Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#151
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#191
Pace62.1#342
Improvement+1.1#115

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#114
First Shot+1.2#138
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#109
Layup/Dunks+2.2#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#67
Freethrows-2.9#335
Improvement-1.1#267

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#237
First Shot-3.5#292
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#76
Layups/Dunks-0.6#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#304
Freethrows-1.6#299
Improvement+2.2#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 14.7% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.4
.500 or above 61.4% 71.1% 45.4%
.500 or above in Conference 83.7% 90.1% 72.9%
Conference Champion 14.2% 19.1% 6.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round12.4% 14.5% 9.0%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 410 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 109   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 25%     0 - 1 -1.8 +9.8 -12.8
  Nov 13, 2024 268   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 62%     0 - 2 -5.8 +0.6 -6.7
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -26.3 -21.5 -9.2
  Nov 22, 2024 125   St. Thomas W 81-73 42%     1 - 3 +10.2 +9.7 +0.7
  Nov 23, 2024 132   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 33%     1 - 4 +2.6 +7.5 -5.0
  Nov 24, 2024 251   Portland St. L 74-79 69%     1 - 5 -9.9 +1.9 -12.1
  Dec 01, 2024 197   North Alabama W 74-54 68%     2 - 5 +15.2 +1.0 +15.0
  Dec 04, 2024 229   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 74%     3 - 5 +17.4 +16.3 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 181   @ Elon L 56-79 43%     3 - 6 -21.0 -12.8 -9.7
  Dec 16, 2024 117   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 29%     3 - 7 -4.1 +1.3 -6.0
  Dec 18, 2024 137   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 35%     4 - 7 +7.3 +7.7 -0.1
  Jan 01, 2025 161   UNC Greensboro W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 142   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 311   Western Carolina W 77-65 86%    
  Jan 11, 2025 113   @ Furman L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 15, 2025 172   @ Chattanooga L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 235   Mercer W 77-70 75%    
  Jan 22, 2025 354   The Citadel W 76-60 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 118   @ Samford L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 29, 2025 344   VMI W 79-64 91%    
  Feb 01, 2025 161   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 05, 2025 172   Chattanooga W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 235   @ Mercer W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 12, 2025 354   @ The Citadel W 73-63 82%    
  Feb 15, 2025 118   Samford W 80-79 51%    
  Feb 19, 2025 344   @ VMI W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 142   East Tennessee St. W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 26, 2025 311   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 113   Furman W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.7 3.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 14.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.6 3.4 0.6 0.0 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 16.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.8 7.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.5 6.5 2.4 0.1 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.8 2.0 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 2.5 1.0 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.8 7.6 11.3 14.3 15.9 14.7 11.9 8.3 4.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 98.2% 2.1    1.9 0.2
15-3 86.4% 3.9    2.9 0.9 0.1
14-4 56.0% 4.7    2.1 2.0 0.4 0.0
13-5 20.3% 2.4    0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.2% 14.2 8.2 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 40.5% 40.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 41.5% 41.5% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.1% 34.8% 34.8% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.4
15-3 4.5% 30.5% 30.5% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 3.1
14-4 8.3% 25.0% 25.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.1 6.2
13-5 11.9% 19.7% 19.7% 13.8 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 9.5
12-6 14.7% 13.2% 13.2% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 12.8
11-7 15.9% 10.6% 10.6% 14.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.1 14.2
10-8 14.3% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 13.2
9-9 11.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.2 0.5 10.7
8-10 7.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.2
7-11 4.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 4.6
6-12 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 2.4
5-13 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 14.1 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.2 3.2 1.2 87.3 0.0%