IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.0	#69
Expected Predictive Rating	+14.4	#20

Pace	67.7	#232
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.5	#63

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.5	#80

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.4%	1.4%	0.2%
Top 6 Seed	3.7%	3.8%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.6%	23.9%	8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	17.7%	17.9%	6.0%
Average Seed	9.2	9.2	10.4

.500 or above	95.2%	95.5%	79.3%
.500 or above in Conference	87.0%	87.2%	74.8%
Conference Champion	6.5%	6.6%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	1.1%

First Four	6.0%	6.0%	3.1%
First Round	20.6%	20.9%	7.4%
Second Round	10.1%	10.2%	3.1%
Sweet Sixteen	3.3%	3.4%	1.3%
Elite Eight	1.2%	1.2%	0.4%
Final Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 98.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 2	2 - 5
Quad 2	3 - 3	5 - 7
Quad 3	6 - 2	11 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 1	21 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	333	Cal Poly	W	86-78	96%	1 - 0			-5.1	-3.4	-2.8
Nov 09, 2024	47	Boise St.	W	84-73	54%	2 - 0			+17.9	+16.3	+1.9
Nov 13, 2024	250	Long Beach St.	W	84-54	92%	3 - 0			+22.7	+11.7	+12.8
Nov 16, 2024	342	Chicago St.	W	84-62	98%
Nov 21, 2024	34	Memphis	L	75-78	38%
Nov 25, 2024	44	Clemson	L	70-72	41%
Dec 01, 2024	356	Mercyhurst	W	80-55	99%
Dec 05, 2024	102	Saint Louis	W	79-73	71%
Dec 15, 2024	108	Loyola Chicago	W	73-69	63%
Dec 18, 2024	90	@ Bradley	L	70-71	47%
Dec 21, 2024	218	Montana	W	78-64	90%
Dec 28, 2024	164	Loyola Marymount	W	74-63	83%
Dec 30, 2024	111	Santa Clara	W	78-71	74%
Jan 02, 2025	284	@ Pacific	W	78-67	84%
Jan 04, 2025	75	@ Washington St.	L	73-76	42%
Jan 09, 2025	307	Portland	W	81-62	95%
Jan 11, 2025	111	@ Santa Clara	W	75-74	54%
Jan 16, 2025	229	@ Pepperdine	W	77-69	76%
Jan 18, 2025	103	Oregon St.	W	71-65	70%
Jan 23, 2025	40	@ St. Mary's	L	66-72	31%
Jan 25, 2025	277	San Diego	W	82-65	93%
Feb 01, 2025	75	Washington St.	W	76-73	62%
Feb 06, 2025	40	St. Mary's	W	69-68	51%
Feb 08, 2025	164	@ Loyola Marymount	W	71-66	66%
Feb 13, 2025	4	@ Gonzaga	L	70-84	11%
Feb 15, 2025	277	@ San Diego	W	79-68	83%
Feb 20, 2025	284	Pacific	W	81-64	93%
Feb 27, 2025	103	@ Oregon St.	W	68-67	50%
Mar 01, 2025	4	Gonzaga	L	73-81	25%
Projected Record						20 - 9	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	2.2	1.1	0.1		6.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.9	5.8	7.3	4.6	1.0				20.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	3.5	7.9	7.2	2.2	0.2					21.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.9	4.1	7.5	4.9	0.8	0.0						18.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	3.7	6.0	3.1	0.4	0.0							13.9	5th
6th							0.1	0.7	2.9	4.0	1.8	0.2									9.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	1.8	2.3	0.8	0.1	0.0									5.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.0	0.2	0.0											2.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0												1.0	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0														0.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0																0.1	11th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.9	3.6	6.2	9.3	12.4	14.6	15.1	14.0	10.4	6.8	3.2	1.1	0.1			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	1.1		0.9	0.2
16-2	68.7%	2.2		1.3	0.9	0.0
15-3	29.9%	2.0		0.7	1.1	0.3	0.0
14-4	8.4%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0
13-5	1.1%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%	0.0					0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.5%	6.5		3.2	2.5	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	3.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
17-1	1.1%		98.5%	42.3%	56.2%	4.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		97.3%
16-2	3.2%		90.2%	27.3%	63.0%	6.5		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.3		86.6%
15-3	6.8%		76.7%	19.2%	57.5%	8.6			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.9	0.1					1.6		71.1%
14-4	10.4%		56.2%	14.7%	41.6%	9.7			0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.4	2.0	0.3	0.0				4.6		48.7%
13-5	14.0%		31.8%	9.5%	22.3%	10.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.2	0.5	0.0				9.5		24.6%
12-6	15.1%		16.5%	5.5%	11.1%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	1.4	0.5	0.0				12.6		11.7%
11-7	14.6%		6.7%	3.1%	3.6%	11.2										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.0				13.6		3.7%
10-8	12.4%		2.8%	1.5%	1.2%	11.5											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0				12.0		1.3%
9-9	9.3%		1.1%	1.0%	0.1%	11.8												0.0	0.1	0.0				9.2		0.1%
8-10	6.2%		1.0%	0.9%	0.1%	12.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			6.2		0.1%
7-11	3.6%		0.5%	0.5%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.6
6-12	1.9%		0.2%	0.2%		12.0													0.0					1.9
5-13	0.9%																							0.9
4-14	0.3%																							0.3
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		23.6%	7.2%	16.4%	9.2		0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.6	1.8	2.9	4.1	7.4	1.9	0.1	0.0	0.0		76.4		17.7%