Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#153
Pace71.3#101
Improvement-7.5#361

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#152
First Shot+2.6#101
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#287
Layup/Dunks+7.3#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#339
Freethrows+2.6#44
Improvement-3.7#342

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#152
First Shot+4.5#51
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#360
Layups/Dunks+0.9#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#186
Freethrows+3.6#8
Improvement-3.8#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 50.5% 63.4% 34.6%
.500 or above in Conference 5.5% 8.8% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.8% 8.6% 33.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 1.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 12
Quad 46 - 416 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 128   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 39%     1 - 0 +11.5 +9.3 +1.0
  Nov 09, 2024 189   Montana St. W 89-69 70%     2 - 0 +16.2 +15.4 +1.0
  Nov 14, 2024 109   Northern Iowa W 79-73 52%     3 - 0 +7.1 +6.8 +0.3
  Nov 18, 2024 263   Monmouth W 70-66 82%     4 - 0 -4.2 -6.6 +2.4
  Nov 22, 2024 99   Saint Louis W 88-63 38%     5 - 0 +29.6 +8.2 +18.8
  Nov 28, 2024 90   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 32%     6 - 0 +8.4 -3.0 +11.3
  Nov 29, 2024 4   Florida L 51-88 5%     6 - 1 -16.5 -12.8 -4.4
  Dec 04, 2024 327   Alcorn St. W 78-54 90%     7 - 1 +11.2 -0.3 +11.5
  Dec 07, 2024 154   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 63%     8 - 1 +7.2 +13.5 -7.1
  Dec 14, 2024 117   @ DePaul L 72-91 36%     8 - 2 -13.8 -1.1 -12.2
  Dec 17, 2024 229   UMKC L 64-74 77%     8 - 3 -16.3 -6.2 -10.7
  Dec 21, 2024 66   Kansas St. W 84-65 34%     9 - 3 +24.9 +13.8 +11.1
  Jan 03, 2025 124   @ Temple L 85-91 38%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -1.3 +5.8 -6.6
  Jan 06, 2025 169   South Florida L 72-91 66%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -21.7 -2.4 -19.0
  Jan 11, 2025 216   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-88 58%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -13.5 -0.3 -13.3
  Jan 14, 2025 215   Charlotte W 68-59 75%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +3.6 -3.2 +7.4
  Jan 18, 2025 150   East Carolina L 72-75 62%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -4.6 +3.0 -7.8
  Jan 23, 2025 38   @ Memphis L 53-61 12%     10 - 8 1 - 5 +6.6 -10.0 +16.3
  Jan 26, 2025 246   @ Tulsa L 77-84 65%     10 - 9 1 - 6 -9.4 +9.6 -19.6
  Jan 29, 2025 64   North Texas L 54-58 32%     10 - 10 1 - 7 +2.4 -3.4 +5.0
  Feb 04, 2025 215   @ Charlotte W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 09, 2025 169   @ South Florida L 73-74 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 216   Texas San Antonio W 84-77 75%    
  Feb 16, 2025 38   Memphis L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 108   @ Florida Atlantic L 76-81 31%    
  Feb 23, 2025 141   Tulane W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 27, 2025 100   UAB L 79-80 51%    
  Mar 03, 2025 64   @ North Texas L 60-70 17%    
  Mar 06, 2025 201   @ Rice W 72-71 50%    
  Mar 09, 2025 246   Tulsa W 78-69 81%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 1.9 0.3 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.8 1.3 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 8.6 4.4 0.3 15.1 8th
9th 0.9 8.6 7.4 0.5 0.0 17.5 9th
10th 0.3 5.8 9.6 2.0 0.0 17.7 10th
11th 0.0 2.8 9.2 3.3 0.1 15.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 6.3 4.4 0.3 12.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 4.0 3.1 0.5 9.1 13th
Total 0.1 1.3 5.2 12.5 20.9 23.6 19.7 11.3 4.4 1.0 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
10-8 1.0% 7.0% 7.0% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.9
9-9 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.2
8-10 11.3% 2.5% 2.5% 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.0
7-11 19.7% 2.0% 2.0% 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 19.3
6-12 23.6% 1.2% 1.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 23.3
5-13 20.9% 0.9% 0.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 20.7
4-14 12.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 12.4
3-15 5.2% 5.2
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.0 98.5 0.0%