Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#286
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#338
Pace65.1#294
Improvement+0.5#120

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#285
First Shot-2.9#260
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#239
Layup/Dunks-1.8#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#145
Freethrows-1.7#263
Improvement-0.3#233

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#252
First Shot-2.3#258
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks-0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#304
Freethrows+1.2#115
Improvement+0.9#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 9.5% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 29.4% 39.7% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 54.4% 60.7% 49.0%
Conference Champion 8.3% 10.4% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 7.2% 12.4%
First Four5.4% 6.2% 4.8%
First Round5.3% 6.8% 4.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 149   Northeastern L 72-80 35%     0 - 1 -10.4 +2.6 -13.5
  Nov 08, 2024 298   @ San Diego L 60-74 42%     0 - 2 -18.3 -5.7 -14.3
  Nov 11, 2024 27   @ UCLA L 40-71 3%     0 - 3 -15.2 -24.7 +10.6
  Nov 16, 2024 339   Dartmouth W 78-50 78%     1 - 3 +13.4 +2.8 +11.6
  Nov 19, 2024 281   Wagner L 58-60 61%     1 - 4 -11.1 -5.4 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2024 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-77 46%    
  Nov 24, 2024 231   Howard L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 01, 2024 333   Sacred Heart W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 07, 2024 246   Albany W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 13, 2024 223   @ Merrimack L 61-67 28%    
  Dec 21, 2024 155   @ Umass Lowell L 67-77 19%    
  Dec 29, 2024 236   @ Maine L 61-67 30%    
  Jan 02, 2025 240   @ Lafayette L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 05, 2025 293   Army W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 08, 2025 260   American W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 15, 2025 283   Lehigh W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 293   @ Army L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 309   @ Navy L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 235   Bucknell W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 27, 2025 316   Holy Cross W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 309   Navy W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 316   @ Holy Cross L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 235   @ Bucknell L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 189   Colgate L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 19, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 70-63 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 260   @ American L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 26, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 240   Lafayette W 66-65 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.8 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.8 2.7 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.6 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.9 6.1 8.8 10.9 12.4 12.6 12.0 10.3 8.0 5.4 3.3 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.4% 0.8    0.8 0.0
15-3 89.2% 1.5    1.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 67.8% 2.2    1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 40.5% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 13.6% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 44.7% 44.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.9% 33.8% 33.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6
15-3 1.7% 23.5% 23.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3
14-4 3.3% 24.4% 24.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.5
13-5 5.4% 19.8% 19.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.3
12-6 8.0% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 6.7
11-7 10.3% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2 9.0
10-8 12.0% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0 11.0
9-9 12.6% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.7 11.9
8-10 12.4% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 11.9
7-11 10.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.7
6-12 8.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-13 6.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-14 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.8 92.3 0.0%