Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#216
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#254
Pace74.7#62
Improvement+1.7#42

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#234
First Shot+0.3#163
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#308
Layup/Dunks+3.7#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#350
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#257
Freethrows+3.0#48
Improvement+0.3#132

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#188
First Shot-1.7#238
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#103
Layups/Dunks-3.3#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#278
Freethrows+3.0#45
Improvement+1.4#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.1% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 36.3% 51.3% 26.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.1% 55.8% 41.7%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.7% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 4.6% 8.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round3.6% 5.0% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Neutral) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 49 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 235   Bucknell L 73-85 65%     0 - 1 -18.7 -9.4 -8.0
  Nov 07, 2024 288   Robert Morris W 81-77 74%     1 - 1 -5.4 -1.6 -4.1
  Nov 12, 2024 247   @ Iona W 64-58 45%     2 - 1 +4.7 -7.7 +12.5
  Nov 18, 2024 160   Bryant L 84-85 51%     2 - 2 -4.0 +1.3 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2024 151   Vermont L 65-68 38%    
  Nov 24, 2024 98   Yale L 70-78 23%    
  Nov 30, 2024 242   @ Rider L 73-75 44%    
  Dec 03, 2024 346   Delaware St. W 79-66 88%    
  Dec 06, 2024 211   @ Duquesne L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 20, 2024 180   @ St. Peter's L 65-70 34%    
  Dec 28, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 67-87 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 149   @ Northeastern L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 265   Monmouth W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 09, 2025 285   @ N.C. A&T W 80-79 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 307   @ Hampton W 71-68 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 302   Stony Brook W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 18, 2025 207   Elon W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 23, 2025 134   @ Hofstra L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 144   @ Drexel L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 30, 2025 129   Towson L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 265   @ Monmouth L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 210   William & Mary W 81-78 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 129   @ Towson L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 257   Campbell W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 20, 2025 144   Drexel L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 134   Hofstra L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 27, 2025 112   @ College of Charleston L 73-83 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 73-79 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.0 0.9 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 4.8 1.7 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.3 1.2 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 1.3 0.3 5.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.9 5.2 7.6 10.3 12.0 13.0 12.3 11.1 8.9 6.5 4.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 77.0% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 45.3% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 43.6% 43.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 24.8% 24.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 24.6% 24.6% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.4% 16.4% 16.4% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.0
13-5 4.4% 14.4% 14.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8
12-6 6.5% 10.3% 10.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.8
11-7 8.9% 6.3% 6.3% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.3
10-8 11.1% 3.8% 3.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.7
9-9 12.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.0
8-10 13.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.8
7-11 12.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 10.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
4-14 5.2% 5.2
3-15 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.5 96.4 0.0%