Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#287
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#214
Pace64.1#319
Improvement+2.1#24

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#291
First Shot-6.1#331
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#70
Layup/Dunks-9.2#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#153
Freethrows-0.8#225
Improvement+3.1#2

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#244
First Shot-3.9#297
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#72
Layups/Dunks+1.7#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows-2.8#319
Improvement-1.0#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 23.8% 29.1% 12.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 32.9% 22.4%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 12.0% 18.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round1.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 67.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 83 - 11
Quad 49 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 179   @ Texas St. L 44-64 21%     0 - 1 -17.9 -21.7 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2024 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 69%     1 - 1 -8.6 -4.9 -3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 219   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 26%     1 - 2 -7.7 -4.7 -3.5
  Nov 21, 2024 214   @ Oakland W 68-64 26%     2 - 2 +4.4 +4.0 +0.9
  Nov 25, 2024 358   @ Houston Christian W 73-68 68%    
  Nov 26, 2024 277   Northern Arizona L 67-68 49%    
  Nov 30, 2024 328   Detroit Mercy W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 03, 2024 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-75 11%    
  Dec 15, 2024 137   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 21, 2024 143   Wright St. L 72-76 36%    
  Dec 28, 2024 131   @ Davidson L 61-72 15%    
  Jan 04, 2025 326   Northern Illinois W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 07, 2025 120   @ Toledo L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 11, 2025 139   Akron L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 14, 2025 203   @ Central Michigan L 62-69 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 259   @ Bowling Green L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 21, 2025 159   Ohio L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Buffalo W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 28, 2025 224   @ Miami (OH) L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 324   @ Western Michigan L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 04, 2025 140   Kent St. L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 11, 2025 279   @ Ball St. L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 120   Toledo L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 18, 2025 224   Miami (OH) L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 326   @ Northern Illinois L 67-68 50%    
  Feb 25, 2025 259   Bowling Green W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 203   Central Michigan L 65-66 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 159   @ Ohio L 67-76 21%    
  Mar 07, 2025 140   @ Kent St. L 61-72 17%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.4 2.0 2.2 0.8 0.1 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.2 1.2 0.1 7.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 4.1 1.9 0.2 8.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.3 5.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.8 5.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.9 3.7 0.7 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.5 4.0 0.8 13.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 2.7 4.6 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.3 1.0 2.5 2.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.9 12th
Total 0.3 1.1 3.3 5.5 9.2 11.8 13.7 12.5 13.1 9.4 7.6 5.7 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 81.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-4 49.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 60.5% 60.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.5% 21.6% 21.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.0% 9.7% 9.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 1.8% 10.3% 10.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
12-6 3.4% 6.0% 6.0% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
11-7 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.4
10-8 7.6% 4.9% 4.9% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 7.2
9-9 9.4% 2.8% 2.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.2
8-10 13.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.0
7-11 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-12 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
5-13 11.8% 11.8
4-14 9.2% 9.2
3-15 5.5% 5.5
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%