.6
Nov 15, 2024	270	SIU Edwardsville	L	60-79	52%	0 - 3			-27.8	-11.9	-16.8
Nov 17, 2024	350	Canisius	W	92-69	76%	1 - 3			+7.4	+10.7	-2.9
Nov 20, 2024	258	South Dakota	L	76-80	50%	1 - 4			-12.3	-9.3	-2.8
Nov 27, 2024	199	@ Youngstown St.	W	73-62	18%	2 - 4			+12.2	+7.2	+5.5
Dec 03, 2024	64	@ Dayton	L	69-77	4%	2 - 5			+3.5	+12.7	-10.6
Dec 13, 2024	119	@ St. Thomas	L	71-77	10%	2 - 6			-0.5	+2.5	-3.4
Dec 15, 2024	125	@ North Dakota St.	L	62-98	11%	2 - 7			-30.7	-10.8	-21.4
Dec 20, 2024	205	Valparaiso	L	73-76	39%	2 - 8			-8.4	-3.4	-5.0
Dec 30, 2024	11	@ Michigan St.	L	62-80	1%	2 - 9			+2.6	-1.8	+5.0
Jan 04, 2025	209	Toledo	L	70-76	40%	2 - 10	0 - 1		-11.7	-12.1	+0.7
Jan 07, 2025	286	Bowling Green	L	79-83	56%	2 - 11	0 - 2		-13.9	+2.0	-16.0
Jan 11, 2025	166	@ Miami (OH)	L	71-91	15%	2 - 12	0 - 3		-17.2	-3.7	-12.7
Jan 14, 2025	113	@ Kent St.	L	60-74	9%
Jan 18, 2025	332	Buffalo	W	78-73	69%
Jan 21, 2025	356	Northern Illinois	W	78-69	79%
Jan 25, 2025	242	@ Central Michigan	L	66-73	25%
Jan 28, 2025	218	@ Ball St.	L	69-77	22%
Feb 01, 2025	318	Eastern Michigan	W	78-74	63%
Feb 04, 2025	142	@ Ohio	L	70-83	12%
Feb 11, 2025	132	@ Akron	L	71-84	11%
Feb 15, 2025	166	Miami (OH)	L	72-77	32%
Feb 18, 2025	332	@ Buffalo	L	75-76	48%
Feb 22, 2025	242	Central Michigan	L	69-70	46%
Feb 25, 2025	142	Ohio	L	73-80	28%
Mar 01, 2025	356	@ Northern Illinois	W	75-72	59%
Mar 04, 2025	113	Kent St.	L	63-71	23%
Mar 07, 2025	286	@ Bowling Green	L	74-78	35%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0							0.6	4th
5th									0.1	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0								1.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.0	2.0	0.7	0.1									3.9	6th
7th							0.3	2.4	4.1	2.0	0.2										9.0	7th
8th						0.4	3.8	6.9	3.5	0.5	0.0										15.2	8th
9th				0.0	1.1	6.8	9.7	5.1	0.7	0.0											23.5	9th
10th			0.0	1.5	6.5	9.2	3.7	0.6	0.0												21.5	10th
11th		0.0	1.2	5.3	6.4	2.5	0.2	0.0													15.6	11th
12th	0.2	1.3	3.0	3.1	1.0	0.1															8.6	12th

Total	0.2	1.3	4.2	9.9	15.1	18.9	17.7	15.2	9.4	5.2	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0							Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	93.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
13-5	45.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	6.5%	0.0			0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.0%																							0.0
13-5	0.0%																							0.0
12-6	0.2%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
11-7	0.7%		4.3%	4.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
10-8	1.9%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
9-9	5.2%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.1	5.1
8-10	9.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	9.3
7-11	15.2%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	15.1
6-12	17.7%																							17.7
5-13	18.9%																							18.9
4-14	15.1%																							15.1
3-15	9.9%																							9.9
2-16	4.2%																							4.2
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		0.4%	0.4%	0.0%	16.0																	0.4	99.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%