Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.2 #223
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 #158
Pace 68.7 #200
Improvement +0.7 #138

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #165 D C- C+ B+ B
Defense #275 C D+ D+ C+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #169 0.98 #336 -3.3 #293
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #314 0.64 #309 -3.2 #327
Three Pointers 48% #60 0.97 #241 +2.2 #113
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #303 -4.4 #301
Freethrows 20.7 #34 73% #168 15.1 #41
Second Chance 31.3% #162 0.96 #278 0.30 #219
Turnovers 15.8% #129
Total Offense +0.1 #165

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #9 1.10 #106 -3.7 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #220 0.76 #201 +0.6 #157
Three Pointers 34% #343 1.08 #281 +2.4 #97
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #202 -0.7 #202
Freethrows 15.5 #87 77% #346 11.9 #216
Second Chance 32.4% #247 1.11 #265 0.36 #273
Turnovers 15.0% #279
Total Defense -3.3 #275

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.8% #74 1.8% #328
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.2% #330 -0.3% #174
Possession Length 18.0 #250 16.6 #80
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #252 0.13 #45
Improvement +3.7 #13 -3.0 #336

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 11.5% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 88.9% 96.4% 85.8%
.500 or above in Conference 87.7% 96.0% 84.3%
Conference Champion 14.0% 24.1% 9.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Round9.0% 11.4% 8.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Away) - 28.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 415 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 92 @George Mason L 46 - 70 13%  -9  0 - 1 -15 -19 F D+ F +3 B D- A-
 Sat, Nov 8 226 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 63%  +12  1 - 1 +3 +2 F A D +1 B- A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 33 @Auburn L 62 - 93 4%  -19  1 - 2 -14 -7 F F C -7 C F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 280 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 52%  +8  2 - 2 +4 +14 A+ F D -10 C+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 350 North Florida W 86 - 78 88%  +1  3 - 2 -8 -2 F A C -6 D- A+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 174 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 31%  -2  3 - 3 -8 +6 F D A+ -14 F D- F
 Sat, Nov 29 254 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 47%  +8  4 - 3 +4 +4 F D A+ -1 A- F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 289 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 75%  +4  5 - 3 -3 -7 F D A+ +4 A- D C-
 Sat, Dec 6 163 Elon L 52 - 73 51%  -21  5 - 4 -25 -18 F F B- -9 D- A+ B
 Mon, Dec 15 363 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 82%  +11  6 - 4 +13 +5 F A+ D+ +9 B A A-
 Wed, Dec 17 104 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 15%  -7  6 - 5 -3 +8 C- B+ A- -12 F B+ D-
 Wed, Dec 31 283 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 52%  +3  7 - 5 1 - 0 +1 +3 C- C- C- -2 A- C C
 Sat, Jan 3 360 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 80%  +8  8 - 5 2 - 0 -3 +18 A+ F D -21 F F C
 Wed, Jan 7 284 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 74%  +11  9 - 5 3 - 0 +2 +18 D A+ A+ -15 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 160 @Mercer L 76 - 82 29% 
 Wed, Jan 14 273 Chattanooga W 78 - 72 72% 
 Sat, Jan 17 150 @Furman L 71 - 78 27% 
 Wed, Jan 21 229 Samford W 78 - 74 63% 
 Sat, Jan 24 160 Mercer W 79 - 78 50% 
 Thu, Jan 29 273 @Chattanooga W 75 - 74 51% 
 Sat, Jan 31 128 East Tennessee St. L 73 - 75 42% 
 Wed, Feb 4 332 @VMI W 79 - 75 66% 
 Sat, Feb 7 283 Western Carolina W 81 - 74 73% 
 Wed, Feb 11 229 @Samford L 75 - 77 41% 
 Sat, Feb 14 284 @UNC Greensboro W 78 - 77 52% 
 Wed, Feb 18 332 VMI W 82 - 72 83% 
 Sat, Feb 21 150 Furman L 74 - 75 48% 
 Wed, Feb 25 128 @East Tennessee St. L 70 - 78 22% 
 Sat, Feb 28 360 The Citadel W 82 - 67 91% 
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 -3 +0 D C- C+ -3 C D+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.7 3.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 14.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.0 7.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.5 7.6 2.3 0.2 19.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 7.7 7.1 1.9 0.1 18.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.8 5.3 1.2 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.5 7.2 11.7 15.6 17.3 16.2 12.9 8.0 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 97.6% 1.6    1.5 0.1
15-3 85.5% 3.4    2.6 0.8 0.0
14-4 58.2% 4.7    2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 24.9% 3.2    0.8 1.5 0.9 0.1
12-6 4.3% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.0% 14.0 7.4 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 20.3% 20.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.7% 22.5% 22.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.3
15-3 3.9% 23.9% 23.9% 14.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.0
14-4 8.0% 17.1% 17.1% 14.5 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 6.6
13-5 12.9% 13.8% 13.8% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 11.1
12-6 16.2% 10.7% 10.7% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 14.5
11-7 17.3% 7.8% 7.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.4 16.0
10-8 15.6% 5.5% 5.5% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 14.7
9-9 11.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.1 0.3 11.2
8-10 7.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.0
7-11 3.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.5
6-12 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 14.9 90.8 0.0%