IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#231
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.4	#203

Pace	75.3	#47
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.4	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	5.1%	2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.7	14.2

.500 or above	35.9%	54.7%	28.8%
.500 or above in Conference	42.1%	53.9%	37.6%
Conference Champion	3.1%	5.2%	2.3%
Last Place in Conference	9.7%	5.7%	11.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	3.1%	5.0%	2.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 27.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 5	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	270	Bowling Green	W	77-68	70%	1 - 0			+0.3	-5.1	+4.9
Nov 07, 2024	101	@ UAB	L	84-98	15%	1 - 1			-6.0	+2.2	-6.5
Nov 20, 2024	166	@ South Dakota St.	L	72-78	28%
Nov 24, 2024	165	@ Montana St.	L	73-79	28%
Nov 25, 2024	237	Abilene Christian	W	74-73	51%
Nov 30, 2024	240	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	81-78	62%
Dec 05, 2024	281	Alabama St.	W	75-69	70%
Dec 10, 2024	145	@ Tulane	L	77-84	26%
Dec 14, 2024	61	Mississippi	L	67-79	14%
Dec 17, 2024	280	Lamar	W	78-72	70%
Dec 21, 2024	200	Marshall	W	78-76	57%
Jan 02, 2025	126	@ James Madison	L	73-82	22%
Jan 04, 2025	289	@ Old Dominion	W	78-77	52%
Jan 09, 2025	319	Louisiana Monroe	W	76-68	77%
Jan 11, 2025	146	Texas St.	L	70-71	46%
Jan 15, 2025	198	@ South Alabama	L	72-76	36%
Jan 18, 2025	146	@ Texas St.	L	67-74	26%
Jan 23, 2025	121	@ Troy	L	69-78	21%
Jan 25, 2025	188	@ Louisiana	L	71-76	33%
Jan 29, 2025	115	Arkansas St.	L	74-78	37%
Feb 01, 2025	197	Georgia Southern	W	80-78	56%
Feb 05, 2025	203	@ Appalachian St.	L	70-74	37%
Feb 12, 2025	115	@ Arkansas St.	L	71-81	20%
Feb 15, 2025	319	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	73-71	59%
Feb 20, 2025	268	Coastal Carolina	W	74-69	67%
Feb 22, 2025	188	Louisiana	W	74-73	54%
Feb 26, 2025	198	South Alabama	W	75-73	57%
Feb 28, 2025	121	Troy	L	72-75	39%
Projected Record						12 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd												0.2	1.2	1.6	1.0	0.3	0.0				4.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.5	2.4	1.1	0.2	0.0					5.4	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	3.0	1.6	0.2	0.0						6.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.5	2.3	0.4	0.0							6.9	5th
6th									0.4	3.1	3.5	0.8	0.0								7.7	6th
7th								0.2	2.2	4.4	1.3	0.1									8.2	7th
8th							0.1	1.4	4.7	2.6	0.2	0.0									8.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.9	3.8	0.5											9.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	3.1	4.5	1.3	0.0											9.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.6	4.4	2.0	0.1												9.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.4	2.1	3.8	2.3	0.2													8.8	12th
13th		0.0	0.4	1.8	2.8	2.0	0.3	0.0													7.3	13th
14th	0.2	0.7	1.6	1.8	1.1	0.2	0.0														5.6	14th

Total	0.2	0.7	2.0	4.0	6.3	9.1	10.9	12.2	12.5	11.4	9.9	7.8	5.7	3.5	2.1	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	92.2%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	75.3%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	44.3%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.9%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.6	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%												0.0	0.0				0.0						0.0
17-1	0.1%		35.9%	35.9%		12.1											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
16-2	0.4%		31.3%	31.3%		12.3												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.3
15-3	1.2%		24.4%	24.4%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.9
14-4	2.1%		18.3%	18.3%		13.2													0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.7
13-5	3.5%		16.1%	16.1%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	2.9
12-6	5.7%		8.8%	8.8%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	5.2
11-7	7.8%		6.0%	6.0%		14.4														0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	7.4
10-8	9.9%		3.3%	3.3%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	9.6
9-9	11.4%		2.1%	2.1%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.1
8-10	12.5%		1.0%	1.0%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	12.3
7-11	12.2%		0.6%	0.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	12.1
6-12	10.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
5-13	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
4-14	6.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
3-15	4.0%																							4.0
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	14.0							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.4	96.8		0.0%