Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#155
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#198
Pace62.2#341
Improvement+1.1#112

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#115
First Shot+1.2#143
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#128
Layup/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#72
Freethrows-2.9#331
Improvement-1.3#283

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#242
First Shot-3.6#297
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#72
Layups/Dunks-0.6#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows-1.8#303
Improvement+2.4#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.5% 13.1% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 59.8% 69.6% 44.3%
.500 or above in Conference 82.5% 89.6% 71.2%
Conference Champion 12.5% 17.1% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round11.2% 13.0% 8.4%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 61.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 410 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 107   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 24%     0 - 1 -1.8 +9.8 -12.8
  Nov 13, 2024 250   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 58%     0 - 2 -4.9 +1.2 -6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -27.0 -21.7 -9.8
  Nov 22, 2024 142   St. Thomas W 81-73 47%     1 - 3 +8.8 +8.7 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2024 137   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 34%     1 - 4 +2.2 +7.2 -5.2
  Nov 24, 2024 260   Portland St. L 74-79 70%     1 - 5 -10.4 +0.4 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2024 182   North Alabama W 74-54 65%     2 - 5 +15.9 +1.6 +15.1
  Dec 04, 2024 238   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 76%     3 - 5 +16.7 +16.3 +1.9
  Dec 07, 2024 179   @ Elon L 56-79 42%     3 - 6 -20.9 -12.3 -10.1
  Dec 16, 2024 121   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 30%     3 - 7 -4.5 +0.5 -5.5
  Dec 18, 2024 143   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 36%     4 - 7 +6.8 +7.2 -0.1
  Jan 01, 2025 157   UNC Greensboro W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 04, 2025 132   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 08, 2025 311   Western Carolina W 77-66 85%    
  Jan 11, 2025 128   @ Furman L 65-70 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 183   @ Chattanooga L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 239   Mercer W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 22, 2025 355   The Citadel W 76-60 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 112   @ Samford L 75-81 27%    
  Jan 29, 2025 347   VMI W 79-64 92%    
  Feb 01, 2025 157   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 05, 2025 183   Chattanooga W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 239   @ Mercer W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 12, 2025 355   @ The Citadel W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 112   Samford L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 19, 2025 347   @ VMI W 76-67 79%    
  Feb 22, 2025 132   East Tennessee St. W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 26, 2025 311   @ Western Carolina W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 128   Furman W 68-67 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.0 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 12.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 15.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.0 7.3 2.9 0.3 0.0 16.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 5.1 7.4 2.8 0.2 0.0 16.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.8 6.7 2.6 0.2 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.2 4.7 1.7 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 5.2 8.1 11.4 14.5 16.0 14.8 11.7 7.5 4.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 98.1% 1.6    1.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 84.0% 3.6    2.6 1.0 0.1
14-4 52.9% 4.0    1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0
13-5 19.0% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.5% 12.5 6.9 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 41.7% 41.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.7% 34.2% 34.2% 12.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.1
15-3 4.3% 28.7% 28.7% 13.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 3.1
14-4 7.5% 22.6% 22.6% 13.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 5.8
13-5 11.7% 17.9% 17.9% 13.9 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 9.6
12-6 14.8% 13.1% 13.1% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 12.8
11-7 16.0% 9.6% 9.6% 14.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.1 14.5
10-8 14.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.1 0.8 0.2 13.5
9-9 11.4% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.1 0.5 10.8
8-10 8.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.9
7-11 5.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 2.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 2.5
5-13 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.5% 11.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.7 3.2 1.3 88.5 0.0%