Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#113
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#125
Pace67.0#253
Improvement+0.1#159

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+2.1#105
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#153
Layup/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
Freethrows+1.2#123
Improvement+0.3#124

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#135
First Shot+2.4#107
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#260
Layups/Dunks-3.2#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#47
Freethrows+1.2#115
Improvement-0.2#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 8.2% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.3 11.0 11.7
.500 or above 67.2% 80.9% 59.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 67.5% 54.0%
Conference Champion 5.5% 7.6% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.6% 5.1%
First Four0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round5.6% 7.8% 4.4%
Second Round1.4% 2.2% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Neutral) - 37.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 53 - 8
Quad 38 - 511 - 13
Quad 46 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 331   Sacred Heart W 81-70 93%     1 - 0 -2.3 -5.7 +2.7
  Nov 08, 2024 261   Monmouth W 103-74 80%     2 - 0 +23.9 +21.6 +0.7
  Nov 12, 2024 144   Drexel W 69-61 71%     3 - 0 +6.0 +2.6 +4.1
  Nov 15, 2024 133   @ Boston College L 69-72 46%     3 - 1 +1.8 +4.1 -2.5
  Nov 22, 2024 79   Florida St. L 72-75 38%    
  Nov 23, 2024 129   Massachusetts W 73-72 56%    
  Nov 30, 2024 120   @ La Salle L 70-72 41%    
  Dec 15, 2024 131   @ Hofstra L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 18, 2024 130   Davidson W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 21, 2024 117   Rhode Island W 76-75 51%    
  Dec 29, 2024 330   Buffalo W 82-66 93%    
  Jan 03, 2025 94   Wichita St. W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 145   @ East Carolina L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 171   @ Rice W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 16, 2025 33   Memphis L 74-79 31%    
  Jan 19, 2025 146   Tulane W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 22, 2025 83   @ North Texas L 60-66 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 278   @ Texas San Antonio W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 29, 2025 142   Charlotte W 69-64 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 145   East Carolina W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 06, 2025 121   @ South Florida L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 09, 2025 33   @ Memphis L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 12, 2025 147   Tulsa W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 16, 2025 75   Florida Atlantic L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 142   @ Charlotte L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 23, 2025 103   @ UAB L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 121   South Florida W 73-69 63%    
  Mar 04, 2025 147   @ Tulsa L 76-77 50%    
  Mar 09, 2025 83   North Texas L 63-64 50%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.5 1.4 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 4.2 1.9 0.1 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.4 7.8 10.2 11.6 12.9 12.3 11.2 8.8 6.4 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 74.3% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.1% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 90.9% 40.9% 50.0% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.6%
17-1 0.3% 74.1% 32.8% 41.4% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 61.5%
16-2 0.9% 46.8% 24.4% 22.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 29.6%
15-3 2.3% 35.1% 23.4% 11.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.5 15.3%
14-4 4.1% 20.6% 17.1% 3.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.3 4.3%
13-5 6.4% 15.2% 14.0% 1.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.4 1.4%
12-6 8.8% 9.8% 9.6% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.9 0.3%
11-7 11.2% 7.0% 6.9% 0.0% 12.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.4 0.0%
10-8 12.3% 3.5% 3.5% 12.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.9
9-9 12.9% 1.8% 1.8% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.6
8-10 11.6% 1.2% 1.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
7-11 10.2% 1.0% 1.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 7.8% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-16 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.0% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.0 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 94.1 0.9%