San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#59
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#73
Pace68.3#199
Improvement-1.5#280

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#117
First Shot+4.1#69
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#284
Layup/Dunks-0.9#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#69
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement-3.5#356

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#19
First Shot+4.8#45
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#39
Layups/Dunks-0.5#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#63
Freethrows+1.8#65
Improvement+1.9#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 14.4% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.7% 8.1% 3.5%
Average Seed 10.1 10.1 10.7
.500 or above 99.5% 99.7% 97.5%
.500 or above in Conference 92.8% 93.3% 87.5%
Conference Champion 5.4% 5.7% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.0% 4.1% 2.5%
First Round11.9% 12.4% 6.2%
Second Round5.2% 5.5% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 1.8% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 91.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 24 - 35 - 9
Quad 36 - 111 - 10
Quad 411 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 265   Cal Poly W 86-78 94%     1 - 0 -0.6 -3.8 +2.1
  Nov 09, 2024 58   Boise St. W 84-73 61%     2 - 0 +17.4 +16.6 +1.1
  Nov 13, 2024 261   Long Beach St. W 84-54 94%     3 - 0 +21.5 +11.4 +12.0
  Nov 16, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 82-37 98%     4 - 0 +27.8 -0.1 +26.0
  Nov 21, 2024 37   Memphis L 64-68 39%     4 - 1 +8.2 -4.6 +12.8
  Nov 25, 2024 35   Clemson L 55-70 39%     4 - 2 -2.7 -4.2 -0.6
  Nov 26, 2024 169   Fordham W 85-64 83%     5 - 2 +20.4 +21.3 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2024 358   Mercyhurst W 87-59 98%     6 - 2 +10.9 +12.4 +0.4
  Dec 05, 2024 143   Saint Louis W 78-61 86%     7 - 2 +14.8 +0.7 +14.2
  Dec 15, 2024 106   Loyola Chicago W 76-66 69%     8 - 2 +14.3 +2.4 +11.3
  Dec 18, 2024 79   @ Bradley L 64-66 47%     8 - 3 +8.1 -7.5 +15.6
  Dec 21, 2024 215   Montana W 80-65 92%    
  Dec 28, 2024 165   Loyola Marymount W 73-60 88%    
  Dec 30, 2024 72   Santa Clara W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 02, 2025 277   @ Pacific W 75-62 88%    
  Jan 04, 2025 77   @ Washington St. L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 09, 2025 325   Portland W 81-59 98%    
  Jan 11, 2025 72   @ Santa Clara L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 237   @ Pepperdine W 76-66 83%    
  Jan 18, 2025 65   Oregon St. W 68-64 63%    
  Jan 23, 2025 43   @ St. Mary's L 63-67 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 319   San Diego W 80-59 97%    
  Feb 01, 2025 77   Washington St. W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 06, 2025 43   St. Mary's W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 165   @ Loyola Marymount W 70-63 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 67-81 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 319   @ San Diego W 77-62 91%    
  Feb 20, 2025 277   Pacific W 78-59 96%    
  Feb 27, 2025 65   @ Oregon St. L 65-67 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 70-78 24%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 6.9 9.0 4.2 0.7 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 8.7 8.1 1.7 0.1 21.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 8.1 6.9 0.9 0.0 18.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 7.1 5.6 0.7 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.5 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.4 7.9 13.2 16.6 18.0 16.0 11.6 6.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-2 72.2% 1.8    1.1 0.7 0.0
15-3 31.4% 2.0    0.7 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 7.1% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.5 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 31.8% 68.2% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 93.7% 23.3% 70.3% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.7%
16-2 2.6% 74.8% 23.2% 51.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 67.2%
15-3 6.3% 50.8% 17.0% 33.8% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.1 3.1 40.7%
14-4 11.6% 30.4% 14.0% 16.4% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 0.2 8.0 19.0%
13-5 16.0% 14.2% 8.1% 6.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.2 13.7 6.6%
12-6 18.0% 6.8% 4.9% 1.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 16.8 2.0%
11-7 16.6% 3.6% 3.2% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 16.0 0.5%
10-8 13.2% 2.2% 2.0% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.9 0.2%
9-9 7.9% 1.4% 1.4% 11.7 0.0 0.1 7.8
8-10 4.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3
7-11 2.0% 2.0
6-12 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.6
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 6.6% 7.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.9 6.7 1.1 0.0 86.2 7.7%