Rutgers
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#63
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#91
Pace73.1#79
Improvement-0.1#187

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#63
First Shot+2.2#109
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#48
Layup/Dunks+2.8#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#289
Freethrows+2.0#71
Improvement-0.6#227

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#79
First Shot+4.0#63
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks-1.4#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#85
Freethrows+3.3#15
Improvement+0.5#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 15.4% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.7% 14.9% 5.6%
Average Seed 9.1 9.1 9.4
.500 or above 36.1% 38.9% 16.1%
.500 or above in Conference 22.9% 24.0% 14.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 7.0% 11.1%
First Four3.7% 4.0% 1.8%
First Round12.2% 13.3% 4.8%
Second Round5.5% 6.0% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 87.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 12
Quad 24 - 38 - 15
Quad 33 - 211 - 17
Quad 44 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 307   Wagner W 75-52 95%     1 - 0 +11.9 +3.1 +9.3
  Nov 11, 2024 206   St. Peter's W 75-65 89%     2 - 0 +4.9 +7.1 -1.4
  Nov 15, 2024 261   Monmouth W 98-81 93%     3 - 0 +8.6 +20.4 -11.8
  Nov 20, 2024 195   Merrimack W 74-63 89%     4 - 0 +6.3 +3.8 +2.8
  Nov 24, 2024 194   @ Kennesaw St. L 77-79 75%     4 - 1 -0.6 -3.8 +3.4
  Nov 26, 2024 83   Notre Dame W 85-84 OT 55%     5 - 1 +8.1 +11.1 -3.1
  Nov 27, 2024 9   Alabama L 90-95 19%     5 - 2 +12.9 +13.1 +0.3
  Nov 30, 2024 25   Texas A&M L 77-81 29%     5 - 3 +10.1 +5.5 +4.9
  Dec 07, 2024 29   @ Ohio St. L 66-80 23%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +2.3 +4.4 -3.0
  Dec 10, 2024 32   Penn St. W 80-76 45%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +13.7 +8.3 +5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 115   Seton Hall W 66-63 79%     7 - 4 +2.9 +2.9 +0.2
  Dec 21, 2024 110   Princeton L 82-83 68%     7 - 5 +2.5 +5.1 -2.6
  Dec 30, 2024 179   Columbia W 84-72 88%    
  Jan 02, 2025 51   @ Indiana L 75-80 31%    
  Jan 06, 2025 34   Wisconsin L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 09, 2025 27   Purdue L 75-77 41%    
  Jan 13, 2025 20   UCLA L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 16, 2025 40   @ Nebraska L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 20, 2025 32   @ Penn St. L 75-82 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 14   Michigan St. L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 29, 2025 55   @ Northwestern L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 19   Michigan L 75-78 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 21   Illinois L 77-80 37%    
  Feb 09, 2025 13   @ Maryland L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 12, 2025 43   Iowa W 83-82 50%    
  Feb 16, 2025 23   @ Oregon L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 19, 2025 95   @ Washington W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 23, 2025 71   USC W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 19   @ Michigan L 72-81 19%    
  Mar 04, 2025 27   @ Purdue L 72-80 23%    
  Mar 09, 2025 111   Minnesota W 72-64 77%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.1 1.8 0.1 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.1 0.7 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.5 0.1 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.3 0.9 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.0 0.1 8.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 9.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 2.5 0.1 11.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.7 4.0 0.6 0.0 12.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 4.2 1.0 0.0 12.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.3 17th
18th 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.6 18th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.0 6.2 10.0 14.0 15.3 14.8 12.7 9.4 6.6 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 72.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 45.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 15.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 99.4% 11.7% 87.7% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-6 0.9% 99.3% 7.7% 91.6% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-7 1.9% 94.5% 4.6% 89.9% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.3%
12-8 3.7% 84.4% 1.9% 82.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 84.1%
11-9 6.6% 60.6% 1.5% 59.1% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.0 2.6 60.0%
10-10 9.4% 33.0% 0.9% 32.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.6 0.1 6.3 32.4%
9-11 12.7% 6.6% 0.6% 6.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 11.9 6.1%
8-12 14.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.7 0.6%
7-13 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.3
6-14 14.0% 14.0
5-15 10.0% 10.0
4-16 6.2% 6.2
3-17 3.0% 3.0
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20
Total 100% 14.2% 0.6% 13.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.5 2.5 3.1 3.4 0.3 85.8 13.7%