Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#79
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#58
Pace73.0#81
Improvement+0.4#134

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#74
First Shot+4.3#66
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#93
Freethrows+0.7#153
Improvement-1.2#330

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#81
First Shot+3.3#84
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#178
Layups/Dunks+2.2#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#149
Freethrows-1.9#284
Improvement+1.6#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 12.6% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.3% 9.2% 3.1%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.4
.500 or above 92.9% 94.7% 82.4%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 88.4% 81.0%
Conference Champion 2.6% 2.8% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four3.7% 4.0% 1.6%
First Round9.7% 10.6% 4.1%
Second Round4.2% 4.7% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Neutral) - 85.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 23 - 34 - 9
Quad 36 - 210 - 11
Quad 411 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 221   Portland St. W 100-92 89%     1 - 0 +2.1 +11.6 -10.6
  Nov 08, 2024 95   Bradley W 91-74 68%     2 - 0 +19.4 +17.7 +1.4
  Nov 11, 2024 284   Idaho W 90-67 93%     3 - 0 +13.7 +7.2 +5.3
  Nov 15, 2024 41   Iowa L 66-76 34%     3 - 1 +1.4 -9.0 +11.2
  Nov 18, 2024 148   Northern Colorado W 83-69 81%     4 - 1 +11.8 +7.6 +4.0
  Nov 21, 2024 243   Eastern Washington W 86-75 86%    
  Nov 27, 2024 255   Fresno St. W 84-72 87%    
  Dec 02, 2024 40   @ Nevada L 68-75 25%    
  Dec 07, 2024 42   Boise St. L 71-75 37%    
  Dec 14, 2024 167   Missouri St. W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 18, 2024 83   @ Washington L 75-78 40%    
  Dec 21, 2024 119   Northern Iowa W 76-72 64%    
  Dec 28, 2024 289   @ Portland W 79-68 84%    
  Dec 30, 2024 154   Loyola Marymount W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 04, 2025 57   San Francisco W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 09, 2025 291   Pacific W 83-66 94%    
  Jan 11, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 71-89 5%    
  Jan 16, 2025 298   @ San Diego W 81-70 84%    
  Jan 18, 2025 289   Portland W 82-65 93%    
  Jan 23, 2025 97   @ Santa Clara L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 43   St. Mary's L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 291   @ Pacific W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 57   @ San Francisco L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 06, 2025 96   @ Oregon St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 248   Pepperdine W 82-67 90%    
  Feb 15, 2025 43   @ St. Mary's L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 19, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 74-86 15%    
  Feb 22, 2025 97   Santa Clara W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 27, 2025 298   San Diego W 84-67 93%    
  Mar 01, 2025 248   @ Pepperdine W 79-70 77%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.6 6.5 3.6 0.7 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 8.7 7.0 2.0 0.1 21.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.7 9.0 5.4 1.0 0.0 20.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.9 4.4 7.3 3.7 0.4 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.9 2.0 0.2 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.6 6.4 10.9 14.5 16.6 16.4 13.6 8.7 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-2 56.7% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.0
15-3 19.2% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.1
14-4 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.0 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 95.5% 29.0% 66.5% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.6%
16-2 1.7% 80.2% 17.7% 62.5% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 75.9%
15-3 4.5% 59.9% 14.0% 45.9% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.8 53.4%
14-4 8.7% 34.7% 8.0% 26.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 0.2 5.7 29.1%
13-5 13.6% 16.6% 6.0% 10.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 11.3 11.2%
12-6 16.4% 6.8% 3.0% 3.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 15.3 3.8%
11-7 16.6% 2.7% 1.6% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 16.2 1.1%
10-8 14.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.4 0.2%
9-9 10.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 0.0%
8-10 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
7-11 3.6% 3.6
6-12 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 1.7
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.5% 3.5% 8.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.2 4.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 88.5 8.3%