Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#295
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#301
Pace62.4#343
Improvement-1.5#323

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#287
First Shot-3.3#271
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#218
Layup/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
Freethrows+0.3#168
Improvement-0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#278
First Shot-3.6#287
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#166
Layups/Dunks+2.4#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#57
Freethrows-5.0#354
Improvement-1.5#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 15.0% 17.9% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.1% 24.6% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.5% 17.3% 26.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Neutral) - 76.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 323   Western Michigan W 60-56 68%     1 - 0 -8.0 -12.5 +4.9
  Nov 09, 2024 145   @ East Carolina L 59-63 15%     1 - 1 +0.0 -0.1 -0.6
  Nov 13, 2024 52   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 5%     1 - 2 +0.3 +2.5 -2.1
  Nov 17, 2024 183   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 39%     1 - 3 -22.3 -10.1 -15.9
  Nov 22, 2024 361   IU Indianapolis W 71-63 76%    
  Nov 23, 2024 345   @ Alabama A&M W 69-67 59%    
  Nov 30, 2024 313   South Carolina Upstate W 74-70 66%    
  Dec 04, 2024 257   @ Campbell L 64-69 31%    
  Dec 07, 2024 195   @ Winthrop L 66-75 21%    
  Dec 17, 2024 285   @ N.C. A&T L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 21, 2024 107   @ Arkansas St. L 61-75 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 245   Louisiana W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 321   Louisiana Monroe W 68-63 67%    
  Jan 08, 2025 200   @ Appalachian St. L 61-69 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 229   @ Georgia St. L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 16, 2025 220   Georgia Southern L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 196   Marshall L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 22, 2025 220   @ Georgia Southern L 72-79 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   @ Old Dominion L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 30, 2025 126   @ James Madison L 64-77 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 196   @ Marshall L 66-75 23%    
  Feb 05, 2025 198   South Alabama L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 13, 2025 200   Appalachian St. L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 126   James Madison L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 20, 2025 256   @ Southern Miss L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 124   @ Troy L 61-74 13%    
  Feb 26, 2025 229   Georgia St. L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 303   Old Dominion W 72-68 63%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.2 0.2 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.7 1.0 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.6 2.1 0.1 12.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.6 5.9 2.8 0.3 13.4 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.6 13th
14th 0.4 2.0 3.7 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.9 14th
Total 0.4 2.1 4.9 8.2 11.3 13.3 13.8 12.9 11.0 8.5 6.0 3.7 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 68.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 38.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 25.9% 25.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 3.9% 3.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 11.5% 11.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.1% 9.4% 9.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0
11-7 3.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
10-8 6.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.9
9-9 8.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.4
8-10 11.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
7-11 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 13.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-14 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.3
3-15 8.2% 8.2
2-16 4.9% 4.9
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 99.3 0.0%