La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#164
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#141
Pace73.6#66
Improvement-5.4#360

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#186
First Shot+0.3#171
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#241
Layup/Dunks+0.4#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#235
Freethrows+1.3#103
Improvement-2.4#335

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#159
First Shot+1.1#132
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#255
Layups/Dunks-4.0#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#74
Freethrows+2.5#41
Improvement-2.9#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.7% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.1 12.8
.500 or above 34.5% 59.6% 31.9%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 51.4% 24.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 3.6% 13.2%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 9.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 52 - 9
Quad 36 - 78 - 16
Quad 47 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 242   American W 65-52 75%     1 - 0 +5.4 -0.2 +8.0
  Nov 09, 2024 246   Lafayette W 81-60 76%     2 - 0 +13.2 +4.9 +8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 120   Cornell W 93-77 50%     3 - 0 +15.6 +10.6 +3.9
  Nov 16, 2024 146   @ Drexel W 71-68 36%     4 - 0 +6.4 +1.3 +5.2
  Nov 21, 2024 91   UC San Diego L 67-72 27%     4 - 1 +1.1 -4.4 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2024 199   Illinois-Chicago L 83-96 55%     4 - 2 -14.6 +3.0 -16.7
  Nov 23, 2024 344   Stetson W 92-77 86%     5 - 2 +3.2 +7.8 -5.3
  Nov 30, 2024 119   Temple W 83-75 50%     6 - 2 +7.6 +1.2 +5.5
  Dec 03, 2024 160   @ Northeastern L 68-82 38%     6 - 3 -11.2 -8.7 -1.0
  Dec 07, 2024 96   Saint Joseph's L 68-82 28%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -8.4 -0.3 -8.3
  Dec 14, 2024 22   @ North Carolina L 67-93 6%     6 - 5 -8.9 -4.2 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2024 334   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-72 88%     7 - 5 -8.2 -4.0 -4.2
  Dec 31, 2024 46   @ Dayton L 66-80 10%    
  Jan 08, 2025 106   Loyola Chicago L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 89   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 15, 2025 122   Davidson W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 19, 2025 191   @ Massachusetts L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 143   @ Saint Louis L 78-82 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 99   Rhode Island L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 169   Fordham W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 136   George Washington W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 04, 2025 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-77 12%    
  Feb 09, 2025 191   Massachusetts W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 12, 2025 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 99   @ Rhode Island L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 19, 2025 216   Richmond W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 26, 2025 200   Duquesne W 72-68 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 136   @ George Washington L 74-79 33%    
  Mar 05, 2025 87   @ George Mason L 64-74 19%    
  Mar 08, 2025 96   Saint Joseph's L 73-76 40%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.9 0.8 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.0 1.9 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.7 0.4 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.2 1.3 0.1 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 5.8 2.9 0.2 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 5.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 11.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.3 1.3 0.1 11.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.2 0.1 10.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.5 15th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.8 8.5 12.4 15.1 15.4 14.0 11.0 7.5 4.7 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 82.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 59.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 39.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 12.8% 12.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 8.7% 8.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.1% 9.8% 9.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.3% 4.4% 4.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
11-7 4.7% 2.7% 2.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 7.5% 1.3% 1.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.4
9-9 11.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-10 14.0% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-11 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 15.3
6-12 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 15.1
5-13 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
4-14 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 4.8% 4.8
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 12.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%