Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#303
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#346
Pace73.5#73
Improvement+0.0#177

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#276
First Shot-7.3#347
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#30
Layup/Dunks-4.7#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#214
Freethrows-7.6#364
Improvement-1.5#346

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#314
First Shot-3.3#282
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#255
Layups/Dunks-4.3#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#228
Freethrows+1.3#111
Improvement+1.5#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 8.1% 17.9% 5.9%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 26.2% 15.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 25.0% 16.7% 26.8%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Neutral) - 18.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 82 - 10
Quad 47 - 89 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 331   Buffalo L 82-83 68%     0 - 1 -13.8 -2.0 -11.8
  Nov 09, 2024 13   @ Arizona L 44-102 2%     0 - 2 -39.5 -23.1 -13.3
  Nov 12, 2024 226   @ Radford L 75-87 23%     0 - 3 -12.1 -1.3 -10.8
  Nov 15, 2024 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-71 80%     1 - 3 -14.8 -8.1 -6.7
  Nov 24, 2024 138   Boston College L 68-78 18%    
  Dec 02, 2024 210   William & Mary L 79-82 41%    
  Dec 07, 2024 143   George Washington L 76-82 29%    
  Dec 15, 2024 149   Northeastern L 71-77 31%    
  Dec 21, 2024 321   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 02, 2025 107   Arkansas St. L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 256   Southern Miss L 81-82 50%    
  Jan 09, 2025 245   @ Louisiana L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 198   @ South Alabama L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 16, 2025 200   Appalachian St. L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 220   Georgia Southern L 82-84 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 126   James Madison L 74-81 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 295   Coastal Carolina W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 29, 2025 200   @ Appalachian St. L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 01, 2025 126   @ James Madison L 71-84 12%    
  Feb 05, 2025 165   Texas St. L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 13, 2025 229   @ Georgia St. L 72-80 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 220   @ Georgia Southern L 79-87 24%    
  Feb 20, 2025 196   Marshall L 76-79 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 229   Georgia St. L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 25, 2025 196   @ Marshall L 73-82 21%    
  Feb 28, 2025 295   @ Coastal Carolina L 68-72 37%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.4 0.9 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.6 2.0 0.1 12.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.8 6.0 2.8 0.3 13.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.5 4.6 6.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 15.6 13th
14th 0.9 3.0 5.2 4.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 16.1 14th
Total 0.9 3.2 6.7 10.1 12.5 13.5 13.6 12.0 9.6 6.8 5.0 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 70.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 49.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.8% 20.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 12.3% 12.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 9.0% 9.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.8% 6.4% 6.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 1.7% 5.1% 5.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
11-7 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.8
10-8 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
9-9 6.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.8
8-10 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
7-11 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.5
4-14 12.5% 12.5
3-15 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
2-16 6.7% 6.7
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%