Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#128
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#205
Pace66.4#266
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 17.1% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.6 12.0 12.9
.500 or above 71.7% 86.7% 66.7%
.500 or above in Conference 70.9% 81.1% 67.6%
Conference Champion 12.8% 19.0% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.3% 3.4%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round11.6% 16.8% 9.8%
Second Round2.2% 3.7% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 42 - 6
Quad 36 - 57 - 11
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 240   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-68 81%     1 - 0 +12.4 +11.8 +1.1
  Nov 10, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 60-80 37%     1 - 1 -14.2 -7.3 -7.1
  Nov 14, 2024 86   @ Wichita St. L 68-75 25%    
  Nov 19, 2024 312   Western Illinois W 73-59 90%    
  Nov 28, 2024 73   North Texas L 60-65 31%    
  Dec 04, 2024 162   @ Illinois-Chicago L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 07, 2024 294   Northern Illinois W 77-65 87%    
  Dec 13, 2024 266   Nebraska Omaha W 76-65 84%    
  Dec 16, 2024 218   Montana W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 21, 2024 75   Washington St. L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 29, 2024 161   Southern Illinois W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 01, 2025 151   Belmont W 77-72 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 278   @ Valparaiso W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 08, 2025 136   Murray St. W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 11, 2025 173   @ Illinois St. W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 14, 2025 248   Evansville W 76-66 80%    
  Jan 18, 2025 161   @ Southern Illinois L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 21, 2025 195   Missouri St. W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 207   @ Indiana St. W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 29, 2025 98   @ Drake L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 02, 2025 90   Bradley L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 195   @ Missouri St. W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 173   Illinois St. W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 11, 2025 207   Indiana St. W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 16, 2025 136   @ Murray St. L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 19, 2025 151   @ Belmont L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 23, 2025 98   Drake W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 26, 2025 162   Illinois-Chicago W 77-72 66%    
  Mar 02, 2025 90   @ Bradley L 67-73 30%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.1 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 12.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.3 3.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.8 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.6 5.2 7.0 8.7 10.2 11.2 11.1 10.4 9.3 7.5 5.1 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 96.6% 1.7    1.6 0.1
17-3 85.6% 2.9    2.3 0.6 0.0
16-4 61.2% 3.1    1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 36.6% 2.8    1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0
14-6 12.8% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 8.1 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 77.8% 55.6% 22.2% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
19-1 0.7% 62.4% 47.1% 15.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 28.8%
18-2 1.8% 51.6% 45.2% 6.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 11.6%
17-3 3.4% 38.5% 37.3% 1.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 1.9%
16-4 5.1% 29.1% 28.8% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.6 0.4%
15-5 7.5% 24.0% 24.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.7
14-6 9.3% 18.8% 18.8% 12.9 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.6
13-7 10.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.1
12-8 11.1% 9.5% 9.5% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.1
11-9 11.2% 6.6% 6.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.5
10-10 10.2% 4.0% 4.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.8
9-11 8.7% 2.1% 2.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.5
8-12 7.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
7-13 5.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.1
6-14 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-15 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.7% 11.4% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 4.0 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 88.3 0.3%