Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#326
Expected Predictive Rating-18.0#358
Pace66.8#262
Improvement-0.2#197

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#279
First Shot-3.6#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks+3.6#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#56
Freethrows-7.1#363
Improvement-0.3#229

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#340
First Shot-4.0#298
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#271
Layups/Dunks-2.8#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#292
Freethrows+3.1#46
Improvement+0.1#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.7% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.5% 17.0% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 27.9% 39.9% 25.7%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.4% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 8.3% 14.9%
First Four0.9% 1.3% 0.8%
First Round0.9% 2.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Neutral) - 15.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 98 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 262   Nebraska Omaha L 76-79 46%     0 - 1 -11.2 -2.4 -8.8
  Nov 11, 2024 309   @ The Citadel L 52-74 35%     0 - 2 -27.2 -20.0 -8.0
  Nov 16, 2024 51   @ Oklahoma L 64-85 3%     0 - 3 -8.7 -2.1 -6.6
  Nov 21, 2024 138   Toledo L 70-81 16%    
  Dec 03, 2024 121   @ South Florida L 64-79 8%    
  Dec 08, 2024 254   Mercer L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 14, 2024 273   Florida International L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 17, 2024 48   @ LSU L 63-85 2%    
  Dec 29, 2024 21   @ Florida L 65-91 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 299   @ Queens L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 04, 2025 353   @ West Georgia W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 09, 2025 340   Central Arkansas W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 187   North Alabama L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 16, 2025 299   Queens W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 353   West Georgia W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 23, 2025 199   @ Eastern Kentucky L 69-79 18%    
  Jan 25, 2025 335   @ Bellarmine L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 29, 2025 175   @ North Florida L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 216   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 06, 2025 226   Jacksonville L 66-69 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   Eastern Kentucky L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 13, 2025 151   @ Lipscomb L 68-81 14%    
  Feb 15, 2025 231   @ Austin Peay L 64-73 23%    
  Feb 18, 2025 175   North Florida L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 20, 2025 216   Florida Gulf Coast L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 24, 2025 335   Bellarmine W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 26, 2025 226   @ Jacksonville L 63-72 22%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.6 4.0 0.8 0.0 15.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 14.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.3 4.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.3 1.3 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.1 12th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.7 6.6 9.8 12.1 13.6 12.9 11.7 9.8 7.1 4.9 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 82.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 46.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 16.7% 16.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 16.4% 16.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7
13-5 1.7% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
12-6 3.2% 7.0% 7.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.9
11-7 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.7
10-8 7.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.9
9-9 9.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.7
8-10 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.9
6-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-14 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.8
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%