Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.6 #226
Expected Predictive Rating -3.7 #231
Pace 70.5 #149
Improvement +0.8 #134

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #167 D+ C+ B+ F D-
Defense #290 C- C D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #326 1.07 #286 -5.1 #329
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #70 0.78 #138 +2.6 #63
Three Pointers 41% #173 0.98 #224 -0.5 #201
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #259 -3.0 #259
Freethrows 14.7 #311 67% #322 9.8 #330
Second Chance 33.7% #100 1.05 #177 0.35 #108
Turnovers 14.4% #53
Total Offense +0.1 #167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #64 1.17 #194 -3.0 #279
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #190 0.82 #280 -0.6 #225
Three Pointers 37% #289 1.04 #217 +1.7 #123
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #240 -1.9 #240
Freethrows 17.3 #188 76% #328 13.2 #141
Second Chance 29.0% #116 1.14 #295 0.33 #206
Turnovers 14.6% #298
Total Defense -3.6 #290

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.4% #318 0.8% #249
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.5% #225 2.8% #233
Possession Length 16.5 #108 18.1 #304
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #66 0.22 #319
Improvement +0.6 #146 +0.2 #173

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 6.3% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 26.0% 27.9% 11.2%
.500 or above in Conference 66.4% 69.5% 41.7%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 1.4%
First Four1.2% 1.2% 1.3%
First Round5.5% 5.7% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 13
Quad 411 - 514 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 252 Hampton W 90 - 86 67%  +6  1 - 0 -4 +4 D B- A+ -9 F C A
 Sat, Nov 8 223 @Wofford L 76 - 86 37%  -12  1 - 1 -10 -4 F F A+ -6 C F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 92 - 72 75%  +7  2 - 1 +9 +15 B- A+ A- -5 D+ F C
 Wed, Nov 12 25 @Indiana L 70 - 101 3%  -13  2 - 2 -12 +5 A+ C+ F -17 F F F
 Fri, Nov 14 17 @Texas Tech L 63 - 80 3%  -4  2 - 3 +3 +3 C- A+ F -2 A F C
 Sat, Nov 22 104 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 15%  -1  2 - 4 -9 -9 F C C -1 C A+ D-
 Sat, Nov 29 64 @Akron L 81 - 105 8%  -13  2 - 5 -12 +2 F B+ B+ -12 F A+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 206 Robert Morris W 74 - 72 57%  -1  3 - 5 1 - 0 -4 -4 C- F A+ +0 B- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 191 Indiana St. L 68 - 70 56%  -1  3 - 6 -7 -2 F A A+ -5 F F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 173 South Dakota St. W 88 - 87 40%  +1  4 - 6 -0 +15 A A B- -15 F F F
 Sun, Dec 21 321 @Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 63%  -0  5 - 6 2 - 0 +3 +9 D+ C+ A+ -5 A- D+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 243 Purdue Fort Wayne W 77 - 55 65%  +19  6 - 6 3 - 0 +14 +3 F A+ F +12 A A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 43 @Wisconsin L 60 - 80 5%  -14  6 - 7 -5 -9 F C- F +5 B- A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 1 148 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 25%  -7  6 - 8 3 - 1 -2 +4 D+ C A+ -7 A F F
 Mon, Jan 5 249 @Green Bay L 76 - 79 44%  -8  6 - 9 3 - 2 -5 +8 A+ F D- -14 F B F
 Fri, Jan 9 174 Northern Kentucky L 67 - 85 52%  -13  6 - 10 3 - 3 -22 -1 F C+ A+ -22 C F F
 Sun, Jan 11 355 IU Indianapolis W 93 - 80 89% 
 Thu, Jan 15 124 Oakland L 83 - 86 40% 
 Sun, Jan 18 243 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77 - 79 43% 
 Thu, Jan 22 206 @Robert Morris L 73 - 77 35% 
 Sat, Jan 24 210 @Youngstown St. L 73 - 77 36% 
 Fri, Jan 30 148 Wright St. L 75 - 76 46% 
 Sun, Feb 1 321 Cleveland St. W 85 - 76 81% 
 Wed, Feb 4 281 Detroit Mercy W 81 - 75 71% 
 Sat, Feb 7 174 @Northern Kentucky L 75 - 80 30% 
 Sun, Feb 15 249 Green Bay W 76 - 72 66% 
 Fri, Feb 20 281 @Detroit Mercy W 79 - 78 51% 
 Sun, Feb 22 124 @Oakland L 80 - 89 21% 
 Wed, Feb 25 210 Youngstown St. W 76 - 74 58% 
 Sat, Feb 28 355 @IU Indianapolis W 90 - 83 73% 
Totals 13 - 17 10 - 10 -4 +0 D+ C+ B+ -4 C- C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.3 0.7 0.1 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.9 1.4 0.1 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.4 6.8 2.1 0.2 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.9 8.2 2.8 0.1 0.0 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.7 8.3 3.1 0.2 0.0 15.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.2 4.0 0.4 14.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 5.4 10.1 15.5 18.4 17.8 14.3 9.3 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 87.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 52.1% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.5% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.7% 19.7% 19.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.4
14-6 4.5% 14.2% 14.2% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 3.8
13-7 9.3% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 8.0
12-8 14.3% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3 0.0 0.9 0.4 13.0
11-9 17.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.7 0.4 0.7 16.7
10-10 18.4% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.1 0.7 17.6
9-11 15.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 15.1
8-12 10.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-13 5.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.4
6-14 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.3 94.0 0.0%