Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#304
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#319
Pace74.0#68
Improvement-0.6#262

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#296
First Shot-2.0#234
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#302
Layup/Dunks-1.9#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#239
Freethrows+2.5#66
Improvement+0.3#131

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#293
First Shot-1.2#217
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#307
Layups/Dunks-2.3#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#73
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement-0.9#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 2.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.4 15.3
.500 or above 2.6% 11.2% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 12.4% 24.4% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 40.2% 24.7% 40.7%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 92 - 16
Quad 45 - 77 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 98   @ Oregon St. L 57-80 8%     0 - 1 -14.7 -10.3 -4.5
  Nov 09, 2024 153   New Mexico St. L 63-75 31%     0 - 2 -14.7 -9.7 -5.3
  Nov 16, 2024 185   @ Wyoming L 69-86 18%     0 - 3 -15.3 -5.9 -8.8
  Nov 22, 2024 54   @ Utah L 67-87 3%    
  Nov 24, 2024 194   Cal St. Northridge L 76-82 28%    
  Nov 25, 2024 211   @ Montana L 70-78 22%    
  Nov 26, 2024 295   Denver L 77-78 47%    
  Nov 30, 2024 218   @ Portland St. L 77-85 24%    
  Dec 03, 2024 43   @ Boise St. L 62-84 2%    
  Dec 07, 2024 45   @ Utah St. L 70-91 3%    
  Dec 13, 2024 225   Weber St. L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 19, 2024 249   South Dakota L 78-79 48%    
  Dec 30, 2024 273   @ Florida International L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 09, 2025 164   Texas Arlington L 78-82 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 317   Tarleton St. W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 16, 2025 136   @ Seattle L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 18, 2025 137   @ Utah Valley L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 89   Grand Canyon L 70-81 18%    
  Jan 30, 2025 317   @ Tarleton St. L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 164   @ Texas Arlington L 75-85 18%    
  Feb 06, 2025 209   Abilene Christian L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 13, 2025 205   @ Southern Utah L 73-82 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 181   @ California Baptist L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 20, 2025 137   Utah Valley L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 209   @ Abilene Christian L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 27, 2025 205   Southern Utah L 76-79 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 181   California Baptist L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 06, 2025 89   @ Grand Canyon L 67-84 8%    
  Mar 08, 2025 136   Seattle L 70-76 29%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.1 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 7.0 5.1 0.9 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 7.6 9.5 5.2 0.9 0.0 26.1 8th
9th 2.3 6.7 9.1 7.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 28.8 9th
Total 2.3 6.9 11.7 15.5 16.1 14.4 12.2 8.6 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 79.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 43.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 16.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.4% 17.9% 17.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 0.9% 15.8% 15.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
10-6 1.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7
9-7 3.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4
8-8 5.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.5
7-9 8.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.5
6-10 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-11 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-12 16.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.1
3-13 15.5% 15.5
2-14 11.7% 11.7
1-15 6.9% 6.9
0-16 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%