West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.2#353
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#334
Pace68.6#203
Improvement+0.0#178

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#339
First Shot-8.1#356
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#78
Layup/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#328
Freethrows-4.5#343
Improvement+1.1#60

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#355
First Shot-5.2#325
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#299
Layups/Dunks-5.3#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#276
Freethrows+1.4#112
Improvement-1.1#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 15.9
.500 or above 0.3% 1.4% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 10.7% 5.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 38.1% 28.4% 39.2%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 10.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 45 - 126 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 29   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -19.2 -7.4 -10.3
  Nov 06, 2024 104   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 4%     0 - 2 -15.7 -11.3 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2024 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 29%     0 - 3 -10.4 -6.1 -4.2
  Nov 15, 2024 123   @ South Florida L 55-74 5%     0 - 4 -13.4 -10.1 -4.7
  Nov 19, 2024 122   Troy L 65-84 12%     0 - 5 -19.2 +0.2 -21.2
  Nov 23, 2024 220   @ Georgia Southern L 74-87 10%    
  Nov 26, 2024 136   Utah Valley L 63-78 8%    
  Nov 27, 2024 241   North Dakota St. L 67-76 20%    
  Nov 29, 2024 127   @ Samford L 71-89 5%    
  Dec 04, 2024 248   @ Mercer L 66-78 14%    
  Dec 07, 2024 334   Tennessee Tech W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 17, 2024 141   @ Charlotte L 58-76 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 213   Florida Gulf Coast L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 04, 2025 333   Stetson W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 10, 2025 236   @ Austin Peay L 63-75 14%    
  Jan 11, 2025 151   @ Lipscomb L 66-83 7%    
  Jan 16, 2025 213   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-74 11%    
  Jan 18, 2025 333   @ Stetson L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 185   Jacksonville L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 177   North Florida L 72-81 21%    
  Jan 29, 2025 342   @ Central Arkansas L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 300   @ Queens L 71-80 22%    
  Feb 05, 2025 151   Lipscomb L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 08, 2025 182   North Alabama L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 13, 2025 196   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 335   @ Bellarmine L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 18, 2025 182   @ North Alabama L 66-81 10%    
  Feb 20, 2025 342   Central Arkansas W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 300   Queens L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 236   Austin Peay L 66-72 28%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.3 2.7 0.5 13.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 5.7 6.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 17.8 10th
11th 0.3 2.9 7.5 7.8 3.3 0.6 22.4 11th
12th 2.2 6.5 9.2 6.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 26.1 12th
Total 2.2 6.8 12.2 15.2 16.4 14.9 11.5 8.9 5.8 3.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 9.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 1.0% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
9-9 3.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
8-10 5.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.7
7-11 8.9% 8.9
6-12 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.9
4-14 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.4
3-15 15.2% 15.2
2-16 12.2% 12.2
1-17 6.8% 6.8
0-18 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%