Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#110
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#82
Pace73.2#72
Improvement-6.6#364

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#135
First Shot+4.1#67
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#324
Layup/Dunks+7.1#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#316
Freethrows+3.2#37
Improvement-3.1#351

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#110
First Shot+6.5#19
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#362
Layups/Dunks+0.8#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#134
Freethrows+4.0#7
Improvement-3.5#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 8.2% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.9 11.8 12.0
.500 or above 92.5% 97.1% 89.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.8% 82.5% 74.2%
Conference Champion 6.3% 7.9% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.8% 1.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round6.7% 8.1% 5.6%
Second Round1.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Home) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 7
Quad 38 - 311 - 10
Quad 49 - 220 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 105   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 36%     1 - 0 +14.4 +9.7 +3.6
  Nov 09, 2024 141   Montana St. W 89-69 71%     2 - 0 +17.9 +14.9 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2024 98   Northern Iowa W 79-73 55%     3 - 0 +8.5 +7.1 +1.5
  Nov 18, 2024 272   Monmouth W 70-66 88%     4 - 0 -5.0 -7.2 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2024 143   Saint Louis W 88-63 61%     5 - 0 +25.8 +2.9 +20.3
  Nov 28, 2024 114   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 51%     6 - 0 +5.4 -3.4 +8.7
  Nov 29, 2024 7   Florida L 51-88 10%     6 - 1 -18.9 -14.0 -5.6
  Dec 04, 2024 342   Alcorn St. W 78-54 94%     7 - 1 +9.6 -2.1 +11.7
  Dec 07, 2024 132   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 68%     8 - 1 +7.7 +14.1 -7.2
  Dec 14, 2024 103   @ DePaul L 72-91 34%     8 - 2 -11.0 +0.8 -11.4
  Dec 17, 2024 240   UMKC L 64-74 85%     8 - 3 -17.3 -7.6 -10.3
  Dec 21, 2024 68   Kansas St. L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 03, 2025 119   @ Temple L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 06, 2025 180   South Florida W 79-71 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 230   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-77 65%    
  Jan 14, 2025 193   Charlotte W 74-66 77%    
  Jan 18, 2025 159   East Carolina W 74-67 74%    
  Jan 23, 2025 37   @ Memphis L 74-85 15%    
  Jan 26, 2025 252   @ Tulsa W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 29, 2025 80   North Texas L 64-65 49%    
  Feb 04, 2025 193   @ Charlotte W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 09, 2025 180   @ South Florida W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 230   Texas San Antonio W 84-74 82%    
  Feb 16, 2025 37   Memphis L 77-82 31%    
  Feb 20, 2025 85   @ Florida Atlantic L 78-84 30%    
  Feb 23, 2025 203   Tulane W 79-70 78%    
  Feb 27, 2025 129   UAB W 82-77 67%    
  Mar 03, 2025 80   @ North Texas L 62-68 28%    
  Mar 06, 2025 196   @ Rice W 72-70 58%    
  Mar 09, 2025 252   Tulsa W 80-68 85%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.9 4.0 0.6 0.0 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 7.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 6.7 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 5.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.0 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.1 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.6 6.3 9.6 12.5 15.2 15.5 13.8 10.2 6.1 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.0% 1.1    0.9 0.2
15-3 65.4% 1.9    1.0 0.8 0.1
14-4 32.1% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 8.7% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.0 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 53.4% 37.4% 16.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.6%
16-2 1.2% 30.9% 27.2% 3.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 5.0%
15-3 2.9% 19.4% 18.5% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.4 1.1%
14-4 6.1% 14.6% 14.4% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 5.2 0.2%
13-5 10.2% 13.2% 13.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.9
12-6 13.8% 9.9% 9.9% 12.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.5
11-7 15.5% 6.0% 6.0% 12.2 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 14.6
10-8 15.2% 3.6% 3.6% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 14.7
9-9 12.5% 2.2% 2.2% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.2
8-10 9.6% 1.6% 1.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.4
7-11 6.3% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
6-12 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 3.6
5-13 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.7% 6.6% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.3 0.1%