Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#239
Pace70.5#126
Improvement-4.2#342

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#187
First Shot-4.4#299
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#12
Layup/Dunks-7.9#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#10
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows-2.3#311
Improvement-2.6#313

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#310
First Shot-2.0#240
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#342
Layups/Dunks-1.7#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#136
Freethrows-0.5#224
Improvement-1.7#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 21.3% 24.4% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 58.8% 64.2% 32.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.7%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 0.9%
First Round2.1% 2.2% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 83.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 147   @ East Tennessee St. W 82-78 20%     1 - 0 +7.9 +15.4 -7.3
  Nov 12, 2024 30   @ Clemson L 62-75 4%     1 - 1 +2.9 +1.8 +0.1
  Nov 19, 2024 360   @ Chicago St. W 86-66 75%     2 - 1 +8.1 +5.5 +1.1
  Nov 25, 2024 249   Ball St. L 61-63 50%     2 - 2 -6.9 -12.3 +5.3
  Nov 26, 2024 190   Southern Illinois W 77-72 36%     3 - 2 +3.7 +2.9 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2024 121   Louisiana Tech L 69-78 24%     3 - 3 -6.4 +3.6 -10.8
  Dec 01, 2024 117   @ Troy L 74-84 17%     3 - 4 -4.5 +5.5 -10.2
  Dec 11, 2024 40   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 5%     3 - 5 -25.5 -11.4 -14.0
  Dec 14, 2024 343   Eastern Illinois W 81-66 82%     4 - 5 +0.5 +0.4 -0.5
  Dec 21, 2024 162   Jacksonville St. L 80-91 41%     4 - 6 -13.5 +5.6 -19.3
  Dec 28, 2024 27   @ Louisville L 76-78 3%     4 - 7 +14.5 +11.1 +3.4
  Jan 02, 2025 338   @ Central Arkansas W 89-83 2OT 65%     5 - 7 1 - 0 -2.7 -2.8 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 163   @ North Alabama L 67-88 23%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -18.1 -5.4 -12.8
  Jan 09, 2025 246   North Florida W 79-74 60%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -2.4 -4.9 +2.4
  Jan 11, 2025 184   Jacksonville L 75-82 46%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -10.8 +1.7 -12.3
  Jan 16, 2025 300   @ Austin Peay L 90-97 OT 51%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -12.0 +5.1 -16.2
  Jan 18, 2025 353   Bellarmine W 72-69 85%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -13.2 -5.1 -7.8
  Jan 23, 2025 348   Stetson W 83-73 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 168   Florida Gulf Coast L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 30, 2025 92   @ Lipscomb L 68-82 9%    
  Feb 01, 2025 300   Austin Peay W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 06, 2025 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-76 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 348   @ Stetson W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 349   West Georgia W 80-70 83%    
  Feb 15, 2025 210   Queens W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 18, 2025 92   Lipscomb L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 20, 2025 353   @ Bellarmine W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 24, 2025 184   @ Jacksonville L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 26, 2025 246   @ North Florida L 84-87 39%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.9 2.1 0.2 5.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.6 5.5 1.0 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.9 6.4 13.8 11.2 2.6 0.1 34.9 6th
7th 0.6 5.3 9.8 5.8 1.1 22.5 7th
8th 0.2 3.0 6.1 3.3 0.5 13.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.2 0.9 0.1 4.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 2.0 6.0 13.3 19.6 21.8 18.6 11.6 4.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 42.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1
13-5 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.3% 7.1% 7.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.7% 11.5% 11.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-6 4.9% 7.7% 7.7% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 4.6
11-7 11.6% 4.2% 4.2% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.1
10-8 18.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.6 0.2 0.3 18.0
9-9 21.8% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.1 0.5 21.2
8-10 19.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 19.4
7-11 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.0
5-13 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 97.5 0.0%