Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#169
Pace72.8#84
Improvement+0.0#173

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#229
First Shot-1.6#225
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#201
Layup/Dunks-5.3#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#73
Freethrows-0.8#224
Improvement+0.1#156

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#120
First Shot+1.7#125
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#180
Layups/Dunks-3.8#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#80
Freethrows+1.4#104
Improvement-0.1#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.6 12.3
.500 or above 41.1% 52.0% 26.9%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 36.6% 24.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 12.0% 19.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 35 - 67 - 13
Quad 47 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 60-92 6%     0 - 1 -14.5 -8.7 -4.0
  Nov 09, 2024 88   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 19%     1 - 1 +10.0 -1.7 +11.8
  Nov 12, 2024 329   Binghamton W 78-63 87%     2 - 1 +2.4 -2.6 +4.8
  Nov 15, 2024 328   @ Manhattan L 76-78 73%     2 - 2 -8.5 -5.2 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2024 144   Drexel W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 25, 2024 32   Penn St. L 71-84 12%    
  Dec 01, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 04, 2024 342   Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-72 92%    
  Dec 08, 2024 241   Maine W 70-63 73%    
  Dec 14, 2024 159   Bryant L 78-79 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 248   Albany W 80-73 74%    
  Dec 31, 2024 101   Saint Louis L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 114   St. Bonaventure L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-77 13%    
  Jan 11, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 15, 2025 129   Massachusetts W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 22, 2025 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 26, 2025 207   Duquesne W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 29, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 114   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 05, 2025 117   Rhode Island L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 64   Dayton L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 197   @ Richmond L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 207   @ Duquesne L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 130   Davidson W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 26, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 65-74 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 100   Saint Joseph's L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 05, 2025 143   George Washington W 77-75 56%    
  Mar 08, 2025 117   @ Rhode Island L 73-80 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.8 1.5 0.1 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 4.5 1.0 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.2 0.5 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.9 1.4 0.0 10.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.1 14th
15th 0.3 1.2 2.7 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.0 15th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.2 6.0 8.6 11.4 12.7 13.1 12.1 10.4 7.9 5.7 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 68.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 42.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 32.7% 23.1% 9.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5%
15-3 0.4% 22.1% 20.9% 1.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5%
14-4 1.1% 10.5% 10.2% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.3%
13-5 2.1% 9.4% 9.4% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
12-6 3.6% 6.2% 6.2% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.4
11-7 5.7% 3.2% 3.1% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5 0.0%
10-8 7.9% 2.0% 2.0% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.8
9-9 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
8-10 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
7-11 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0
6-12 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 12.7
5-13 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8 0.0%