Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#58
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#113
Pace68.3#214
Improvement+0.3#147

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#80
First Shot-1.5#223
After Offensive Rebound+5.3#8
Layup/Dunks+1.0#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#151
Freethrows-1.3#245
Improvement-0.7#270

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#45
First Shot+6.2#32
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#263
Layups/Dunks+7.5#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#310
Freethrows+1.7#101
Improvement+1.0#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.6% 3.8% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 7.8% 10.9% 4.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.7% 36.4% 19.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.1% 35.7% 19.0%
Average Seed 8.0 7.8 8.4
.500 or above 46.2% 56.9% 33.2%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 34.1% 23.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 9.9% 15.8%
First Four4.8% 5.2% 4.2%
First Round26.3% 33.7% 17.3%
Second Round13.9% 18.2% 8.6%
Sweet Sixteen4.5% 6.1% 2.6%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.2% 1.0%
Final Four0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Neutral) - 54.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 24 - 48 - 15
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 44 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 342   New Orleans W 89-65 98%     1 - 0 +9.0 +12.8 -2.7
  Nov 09, 2024 218   Cleveland St. W 77-64 91%     2 - 0 +7.3 +3.2 +4.2
  Nov 14, 2024 53   LSU L 65-76 60%     2 - 1 -4.7 -3.2 -1.7
  Nov 19, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 74-56 99%     3 - 1 -5.6 -3.6 -1.0
  Nov 22, 2024 149   George Washington W 83-71 78%     4 - 1 +12.6 +5.5 +6.7
  Nov 24, 2024 73   Liberty W 67-66 55%    
  Dec 01, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 91-63 99.6%   
  Dec 07, 2024 12   @ St. John's L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 17, 2024 80   Drake W 68-63 67%    
  Dec 21, 2024 82   @ Wichita St. L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 30, 2024 18   Cincinnati L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 60   @ TCU L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 07, 2025 88   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 4   Houston L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 14, 2025 23   Texas Tech L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 7   @ Kansas L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 22, 2025 13   @ Baylor L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 54   West Virginia W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 88   Oklahoma St. W 76-71 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 04, 2025 68   @ Arizona St. L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 7   Kansas L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 11, 2025 17   Arizona L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 35   @ BYU L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 17, 2025 50   @ Utah L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 23, 2025 68   Arizona St. W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 26, 2025 84   @ Central Florida L 71-72 46%    
  Mar 02, 2025 66   Colorado W 72-68 62%    
  Mar 05, 2025 18   @ Cincinnati L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 11   Iowa St. L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.5 0.2 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.0 1.8 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.3 0.4 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.2 0.9 0.1 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.5 1.7 0.1 9.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 8.7 15th
16th 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 7.3 16th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.9 6.9 9.6 11.0 12.3 12.4 11.5 9.7 7.3 5.2 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 74.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 52.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 18.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 22.1% 77.9% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.0% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.0% 99.9% 7.7% 92.2% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 3.5% 99.0% 4.1% 94.9% 6.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
12-8 5.2% 95.1% 2.4% 92.7% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 95.0%
11-9 7.3% 83.3% 1.1% 82.2% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.2 83.1%
10-10 9.7% 61.9% 0.4% 61.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.7 61.7%
9-11 11.5% 29.2% 0.4% 28.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.1 28.9%
8-12 12.4% 8.1% 0.2% 7.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.4 7.9%
7-13 12.3% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.2 1.0%
6-14 11.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.1%
5-15 9.6% 9.6
4-16 6.9% 6.9
3-17 3.9% 3.9
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 28.7% 0.9% 27.8% 8.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.9 4.2 3.8 3.7 4.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 71.3 28.1%