Rice
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#172
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#114
Pace65.3#291
Improvement+1.3#62

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#186
First Shot-2.1#242
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#83
Layup/Dunks-6.2#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#112
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#124
Freethrows+1.0#137
Improvement+1.4#31

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#180
First Shot-1.8#242
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#83
Layups/Dunks-0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#158
Freethrows-1.7#270
Improvement-0.1#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 12.5
.500 or above 52.5% 56.7% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 28.8% 30.7% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.2% 13.0% 20.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.0% 1.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 83.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 66 - 14
Quad 410 - 216 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 275   Florida International W 77-70 78%     1 - 0 -1.8 -4.4 +2.1
  Nov 09, 2024 81   Florida St. L 65-73 23%     1 - 1 -0.8 -3.9 +3.2
  Nov 12, 2024 321   Louisiana Monroe W 66-50 85%     2 - 1 +4.0 -6.9 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2024 312   Northwestern St. W 77-75 OT 84%     3 - 1 -9.5 -2.5 -7.0
  Nov 19, 2024 245   @ Louisiana W 83-61 52%     4 - 1 +20.8 +17.1 +5.6
  Nov 22, 2024 358   @ Houston Christian W 78-67 84%    
  Nov 29, 2024 134   Hofstra L 66-68 41%    
  Nov 30, 2024 107   Arkansas St. L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 01, 2024 247   Iona W 71-67 63%    
  Dec 08, 2024 165   @ Texas St. L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 16, 2024 349   Alcorn St. W 75-60 91%    
  Dec 22, 2024 348   Prairie View W 82-67 91%    
  Jan 01, 2025 185   @ Tulsa L 73-75 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 142   Charlotte W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 84   @ North Texas L 56-67 17%    
  Jan 11, 2025 114   Temple L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 14, 2025 273   Texas San Antonio W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 19, 2025 73   @ Florida Atlantic L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 25, 2025 146   Tulane W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 28, 2025 120   @ South Florida L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 02, 2025 33   Memphis L 70-80 20%    
  Feb 05, 2025 145   @ East Carolina L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 142   @ Charlotte L 62-67 33%    
  Feb 11, 2025 84   North Texas L 59-64 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 146   @ Tulane L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 103   UAB L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 185   Tulsa W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 26, 2025 33   @ Memphis L 67-83 9%    
  Mar 02, 2025 273   @ Texas San Antonio W 75-73 57%    
  Mar 06, 2025 94   Wichita St. L 69-72 40%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.2 0.7 0.1 4.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.0 1.4 0.1 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 2.2 0.1 11.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.5 5.9 3.3 0.3 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 12.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.8 3.3 0.7 0.0 12.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.3 13th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.9 5.9 9.0 11.8 13.6 14.1 12.5 10.3 7.6 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 74.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 47.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 31.0% 17.2% 13.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.7%
15-3 0.3% 14.7% 11.2% 3.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.9%
14-4 0.8% 11.9% 10.9% 1.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.1%
13-5 1.5% 8.1% 8.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-6 3.0% 5.3% 5.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.9
11-7 5.2% 2.9% 2.9% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
10-8 7.6% 1.5% 1.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.5
9-9 10.3% 1.2% 1.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2
8-10 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
7-11 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 11.8
4-14 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 9.0
3-15 5.9% 5.9
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.0 0.0%