Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#266
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#197
Pace71.5#101
Improvement-2.8#307

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#326
First Shot-4.8#309
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#258
Layup/Dunks+0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#320
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement-3.5#338

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#169
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#323
Layups/Dunks+0.0#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#131
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+0.7#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.5% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 74.5% 87.7% 65.7%
.500 or above in Conference 66.1% 81.7% 55.7%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.5% 2.0%
First Four2.4% 3.0% 2.1%
First Round4.4% 5.9% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 32 - 6
Quad 415 - 817 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 25   @ Maryland L 52-86 3%     0 - 1 -16.5 -12.1 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2024 265   @ Bucknell W 93-89 2OT 39%     1 - 1 +0.8 +4.8 -4.7
  Nov 16, 2024 344   St. Francis (PA) W 66-58 79%     2 - 1 -6.6 -11.8 +5.5
  Nov 20, 2024 68   @ Georgetown L 51-79 7%     2 - 2 -17.1 -13.8 -3.2
  Nov 23, 2024 323   Delaware St. W 76-66 72%     3 - 2 -2.1 +3.3 -4.6
  Nov 30, 2024 281   @ Howard W 79-75 43%     4 - 2 -0.2 -3.8 +3.5
  Dec 06, 2024 217   @ Marist L 50-53 30%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -3.4 -14.9 +11.2
  Dec 08, 2024 318   Fairfield W 101-94 71%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -4.7 +19.0 -23.8
  Dec 14, 2024 315   Loyola Maryland L 69-77 70%     5 - 4 -19.4 -11.6 -7.6
  Dec 18, 2024 313   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 50%     6 - 4 +2.1 +5.8 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 155   @ Miami (FL) W 78-74 OT 19%     7 - 4 +7.3 -6.3 +13.2
  Dec 28, 2024 86   @ George Mason L 56-64 8%     7 - 5 +1.4 -7.0 +8.0
  Jan 05, 2025 311   Niagara W 68-62 70%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -5.3 -13.0 +7.6
  Jan 10, 2025 297   @ Manhattan W 75-66 46%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +4.1 +0.8 +3.8
  Jan 12, 2025 296   Sacred Heart W 73-71 67%     10 - 5 4 - 1 -8.4 -4.1 -4.2
  Jan 16, 2025 294   @ Rider L 60-66 46%     10 - 6 4 - 2 -10.9 -18.1 +7.6
  Jan 18, 2025 183   Quinnipiac L 57-91 42%     10 - 7 4 - 3 -37.7 -14.1 -24.5
  Jan 23, 2025 272   @ Siena L 67-69 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 297   Manhattan W 77-73 67%    
  Jan 31, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 63-69 27%    
  Feb 02, 2025 231   @ St. Peter's L 60-65 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 253   Iona W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 14, 2025 311   @ Niagara L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 16, 2025 346   @ Canisius W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 21, 2025 231   St. Peter's W 63-62 54%    
  Feb 23, 2025 294   Rider W 70-66 67%    
  Feb 28, 2025 318   @ Fairfield W 71-70 49%    
  Mar 02, 2025 272   Siena W 69-66 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 183   @ Quinnipiac L 68-76 23%    
  Mar 08, 2025 217   Marist L 64-65 50%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.9 4.8 1.7 0.3 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 6.7 8.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 19.7 4th
5th 0.5 6.0 7.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 7.5 2.3 0.1 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 6.3 3.2 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 4.3 0.4 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 3.7 1.2 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 1.6 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.3 2.7 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.9 5.8 10.2 15.5 18.6 17.7 14.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 74.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.5% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1
14-6 9.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 28.6% 28.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3
15-5 1.6% 20.2% 20.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.3
14-6 4.1% 15.3% 15.3% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.5
13-7 9.2% 11.1% 11.1% 15.8 0.2 0.8 8.2
12-8 14.4% 9.0% 9.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 13.1
11-9 17.7% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 1.1 16.5
10-10 18.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 18.1
9-11 15.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 15.2
8-12 10.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 10.0
7-13 5.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.7
6-14 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 94.3 0.0%