Marshall
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#239
Pace74.6#60
Improvement+0.7#109

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#199
First Shot-1.5#228
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#151
Layup/Dunks-3.0#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#209
Freethrows+3.5#37
Improvement+0.3#131

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#186
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#276
Layups/Dunks+2.3#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#14
Freethrows-4.9#356
Improvement+0.5#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 11.9% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 12.9 13.9
.500 or above 56.6% 81.5% 55.6%
.500 or above in Conference 62.2% 78.4% 61.5%
Conference Champion 7.1% 17.2% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.3% 3.7%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round6.3% 11.9% 6.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 411 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 120   Toledo L 80-90 45%     0 - 1 -10.1 -2.2 -7.2
  Nov 11, 2024 322   Southern Indiana W 77-63 84%     1 - 1 +2.0 -1.8 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 335   Bellarmine W 83-62 87%     2 - 1 +7.4 +2.6 +4.9
  Nov 23, 2024 17   @ Purdue L 67-86 4%    
  Nov 27, 2024 319   South Carolina St. W 79-69 83%    
  Nov 30, 2024 121   @ Western Kentucky L 76-83 24%    
  Dec 04, 2024 267   Morehead St. W 72-65 75%    
  Dec 07, 2024 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 11, 2024 143   @ Wright St. L 78-83 31%    
  Dec 14, 2024 159   Ohio W 79-77 56%    
  Dec 21, 2024 255   @ Southern Miss W 82-81 50%    
  Dec 28, 2024 205   @ Elon L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 02, 2025 179   Texas St. W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 04, 2025 122   Troy L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 113   James Madison L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 220   Georgia Southern W 86-82 65%    
  Jan 16, 2025 113   @ James Madison L 74-82 23%    
  Jan 18, 2025 296   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 23, 2025 227   @ Georgia St. L 75-76 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 220   @ Georgia Southern L 83-85 45%    
  Jan 30, 2025 227   Georgia St. W 78-73 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 296   Coastal Carolina W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 05, 2025 108   Arkansas St. L 73-75 41%    
  Feb 13, 2025 195   @ South Alabama L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 247   @ Louisiana L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 20, 2025 305   @ Old Dominion W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 198   @ Appalachian St. L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 25, 2025 305   Old Dominion W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 28, 2025 198   Appalachian St. W 72-69 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 7.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 3.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.4 2.9 4.5 1.2 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 4.5 2.0 0.2 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.6 0.2 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.3 2.3 3.1 0.8 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 1.2 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.3 0.1 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 3.2 4.7 7.2 8.8 11.3 11.6 12.1 11.8 9.5 7.2 4.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 95.9% 1.5    1.2 0.3
15-3 72.2% 2.2    1.4 0.7 0.1
14-4 40.1% 2.0    0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1
13-5 11.9% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.9 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 16.7% 16.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.5% 37.6% 37.6% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.5% 32.0% 32.0% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.0% 26.9% 26.9% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2
14-4 4.9% 21.3% 21.3% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 3.8
13-5 7.2% 15.7% 15.7% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 6.1
12-6 9.5% 10.4% 10.4% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.0 8.5
11-7 11.8% 7.8% 7.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 10.9
10-8 12.1% 3.1% 3.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.7
9-9 11.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-10 11.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
7-11 8.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 7.2% 7.2
5-13 4.7% 4.7
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 13.8 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 0.3 93.6 0.0%