West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#341
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#346
Pace68.6#191
Improvement+1.9#76

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#338
First Shot-6.8#344
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#134
Layup/Dunks+0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#353
Freethrows-2.9#336
Improvement+1.9#60

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#332
First Shot-3.6#293
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#310
Layups/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#272
Freethrows-0.3#213
Improvement+0.0#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.5% 21.2% 6.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.8% 13.9% 31.4%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 25.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 46 - 107 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 24   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -17.6 -7.7 -8.4
  Nov 06, 2024 112   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 6%     0 - 2 -16.8 -11.1 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 32%     0 - 3 -9.5 -7.0 -2.4
  Nov 15, 2024 169   @ South Florida L 55-74 10%     0 - 4 -16.5 -13.1 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2024 119   Troy L 65-84 15%     0 - 5 -19.2 -0.6 -20.5
  Nov 23, 2024 242   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 18%     0 - 6 -11.5 -19.6 +8.3
  Nov 26, 2024 145   Utah Valley L 74-77 14%     0 - 7 -2.5 +2.0 -4.4
  Nov 27, 2024 114   North Dakota St. L 61-73 10%     0 - 8 -9.1 -10.7 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2024 118   @ Samford L 65-86 6%     0 - 9 -15.1 -8.4 -7.0
  Dec 04, 2024 235   @ Mercer L 72-86 17%     0 - 10 -15.1 +2.8 -18.8
  Dec 07, 2024 328   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 55%     1 - 10 -7.5 -0.2 -7.2
  Dec 17, 2024 193   @ Charlotte L 70-75 12%     1 - 11 -3.6 +1.2 -5.2
  Jan 02, 2025 188   Florida Gulf Coast L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 04, 2025 348   Stetson W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 10, 2025 283   @ Austin Peay L 61-69 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 109   @ Lipscomb L 62-81 4%    
  Jan 16, 2025 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 18, 2025 348   @ Stetson L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 211   Jacksonville L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 207   North Florida L 76-82 29%    
  Jan 29, 2025 338   @ Central Arkansas L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 264   @ Queens L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 109   Lipscomb L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 197   North Alabama L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 13, 2025 230   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-81 17%    
  Feb 15, 2025 345   @ Bellarmine L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 18, 2025 197   @ North Alabama L 66-79 13%    
  Feb 20, 2025 338   Central Arkansas W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 24, 2025 264   Queens L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 283   Austin Peay L 64-66 44%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.5 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.4 3.7 0.5 0.0 16.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 5.0 8.0 3.9 0.5 0.0 18.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.3 7.3 3.6 0.5 0.0 18.3 11th
12th 0.6 2.7 5.3 5.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 16.8 12th
Total 0.6 2.8 6.8 11.6 15.3 16.8 15.2 12.0 8.4 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 51.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
10-8 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 2.9
9-9 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.2
8-10 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
7-11 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 15.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.2
5-13 16.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.8
4-14 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.3
3-15 11.6% 11.6
2-16 6.8% 6.8
1-17 2.8% 2.8
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%