Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#286
Pace71.6#100
Improvement-2.4#298

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#275
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows+0.7#127
Improvement-2.1#312

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot-1.4#218
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#264
Layups/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#209
Freethrows+0.7#132
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 8.1% 12.1% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.6% 31.8% 22.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 8.2% 12.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 55.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 250   Ball St. W 71-66 58%     1 - 0 -2.9 -3.8 +1.0
  Nov 08, 2024 23   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 3%     1 - 1 -17.6 -3.4 -12.0
  Nov 13, 2024 155   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 20%     1 - 2 -1.9 -9.7 +8.1
  Nov 22, 2024 277   NC Central W 93-79 63%     2 - 2 +4.7 +21.2 -15.4
  Nov 26, 2024 284   Austin Peay L 50-62 53%     2 - 3 -18.6 -16.4 -3.8
  Nov 27, 2024 236   Tulsa W 74-71 43%     3 - 3 -1.1 -0.6 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2024 15   @ Kentucky L 76-105 2%     3 - 4 -10.5 +1.0 -8.2
  Dec 06, 2024 193   Kennesaw St. L 77-81 45%     3 - 5 -8.7 -2.8 -5.6
  Dec 14, 2024 190   Charlotte L 63-77 45%     3 - 6 -18.5 -14.7 -3.5
  Dec 17, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 59-100 1%     3 - 7 -14.5 -8.0 -4.0
  Dec 21, 2024 118   @ Troy L 57-77 14%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -14.2 -8.4 -7.0
  Dec 28, 2024 238   Mercer W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 157   South Alabama L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 04, 2025 290   Louisiana W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 08, 2025 243   Georgia Southern W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 281   Coastal Carolina W 70-67 63%    
  Jan 15, 2025 127   @ Texas St. L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 107   @ Arkansas St. L 68-81 11%    
  Jan 23, 2025 201   Marshall L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 135   James Madison L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 201   @ Marshall L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 174   @ Appalachian St. L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 05, 2025 334   Louisiana Monroe W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 13, 2025 309   Old Dominion W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 174   Appalachian St. L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 20, 2025 135   @ James Madison L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 309   @ Old Dominion L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 281   @ Coastal Carolina L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 28, 2025 243   @ Georgia Southern L 75-79 34%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 2.9 0.5 6.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 4.8 1.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 5.7 2.5 0.2 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.4 4.5 0.5 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 4.3 6.1 1.2 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.2 2.2 0.1 12.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.4 8.3 12.1 14.9 15.9 14.4 11.5 7.8 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 82.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 32.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 13.6% 13.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.9% 3.5% 3.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.4% 5.5% 5.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
11-7 4.6% 3.4% 3.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 7.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.5 0.1 0.1 7.7
9-9 11.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.3
8-10 14.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.3
7-11 15.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.9
6-12 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.9
5-13 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-15 4.4% 4.4
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%