Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#292
Pace62.4#338
Improvement+1.8#75

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#269
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#189
Layup/Dunks-4.5#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#75
Freethrows-2.7#322
Improvement-0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#230
First Shot-2.8#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#101
Layups/Dunks+0.6#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
Freethrows-0.8#247
Improvement+1.9#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 15.5% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 41.0% 61.6% 35.6%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 74.3% 62.1%
Conference Champion 14.4% 19.4% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 4.5% 8.6%
First Four6.3% 6.2% 6.3%
First Round8.6% 12.5% 7.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 20.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 414 - 1115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 160   Northeastern L 72-80 42%     0 - 1 -11.2 +4.6 -16.3
  Nov 08, 2024 319   @ San Diego L 60-74 53%     0 - 2 -19.8 -5.3 -16.2
  Nov 11, 2024 14   @ UCLA L 40-71 2%     0 - 3 -12.7 -21.9 +10.3
  Nov 16, 2024 312   Dartmouth W 78-50 72%     1 - 3 +16.6 +3.4 +14.1
  Nov 19, 2024 309   Wagner L 58-60 72%     1 - 4 -13.2 -6.1 -7.4
  Nov 23, 2024 249   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 37%     2 - 4 +2.1 -3.0 +5.1
  Nov 24, 2024 255   Howard W 69-62 50%     3 - 4 +1.9 -2.4 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2024 284   Sacred Heart L 65-73 67%     3 - 5 -17.8 -11.8 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 236   Albany W 80-74 OT 57%     4 - 5 -1.1 +3.1 -4.1
  Dec 13, 2024 198   @ Merrimack L 61-64 26%     4 - 6 -1.6 +4.8 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 147   @ Umass Lowell L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 29, 2024 212   @ Maine L 62-68 30%    
  Jan 02, 2025 246   @ Lafayette L 63-66 37%    
  Jan 05, 2025 299   Army W 69-64 69%    
  Jan 08, 2025 242   American W 65-63 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 223   @ Colgate L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 244   Lehigh W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 299   @ Army L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 22, 2025 302   @ Navy L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 264   Bucknell W 66-63 63%    
  Jan 27, 2025 310   Holy Cross W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 313   @ Loyola Maryland W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 05, 2025 302   Navy W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 310   @ Holy Cross W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 12, 2025 264   @ Bucknell L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 223   Colgate W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 19, 2025 313   Loyola Maryland W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 242   @ American L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 244   @ Lehigh L 69-72 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 246   Lafayette W 66-63 59%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.3 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 14.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.3 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.4 5.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 13.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.4 5.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 5.9 2.4 0.2 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.3 3.0 0.2 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.9 3.6 0.4 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.0 6.7 9.2 11.9 13.2 13.6 12.6 10.3 7.3 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 99.3% 0.9    0.9 0.0
15-3 95.1% 2.1    1.9 0.2
14-4 83.6% 3.6    2.7 0.9 0.1
13-5 58.6% 4.3    2.3 1.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 24.9% 2.6    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.4% 14.4 8.7 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 46.7% 46.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 43.1% 43.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 38.8% 38.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.2% 31.5% 31.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.5
14-4 4.3% 25.7% 25.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 3.2
13-5 7.3% 22.9% 22.9% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 5.6
12-6 10.3% 18.6% 18.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 8.4
11-7 12.6% 15.0% 15.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 10.7
10-8 13.6% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5 12.1
9-9 13.2% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 12.1
8-10 11.9% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.4
7-11 9.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 8.9
6-12 6.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 6.6
5-13 4.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.9
4-14 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 9.1 88.5 0.0%