Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#129
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#300
Pace72.2#96
Improvement-1.2#309

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#164
First Shot-1.1#215
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#89
Layup/Dunks+4.9#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
Freethrows-3.5#324
Improvement-1.5#346

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#125
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#142
Layups/Dunks+0.8#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#196
Freethrows-2.4#305
Improvement+0.3#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.3% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.9 12.4
.500 or above 43.2% 57.0% 32.2%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 56.3% 42.5%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.8% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 5.0% 9.2%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round3.0% 4.2% 2.1%
Second Round0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Neutral) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 62 - 9
Quad 36 - 79 - 15
Quad 46 - 215 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 103-74 94%     1 - 0 +14.1 +11.3 -0.7
  Nov 08, 2024 76   @ West Virginia L 69-75 22%     1 - 1 +4.5 -1.0 +5.7
  Nov 13, 2024 87   Louisiana Tech L 66-76 34%     1 - 2 -3.6 -4.3 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 131   Hofstra L 71-75 OT 63%     1 - 3 -5.1 -3.9 -1.0
  Nov 23, 2024 113   Temple L 72-73 44%    
  Nov 24, 2024 79   Florida St. L 72-77 32%    
  Nov 27, 2024 243   @ Harvard W 73-70 62%    
  Dec 01, 2024 360   NJIT W 79-59 97%    
  Dec 04, 2024 256   Central Connecticut St. W 75-65 82%    
  Dec 07, 2024 154   Umass Lowell W 78-73 68%    
  Dec 18, 2024 148   Northeastern W 75-70 66%    
  Dec 21, 2024 53   Arizona St. L 70-77 26%    
  Dec 31, 2024 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 04, 2025 197   Richmond W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 08, 2025 64   Dayton L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 161   @ Fordham L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 19, 2025 120   La Salle W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 143   George Washington W 80-76 64%    
  Jan 29, 2025 117   @ Rhode Island L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 207   @ Duquesne W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 101   Saint Louis W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 09, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 12, 2025 130   Davidson W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 114   St. Bonaventure W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 19, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 143   @ George Washington L 77-79 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 117   Rhode Island W 78-76 56%    
  Mar 05, 2025 114   @ St. Bonaventure L 69-73 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 105   Loyola Chicago W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.4 3.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.2 1.1 0.1 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.4 3.4 3.7 0.5 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 4.9 1.4 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.6 0.2 0.0 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.5 0.6 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 1.2 0.1 7.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.1 1.8 0.1 7.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.0 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.8 5.3 7.4 10.1 11.2 12.7 12.3 11.1 9.3 6.8 4.6 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.4% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 68.6% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 41.3% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 49.1% 30.9% 18.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 26.3%
16-2 0.5% 34.0% 27.4% 6.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 9.1%
15-3 1.2% 21.3% 19.8% 1.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.8%
14-4 2.7% 14.7% 14.1% 0.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.3 0.7%
13-5 4.6% 10.6% 10.6% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.1
12-6 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.2
11-7 9.3% 5.2% 5.2% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.8
10-8 11.1% 2.6% 2.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.8
9-9 12.3% 1.3% 1.3% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
8-10 12.7% 0.9% 0.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
7-11 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 10.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-14 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.0% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 96.9 0.1%