IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.9	#111
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.3	#233

Pace	72.0	#105
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#87

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.4	#156

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	7.2%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.6%	4.6%	0.9%
Average Seed	10.4	9.8	10.8

.500 or above	53.0%	74.6%	47.7%
.500 or above in Conference	60.5%	72.9%	57.5%
Conference Champion	1.2%	2.2%	1.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.6%	0.6%	1.8%

First Four	0.7%	1.7%	0.4%
First Round	3.0%	6.4%	2.2%
Second Round	1.1%	2.7%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 19.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 2	2 - 4	3 - 10
Quad 3	5 - 3	8 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 2	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	102	Saint Louis	W	85-78	46%	1 - 0			+11.9	+8.2	+3.5
Nov 08, 2024	72	Arizona St.	L	74-81	35%	1 - 1			+0.8	+6.0	-5.2
Nov 13, 2024	222	North Dakota St.	L	80-88 OT	82%	1 - 2			-14.1	-6.1	-7.3
Nov 16, 2024	46	@ Nevada	L	68-77	20%
Nov 19, 2024	155	UC Riverside	W	79-73	72%
Nov 23, 2024	70	Stanford	L	73-74	46%
Nov 28, 2024	53	TCU	L	75-80	31%
Dec 03, 2024	99	@ McNeese St.	L	71-75	35%
Dec 07, 2024	234	Fresno St.	W	82-72	82%
Dec 14, 2024	90	Bradley	L	73-75	43%
Dec 18, 2024	176	Kennesaw St.	W	89-81	76%
Dec 21, 2024	252	South Dakota	W	84-73	84%
Dec 28, 2024	229	Pepperdine	W	81-71	81%
Dec 30, 2024	69	@ San Francisco	L	71-78	26%
Jan 02, 2025	277	@ San Diego	W	80-73	73%
Jan 09, 2025	103	Oregon St.	W	72-70	57%
Jan 11, 2025	69	San Francisco	L	74-75	46%
Jan 15, 2025	164	@ Loyola Marymount	W	72-71	53%
Jan 18, 2025	4	@ Gonzaga	L	71-89	6%
Jan 23, 2025	75	Washington St.	L	78-79	48%
Jan 25, 2025	103	@ Oregon St.	L	69-73	37%
Jan 29, 2025	40	St. Mary's	L	70-74	37%
Feb 01, 2025	284	Pacific	W	82-69	87%
Feb 06, 2025	307	@ Portland	W	79-71	76%
Feb 08, 2025	277	San Diego	W	83-70	87%
Feb 11, 2025	40	@ St. Mary's	L	67-77	20%
Feb 19, 2025	164	Loyola Marymount	W	75-68	72%
Feb 22, 2025	75	@ Washington St.	L	75-82	29%
Feb 27, 2025	4	Gonzaga	L	74-86	15%
Mar 01, 2025	284	@ Pacific	W	79-72	73%
Projected Record						15 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	2.5	2.3	1.0	0.1				7.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.5	4.9	2.8	0.6	0.0					11.2	3rd
4th									0.1	0.8	4.3	6.2	3.0	0.3	0.0						14.7	4th
5th								0.1	1.4	5.4	7.2	2.8	0.3	0.0							17.2	5th
6th							0.2	2.0	6.2	6.6	2.3	0.1									17.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	2.3	5.6	4.9	1.4	0.1										14.6	7th
8th					0.3	2.0	3.6	2.6	0.6	0.0											9.1	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.0	1.1	0.2	0.0												4.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1														2.1	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0															0.7	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.3	4.8	7.3	10.5	13.2	14.3	14.3	11.9	9.1	5.7	3.1	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	72.5%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	31.4%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.0
14-4	8.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	1.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%	0.0			0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%								0.0		0.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		96.0%	36.0%	60.0%	6.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		93.8%
16-2	0.5%		74.6%	23.2%	51.4%	8.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		67.0%
15-3	1.4%		43.4%	14.3%	29.1%	9.6						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0					0.8		34.0%
14-4	3.1%		22.3%	8.0%	14.3%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1					2.4		15.6%
13-5	5.7%		10.4%	5.8%	4.6%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0				5.1		4.9%
12-6	9.1%		4.4%	3.4%	1.0%	11.4											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			8.7		1.0%
11-7	11.9%		2.3%	2.2%	0.2%	11.8											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			11.6		0.2%
10-8	14.3%		1.3%	1.2%	0.0%	12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		14.1		0.0%
9-9	14.3%		0.4%	0.4%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		14.3
8-10	13.2%		0.4%	0.4%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.2
7-11	10.5%		0.2%	0.2%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.5
6-12	7.3%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	7.3
5-13	4.8%																							4.8
4-14	2.3%																							2.3
3-15	1.0%																							1.0
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.4%	1.8%	1.5%	10.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	1.2	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	96.6		1.6%