Minnesota
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#103
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#131
Pace59.0#360
Improvement-0.2#202

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#183
First Shot+0.0#184
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks+3.3#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#312
Freethrows-0.2#187
Improvement+0.3#166

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#62
First Shot+1.3#131
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#21
Layups/Dunks-1.4#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#216
Freethrows+4.1#15
Improvement-0.4#220
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 4.3% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.3% 4.3% 1.4%
Average Seed 9.6 9.4 9.8
.500 or above 17.4% 29.3% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.1% 10.0% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.4% 23.5% 43.6%
First Four0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
First Round1.9% 3.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Home) - 31.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 62 - 12
Quad 22 - 55 - 17
Quad 32 - 16 - 18
Quad 47 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 266   Oral Roberts W 80-57 89%     1 - 0 +14.2 +6.0 +9.9
  Nov 09, 2024 298   Nebraska Omaha W 68-64 91%     2 - 0 -6.2 -6.7 +0.7
  Nov 13, 2024 70   North Texas L 51-54 48%     2 - 1 +2.0 -4.0 +5.3
  Nov 16, 2024 104   Yale W 59-56 62%     3 - 1 +4.3 +1.1 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2024 255   Cleveland St. W 58-47 88%     4 - 1 +2.9 -11.5 +15.2
  Nov 25, 2024 194   Central Michigan W 68-65 80%     5 - 1 -1.5 -0.3 -0.9
  Nov 28, 2024 92   Wichita St. L 66-68 OT 45%     5 - 2 +3.6 -4.7 +8.3
  Nov 29, 2024 83   Wake Forest L 51-57 43%     5 - 3 +0.3 -9.4 +8.9
  Dec 01, 2024 282   Bethune-Cookman W 79-62 90%     6 - 3 +7.5 +10.4 -1.4
  Dec 04, 2024 32   Michigan St. L 60-65 31%    
  Dec 09, 2024 47   @ Indiana L 62-71 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 343   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-61 96%    
  Dec 29, 2024 340   Morgan St. W 77-58 96%    
  Jan 02, 2025 17   Purdue L 60-68 24%    
  Jan 06, 2025 22   Ohio St. L 61-68 26%    
  Jan 10, 2025 26   @ Wisconsin L 60-72 15%    
  Jan 13, 2025 30   @ Maryland L 59-71 14%    
  Jan 16, 2025 18   Michigan L 61-68 25%    
  Jan 21, 2025 48   @ Iowa L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 25, 2025 23   Oregon L 61-68 27%    
  Jan 28, 2025 32   @ Michigan St. L 57-68 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 76   Washington W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 04, 2025 37   @ Penn St. L 62-73 17%    
  Feb 08, 2025 12   Illinois L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 102   @ USC L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 18, 2025 19   @ UCLA L 54-67 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 37   Penn St. L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 25, 2025 68   Northwestern L 59-60 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 46   @ Nebraska L 60-70 21%    
  Mar 05, 2025 26   Wisconsin L 63-69 30%    
  Mar 09, 2025 55   @ Rutgers L 62-70 23%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.6 9th
10th 0.3 1.7 0.6 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.1 3.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 2.4 0.8 0.0 4.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.1 0.2 5.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.6 0.9 0.0 7.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 2.1 0.2 10.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 14.8 16th
17th 0.2 1.6 5.1 7.6 4.9 1.1 0.1 20.7 17th
18th 1.3 4.3 7.3 7.0 4.2 1.1 0.1 25.4 18th
Total 1.3 4.6 9.0 12.9 15.9 15.7 13.2 10.1 7.2 5.0 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 81.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.2% 0.0    0.0
13-7 2.6% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.1% 84.9% 1.4% 83.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 84.7%
13-7 0.3% 93.6% 3.2% 90.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.4%
12-8 0.6% 62.5% 0.7% 61.8% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 62.3%
11-9 1.5% 46.8% 0.3% 46.5% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 46.6%
10-10 2.6% 23.1% 0.4% 22.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.0 22.8%
9-11 5.0% 4.0% 0.1% 3.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 3.9%
8-12 7.2% 0.7% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 7.2 0.7%
7-13 10.1% 10.1
6-14 13.2% 13.2
5-15 15.7% 15.7
4-16 15.9% 15.9
3-17 12.9% 12.9
2-18 9.0% 9.0
1-19 4.6% 4.6
0-20 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.1 97.7 2.3%