Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#206
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#315
Pace61.8#348
Improvement-0.3#214

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot-0.2#191
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#97
Layup/Dunks-5.3#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#13
Freethrows-5.7#356
Improvement-1.0#315

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#288
First Shot-3.2#279
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#196
Layups/Dunks+1.9#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#313
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+0.7#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 10.5% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 37.2% 50.6% 26.7%
.500 or above in Conference 63.1% 70.5% 57.4%
Conference Champion 9.3% 12.4% 6.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.2% 4.1%
First Four1.7% 1.4% 2.0%
First Round7.7% 9.9% 5.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Neutral) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 12
Quad 410 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 152   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 29%     0 - 1 -5.6 +5.8 -12.6
  Nov 13, 2024 279   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 54%     0 - 2 -6.1 -1.8 -4.7
  Nov 16, 2024 5   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -28.7 -23.3 -9.9
  Nov 22, 2024 168   St. Thomas L 69-71 44%    
  Nov 23, 2024 212   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-76 40%    
  Nov 24, 2024 221   Portland St. W 77-76 53%    
  Dec 01, 2024 186   North Alabama W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 04, 2024 219   Gardner-Webb W 74-70 63%    
  Dec 07, 2024 207   @ Elon L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 16, 2024 112   @ College of Charleston L 70-79 21%    
  Dec 18, 2024 100   @ Saint Louis L 69-79 19%    
  Jan 01, 2025 171   UNC Greensboro W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 188   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 258   Western Carolina W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 133   @ Furman L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 169   @ Chattanooga L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 252   Mercer W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 22, 2025 317   The Citadel W 72-62 80%    
  Jan 25, 2025 127   @ Samford L 74-82 25%    
  Jan 29, 2025 344   VMI W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 01, 2025 171   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 05, 2025 169   Chattanooga W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 252   @ Mercer L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 317   @ The Citadel W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 127   Samford L 77-79 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 344   @ VMI W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 188   East Tennessee St. W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 258   @ Western Carolina L 67-68 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 133   Furman L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.8 2.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.7 4.3 1.7 0.2 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.5 4.7 1.2 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.4 4.7 1.0 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.5 7.1 9.5 11.2 12.3 12.7 11.6 9.5 7.5 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.3% 1.4    1.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 84.3% 2.3    1.7 0.6 0.0
14-4 56.5% 2.8    1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 24.5% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
12-6 4.9% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.4 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 41.7% 41.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.4% 36.2% 36.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 2.8% 31.2% 31.2% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9
14-4 4.9% 22.6% 22.6% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.8
13-5 7.5% 17.8% 17.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 6.2
12-6 9.5% 12.2% 12.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 8.3
11-7 11.6% 9.7% 9.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 10.5
10-8 12.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 11.7
9-9 12.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.7
8-10 11.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.9
7-11 9.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.4
6-12 7.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.0
5-13 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-14 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.8 91.6 0.0%