Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.2 271
Results Rating -6.3 267
Pace 69.5 146
Improvement -1.8 254

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 225 D C+ B- D D+
Defense D 305 D+ D+ C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 265 D+ 54% 285 -3.1 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 90 C+ 39% 128 +1.5 95
Three Pointers 40% 195 D 31% 299 -2.1 254
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 268 D+ -3.1 292
1st FG Attempt D 0.95 300
Second Chance C+ 31.5% 154 B- 1.08 100 C+ 0.34 105
Turnovers B- 15.3% 88
Freethrows D+ 0.27 284 D- 68% 324 D 0.18 319
Total Offense C- -1.8 225

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 188 D+ 12.6% 277
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 269 B 2.9% 45
Three Pointers B- 88% 101 F+ 1.9% 347
Total C- 53% 229 C- 6.0% 221

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 32 C- 60% 241 +4.5 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 287 D+ 40% 274 -0.9 118
Three Pointers 38% 255 D+ 36% 256 -0.3 165
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 326 D+ +2.3 269
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 289
Second Chance C 30.0% 167 D- 1.15 335 D+ 0.35 268
Turnovers C- 16.2% 213
Freethrows D+ 0.33 271 D+ 74% 277 D+ 0.25 284
Total Defense D -4.4 305

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 282 C- 10.1% 207
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 85 D- 1.9% 331
Three Pointers C- 85% 221 C- 0.7% 190
Total C- 57% 221 C- 5.1% 212

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 108 17.9 276
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 91 0.22 337
Improvement -1.4 #255 -0.4 #215

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 290 271 251
Results Rating Rank 298 265 242
Conference Record 7 - 13 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 10 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Oakland (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 49 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 259 Hampton W 90 - 86 59% +6  79% 1 - 0 C- -5 C+ +2 D- B A+ D- -7 F+ C A-
 Sat, Nov 8 238 @Wofford L 76 - 86 32% -12  0% 1 - 1 D -11 D- -8 F+ F+ A C- -3 B- F B
 Mon, Nov 10 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 92 - 72 68% +7  87% 2 - 1 B +9 A +12 B+ A+ B C- -3 D+ F+ B+
 Wed, Nov 12 38 @Indiana L 70 - 101 3% -13  2% 2 - 2 D- -14 C +0 A- C F F -15 F F F+
 Fri, Nov 14 14 @Texas Tech L 63 - 80 1% -4  29% 2 - 3 C+ +5 C+ +2 C- A+ D- C+ +1 A F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 97 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 9% -1  37% 2 - 4 D -8 F+ -9 F B- C+ C -0 C A D-
 Sat, Nov 29 79 @Akron L 81 - 105 7% -13  1% 2 - 5 D- -13 C +0 F A- B F -11 F C+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 179 Robert Morris W 74 - 72 42% -1  39% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C- -2 D -6 D+ F A B- +3 B+ A+ F+
 Sun, Dec 14 213 Indiana St. L 68 - 70 49% -1  40% 3 - 6 D+ -8 D -6 F A A+ C- -3 F D A
 Fri, Dec 19 210 South Dakota St. W 88 - 87 37% +1  52% 4 - 6 C- -2 A +12 B A- C+ F -14 F+ F D
 Sun, Dec 21 314 @Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 50% -0  45% 5 - 6 2 - 0 C+ +4 B- +4 D- B- A+ C+ +1 A- C- F
 Mon, Dec 29 261 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77 - 55 59% +19  91% 6 - 6 3 - 0 B+ +13 C +0 F+ A+ F A+ +14 A A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 30 @Wisconsin L 60 - 80 2% -14  0% 6 - 7 C- -2 F -13 F C- F+ A+ +12 B A+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 153 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 19% -7  5% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C- -3 C +0 D C A+ D+ -3 A- F+ F+
 Mon, Jan 5 225 @Green Bay L 76 - 79 30% -8  13% 6 - 9 3 - 2 C- -4 B- +5 A+ F D F+ -9 F B+ D-
 Fri, Jan 9 195 Northern Kentucky L 67 - 85 46% -13  4% 6 - 10 3 - 3 F -23 D -4 F+ C A+ F -20 C+ F D-
 Sun, Jan 11 325 IU Indianapolis W 95 - 83 76% -0  33% 7 - 10 4 - 3 C -1 A +12 A- A+ B F -14 D C- D-
 Thu, Jan 15 172 Oakland L 60 - 73 40% -9  0% 7 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -17 F -24 F C- D A +8 A F A+
 Sun, Jan 18 261 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 82 - 100 37% -9  0% 7 - 12 4 - 5 F -21 C+ +2 C+ F B- F -22 F F F
 Thu, Jan 22 179 @Robert Morris L 76 - 88 22% -7  14% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D -10 C +0 B F B- F -11 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 198 @Youngstown St. W 65 - 64 25% -1  47% 8 - 13 5 - 6 C+ +2 D- -8 D- C B A +10 A- A A-
 Fri, Jan 30 153 Wright St. L 69 - 76 37% -5  15% 8 - 14 5 - 7 D -10 F -12 F+ D+ B+ B- +2 B F+ B
 Sun, Feb 1 314 Cleveland St. L 88 - 90 72% -4  0% 8 - 15 5 - 8 D- -14 C+ +2 C B+ C+ F -16 F F D
 Wed, Feb 4 255 Detroit Mercy L 63 - 76 57% -8  0% 8 - 16 5 - 9 F -21 F -12 F+ D- D+ F -11 F F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 195 @Northern Kentucky L 62 - 67 25% -2  37% 8 - 17 5 - 10 C- -4 D -6 D D+ B C+ +1 C+ C- C+
 Tue, Feb 10 325 @IU Indianapolis W 92 - 88 55% -2  36% 9 - 17 6 - 10 C- -3 C+ +3 F A+ B D -6 C- C+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 225 Green Bay W 75 - 72 52% -3  5% 10 - 17 7 - 10 C- -4 C+ +3 C- F A D -6 F A B-
 Fri, Feb 20 255 @Detroit Mercy L 86 - 91 35% -2  25% 10 - 18 7 - 11 D+ -7 B+ +8 B+ A+ D+ F -15 F C+ D+
 Sun, Feb 22 172 @Oakland L 78 - 87 21%
 Wed, Feb 25 198 Youngstown St. L 75 - 76 46%
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -6 C- -2 B D+ D+ D -4 D D- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C+ D D+ 36% 46% 40% D+ D C+ B- C+ B- D+ D- D D C- D+ D+ D+ 44% 17% 38% D D+ C D- D+ C- D+ D+ D+
1.06 54% 39% 31% -3 -1 0.95 31% 1.1 .34 15% .27 68% .18 1.15 60% 40% 36% +2 +1 1.09 30% 1.2 .35 16% .33 74% .20
Nov
3		 Hampton C+ C+ F D D- 40% 18% 42% C D- A+ D- B A+ A+ F A D- B+ F F F+ 40% 21% 38% F+ F+ D B C A- F C- F
1.13 64% 20% 30% -3 0 0.96 41% 0.9 .37 11% .60 55% .33 1.08 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.8 .30 23% .55 74% .41
Nov
8		 Wofford D- F F B+ F+ 45% 24% 31% D F+ F B+ F+ A C- C+ C- C- C+ D A+ B 57% 13% 30% F+ B- F F+ F B F F F
1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22 1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40
Nov
10		 Arkansas Little Rock A A C+ A+ A- 30% 16% 54% D+ B+ D+ A+ A+ B A+ A A+ C- B A+ F C 52% 20% 28% F D+ B+ F F+ B+ D C D
1.32 73% 38% 44% +13 0 1.28 33% 1.7 .56 16% .39 78% .31 1.04 54% 20% 43% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.5 .39 22% .28 67% .18
Nov
12		 Indiana C B- A+ F A+ 27% 47% 25% F A- A- F C F C+ F F F D A+ F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F F D F F+ F A D
0.99 57% 58% 23% +5 -4 1.04 35% 0.8 .30 21% .32 39% .13 1.43 68% 25% 50% +15 +2 1.37 38% 1.2 .45 10% .42 70% .30
Nov
14		 Texas Tech C+ B+ B+ F C+ 23% 43% 34% F+ C- B A+ A+ D- C+ A- B C+ D A C A 24% 26% 50% A- A F+ D F C- C+ F D
0.97 64% 45% 19% -4 -4 0.87 30% 1.3 .40 20% .29 73% .21 1.23 67% 31% 36% +2 -2 1.02 42% 1.1 .47 14% .25 93% .23
Nov
22		 Wichita St. F+ D+ F F F 30% 32% 38% D+ F C- A B- C+ C+ F+ C- C A+ F F C 45% 24% 31% C C B A A D- F C F
0.87 53% 25% 26% -10 -2 0.78 26% 1.2 .31 16% .29 63% .18 1.12 41% 50% 40% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .28 12% .47 68% .32
Nov
29		 Akron C D- F D F 38% 11% 51% B F B+ A- A- B C- F D- F F F F F 52% 7% 41% F F A F C+ A- D+ F+ D-
1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15 1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24
Dec
6		 Robert Morris D C F D+ D+ 37% 14% 49% C+ D+ D F F A A- D B B- B B C+ B+ 42% 29% 29% B- B+ A+ B A+ F+ F+ F F
1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32 1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28
Dec
14		 Indiana St. D F A- F F 35% 26% 39% D+ F B- A+ A A+ A- A A C- F F B+ F 38% 17% 45% A F B+ F D A A+ C+ A+
1.04 37% 50% 19% -13 -1 0.74 36% 1.3 .47 9% .32 79% .25 1.07 72% 88% 29% +10 0 1.23 20% 1.6 .32 23% .12 67% .08
Dec
19		 South Dakota St. A F A+ A+ A- 30% 28% 42% D- B A+ F A- C+ D A+ C F D+ D F+ F+ 38% 13% 50% D F+ D- F F D C+ A+ A-
1.28 25% 67% 50% +8 -2 1.15 50% 0.8 .42 15% .26 87% .22 1.27 62% 43% 39% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.3 .42 13% .25 53% .13
Dec
21		 Cleveland St. B- B C- D+ D 25% 25% 51% F+ D- B+ D+ B- A+ F B- F C+ A+ B D- A- 29% 25% 45% A- A- A+ F C- F D- B D
1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13 1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28
Dec
29		 Purdue Fort Wayne C D- C D+ F+ 37% 22% 41% D F+ A+ A A+ F C+ B B- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 54% D A A+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A
1.14 53% 36% 33% -3 0 0.96 54% 1.3 .69 24% .29 80% .23 0.82 62% 20% 23% -9 +1 0.88 11% 0.0 .00 13% .17 60% .10
Dec
30		 Wisconsin F F B+ F F 33% 29% 38% D+ F B F C- F+ A C A A+ F+ F A+ B+ 47% 14% 39% D+ B A+ A+ A+ C F A+ D-
0.80 35% 47% 15% -16 -1 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 20% .35 71% .25 1.07 71% 57% 20% 0 +2 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 12% .49 63% .30
Jan
1		 Wright St. C F C A- D+ 35% 41% 24% F D C- B- C A+ F F F D+ A C C A 47% 28% 26% B- A- F+ D F+ F+ F F F
1.08 47% 41% 38% -1 -3 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 9% .19 64% .12 1.17 45% 38% 33% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.2 .43 12% .44 84% .37
Jan
5		 Green Bay B- A+ B- A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% F A+ C F F D D+ D D+ F+ F C+ C+ F 60% 19% 21% D- F A+ F B+ D- F A- F
1.20 89% 40% 48% +16 -3 1.29 30% 0.8 .23 16% .32 71% .22 1.25 80% 38% 33% +13 +2 1.31 14% 1.3 .19 13% .52 69% .36
Jan
9		 Northern Kentucky D B- C F F 37% 20% 43% C- F+ D A- C A+ C F D F D+ F A+ B 39% 4% 57% F+ C+ F F F D- C F D
1.05 61% 40% 24% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .37 14% .35 58% .20 1.33 63% 50% 25% -5 +2 0.96 49% 1.4 .68 14% .29 81% .24
Jan
11		 IU Indianapolis A A+ A+ D+ A- 53% 6% 41% B+ A- A+ A- A+ B B F C- F C+ F C+ D+ 48% 14% 38% F D C- D+ C- D- D- F F
1.37 78% 67% 33% +12 +3 1.31 48% 1.4 .66 17% .44 64% .28 1.20 57% 63% 32% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 13% .23 93% .22
Jan
15		 Oakland F F D- F F 46% 25% 30% C+ F C+ D+ C- D B+ F C- A C+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 16% 30% F+ A C F F A+ F D F
0.81 50% 36% 6% -17 0 0.68 36% 0.9 .32 17% .29 56% .16 0.98 56% 13% 20% -12 +2 0.82 31% 1.5 .44 21% .41 79% .32
Jan
18		 Purdue Fort Wayne C+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 25% 30% D C+ D F F B- A B+ A F F B- F F 46% 21% 33% C F C- F F F D F F+
1.12 50% 62% 44% +7 0 1.15 29% 0.7 .21 18% .35 81% .28 1.37 69% 33% 53% +13 0 1.30 23% 1.6 .35 10% .29 79% .23
Jan
22		 Robert Morris C C- D A+ A- 33% 22% 44% D B F+ F F B- D F F F F+ B F F 49% 14% 37% F F F+ F+ F A F B F
1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22 1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Youngstown St. D- F A+ F F 56% 8% 36% A+ D- D A C B F+ F+ F A B+ F A A 47% 4% 49% F A- D+ A+ A A- F D F
0.96 50% 50% 28% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.2 .31 16% .28 69% .19 0.95 52% 50% 27% -7 +3 0.93 32% 0.6 .21 24% .39 75% .29
Jan
30		 Wright St. F C A F F 43% 14% 43% B F+ C+ F+ D+ B+ F F F B- F A+ A+ A- 47% 8% 45% F B C+ F F+ B F+ A+ C+
0.95 58% 50% 21% -7 +1 0.91 32% 0.9 .27 14% .19 50% .10 1.04 72% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 30% 1.5 .43 19% .39 57% .22
Feb
1		 Cleveland St. C+ C A+ B- C+ 23% 21% 56% D- C C- A+ B+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F C F F F 31% 4% 64% F F F+ F F D F C- F
1.26 64% 60% 37% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35 1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34
Feb
4		 Detroit Mercy F B A+ F D- 35% 25% 40% F+ F+ D D D- D+ F+ C+ D- F F B F F 43% 33% 24% F+ F C+ F F B- D+ D- D
0.99 65% 50% 16% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 16% .28 73% .20 1.19 70% 33% 45% +8 -1 1.15 31% 1.4 .42 17% .30 81% .25
Feb
7		 Northern Kentucky D D- F B+ D- 43% 17% 39% C+ D F A+ D+ B F F+ F C+ C- D+ B C+ 31% 12% 57% C+ C+ B F C- C+ F D+ F
0.99 50% 25% 39% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.4 .32 18% .21 64% .14 1.07 62% 40% 29% -3 +1 0.98 26% 1.3 .32 18% .45 74% .33
Feb
10		 IU Indianapolis C+ C F F F 50% 17% 33% C- F B- A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ D F A+ D C- 38% 21% 41% D+ C- B D+ C+ F F D F
1.19 61% 25% 20% -8 +1 0.89 39% 1.6 .61 17% .64 76% .48 1.14 74% 8% 36% +1 0 1.03 24% 1.1 .26 9% .28 75% .21
Feb
15		 Green Bay C+ C+ F A+ C- 38% 26% 36% C- C- F+ F+ F A A+ A- A+ D B F F F 48% 14% 38% D F C+ A+ A B- C D+ C-
1.22 63% 9% 47% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 10% .67 81% .54 1.17 50% 83% 50% +12 +1 1.29 23% 0.7 .15 18% .36 78% .28
Feb
20		 Detroit Mercy B+ C A+ B- B 50% 9% 41% B+ B+ B+ A+ A+ D+ D+ F F F C F F F 40% 20% 40% F F C C+ C+ D+ F D F
1.23 59% 60% 36% +4 +2 1.15 38% 1.5 .57 16% .32 47% .15 1.30 55% 70% 45% +12 0 1.26 32% 0.9 .29 14% .43 81% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 2.2 2.2 7th
8th 27.9 7.7 35.7 8th
9th 32.3 18.5 50.9 9th
10th 10.5 0.6 11.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 42.8 47.1 10.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 10.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.9
8-12 47.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.7 46.3
7-13 42.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.5 42.3
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 98.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 1.6 98.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 26.9%