Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.3 238
Results Rating -2.1 200
Pace 69.1 163
Improvement -0.8 215

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 148 C- D+ B- C+ B
Defense D 309 D+ D+ D+ C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 119 D+ 54% 283 -0.3 192
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 282 C 38% 181 -2.2 286
Three Pointers 44% 117 C- 33% 229 +1.0 149
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 69 D+ -2.3 262
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 218
Second Chance C- 28.0% 249 D+ 0.97 275 D+ 0.27 269
Turnovers B- 15.0% 76
Freethrows B- 0.33 103 C- 71% 220 C+ 0.24 126
Total Offense C +0.5 148

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 165 C- 11.6% 217
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 264 C+ 4.5% 144
Three Pointers C- 81% 255 D- 1.7% 331
Total C 56% 174 C- 6.1% 240

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 C+ 56% 125 +3.9 316
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 275 D+ 40% 269 -0.7 127
Three Pointers 36% 323 D- 38% 332 -0.6 154
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 342 C- +1.5 242
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 261
Second Chance C 30.2% 172 D- 1.15 328 D+ 0.35 267
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 275
Freethrows C 0.30 177 F 78% 362 C- 0.24 245
Total Defense D -4.8 309

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 154 C- 9.6% 225
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 282 D- 1.2% 350
Three Pointers D+ 86% 258 A- 2.1% 23
Total C 56% 188 C 5.5% 180

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 226 16.6 60
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 311 0.17 183
Improvement +2.9 #63 -3.7 #334

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 257 235 206
Results Rating Rank 239 204 171
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8% 11% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round7% 11% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Away) - 19.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 416 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 105 @George Mason L 46 - 70 14% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -23 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 68% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 F+ A- C- C+ +1 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 33 @Auburn L 62 - 93 3% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -13 F+ -10 F+ D- C+ D+ -3 C F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 285 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 51% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ F D+ D+ -5 C- F+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 340 North Florida W 86 - 78 84% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 D- A- D+ C- -3 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 195 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 31% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -9 C+ +3 F+ D- A F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 279 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 47% +8  91% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C +0 F D A+ B- +2 A F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 277 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 69% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -3 F+ -10 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 227 Elon L 52 - 73 60% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -28 F -23 F F C+ F+ -8 F A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 364 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 85% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +10 C +1 F+ A+ C- A +10 B+ A- B+
 Wed, Dec 17 97 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 12% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -2 B+ +8 C A- B+ F -11 F C D-
 Wed, Dec 31 247 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 41% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 C- -1 C C- D+ B +4 B+ B- B
 Sat, Jan 3 348 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 71% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 A+ +20 A+ F C F -20 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 301 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 75% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A +14 D A+ A+ F -13 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 178 @Mercer L 97 - 109 28% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +12 B- B B- F -21 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 274 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 69% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -18 F -13 D- F A- D -6 F A D+
 Sat, Jan 17 175 @Furman W 74 - 70 27% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +6 B+ +8 B B- B C- -2 A F C
 Wed, Jan 21 190 Samford W 88 - 78 52% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 B- +5 A+ +14 A+ C B F+ -9 F+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 178 Mercer W 80 - 77 49% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C +1 C- A- B- C- -2 C A+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 274 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 46% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +23 B+ +8 C D+ A A+ +16 A+ B C-
 Sun, Feb 1 131 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 38% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -15 C +2 C- B- A- F -18 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 358 @VMI W 81 - 67 80% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +1 C +0 C+ F A C+ +1 D A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 247 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 64% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -3 B- F F+ B+ +7 A D C-
 Wed, Feb 11 190 @Samford L 80 - 97 30% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C +0 C- F+ A+ F -15 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 301 @UNC Greensboro L 89 - 99 54% -12  0% 15 - 10 9 - 5 F+ -15 B +7 C+ A C- F -22 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 358 VMI W 82 - 76 91% +3  60% 16 - 10 10 - 5 D- -13 D+ -3 B D C F -10 D+ F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 175 Furman L 67 - 76 49% -4  24% 16 - 11 10 - 6 D- -13 D+ -3 C D- A- F -11 F B D-
 Wed, Feb 25 131 @East Tennessee St. L 71 - 80 20%
 Sat, Feb 28 348 The Citadel W 79 - 67 87%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 -4 C +0 F D+ B D -5 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C- D+ 41% 28% 44% B C- C- D+ D+ B- B- C- C+ D C+ D+ D- C- 47% 18% 36% D- D+ C D- D+ D+ C F C-
1.09 54% 38% 33% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .27 15% .33 71% .24 1.15 56% 40% 38% +2 +1 1.07 30% 1.1 .35 15% .30 78% .26
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% C- F C- F D F A F B- B C+ B B- B+ 42% 25% 33% C+ B B F D B A D+ B+
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B- F F 57% 13% 30% B+ F+ A C- A- C- A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ A+ F A F C- F D
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F+ C- C- F F 40% 20% 40% B- F+ D- D- D- C+ F A- F D+ C+ F D D+ 35% 22% 44% A C F B- F+ B- A A+ A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% F+ C- F C F+ F F D+ F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +23 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D C- A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A D- C- A+ A- D+ A+ F+ A- C- C A+ F D- 36% 12% 53% C- D- A+ D- A+ D- A+ B- A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D F+ D+ F D- A A+ B+ A+ F F+ A C D- 55% 22% 24% C- D- C F F F F D- F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C C- D+ D- F 29% 20% 51% C- F D+ D D A+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ A- A+ 28% 20% 52% D+ A D F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D F 39% 10% 51% B- F B- F D- A+ C+ B B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- D+ D- C- C+ B+ B-
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F+ F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F C+ C F D F+ B- F F F 52% 9% 39% D F F+ A+ A B- B- F C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F 39% 20% 41% C- F+ A+ B A+ C- B+ F C+ A B F A+ B+ 48% 22% 30% C+ B+ A+ D+ A- B+ D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D A+ F+ D+ 37% 18% 45% B+ C A+ C A- B+ A+ B A+ F F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% C+ F A- F C D- F C- F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C- F A+ B+ C- 32% 12% 56% B- C D B C- D+ A- F+ B B B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ B- B F C+ F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D- A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B A+ B+ F F C A- A- A F C- B+ F F 43% 14% 43% F+ F F F F B- D+ F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A F A B D- 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A- A- F F+ 44% 19% 37% F+ F+ D- F F D C+ B- B-
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% A- B- C A+ B B- A C+ A F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B- F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +19 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C D- F F F A- B+ F C D C F F F 38% 14% 48% D- F A A+ A D+ D- C+ D
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B 44% 16% 40% B B D+ A+ B- B C- B+ C C- A+ F A+ A- 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C C- F D-
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C B A+ C A+ F+ D- F B+ D- 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ F D- D+ A+ F A-
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +3 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C D- D+ A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A- A- B- C B C+ C- C+ D- C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% F C A A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B+ D+ F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F D+ A D+ F+ D A+ B B- A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D+ A+ D A+ B C- F+ A+ C+
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -12 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ D- D 58% 8% 34% A C- F A+ B- A- C A- C+ F B+ A B A 59% 14% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A B- 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A B- A C+ C B- C- D- 42% 17% 40% D+ D B+ A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D+ A- B- D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B B- F C- F F+ F A+ D- B+ A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D C- A+ A+ A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D B C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ B+ F C+ F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D+ F C+ F F A- C D D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 UNC Greensboro B A- A+ D- C 39% 18% 43% B- C+ A+ C+ A C- A+ D A+ F C+ F F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F A- C B F F F F
1.27 70% 56% 32% +6 0 1.16 43% 1.1 .49 14% .47 68% .32 1.41 55% 64% 53% +15 0 1.32 21% 1.0 .21 4% .57 76% .43
Feb
18		 VMI D+ A- A+ B B- 31% 4% 64% B+ B F+ B- D C A+ C- A+ F C+ C- B- D+ 47% 15% 38% D- D+ B- F F+ C- F+ F F
1.19 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.27 30% 1.1 .33 16% .48 71% .35 1.10 52% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.94 23% 1.4 .31 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
21		 Furman D+ C+ A+ F D+ 48% 8% 44% A+ C D- D D- A- A F C F B- A+ F F 55% 11% 34% F F A C- B D- D+ F D-
1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18 1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +3 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.3 52.6 17.3 70.2 2nd
3rd 2.4 19.4 21.7 3rd
4th 5.2 5.2 4th
5th 2.9 2.9 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 10.7 72.0 17.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 17.3% 10.9% 10.9% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.2 15.4
11-7 72.0% 7.9% 7.9% 15.6 0.2 2.1 3.4 66.3
10-8 10.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.1 0.3 10.3
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 15.4 92.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.9% 100.0% 14.9 0.9 18.0 69.9 11.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.5%
Lose Out 6.5%