Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#24
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#20
Pace67.3#243
Improvement+0.4#151

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#14
First Shot+9.1#11
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#95
Layup/Dunks+0.1#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#15
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement+2.4#34

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#52
First Shot+3.8#61
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#97
Layups/Dunks+3.3#66
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#39
Freethrows+3.4#23
Improvement-2.0#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 3.4% 3.6% 1.0%
Top 4 Seed 21.2% 22.1% 9.2%
Top 6 Seed 50.6% 52.0% 30.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.5% 89.3% 77.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.1% 88.9% 77.4%
Average Seed 6.3 6.2 7.3
.500 or above 97.3% 97.7% 91.1%
.500 or above in Conference 74.7% 75.5% 64.0%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.5% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.5% 0.9%
First Four6.1% 5.8% 9.1%
First Round85.7% 86.6% 73.5%
Second Round60.3% 61.4% 45.0%
Sweet Sixteen25.6% 26.3% 15.6%
Elite Eight9.2% 9.5% 5.0%
Final Four3.3% 3.5% 1.7%
Championship Game1.1% 1.1% 0.5%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 93.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 10
Quad 25 - 112 - 12
Quad 35 - 017 - 12
Quad 44 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 229 Lindenwood W 98-60 97%     1 - 0 +30.9 +14.8 +12.8
  Fri, Nov 7 122 Sam Houston St. W 98-77 92%     2 - 0 +20.4 +23.1 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 10 @Illinois L 77-81 23%     2 - 1 +19.0 +11.0 +8.1
  Fri, Nov 14 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-63 97%     3 - 1 +10.8 +8.4 +3.7
  Thu, Nov 20 61 Wake Forest W 84-83 73%     4 - 1 +9.8 +10.0 -0.3
  Fri, Nov 21 5 Purdue L 56-86 27%     4 - 2 -8.2 -5.8 -4.1
  Wed, Nov 26 241 New Orleans W 82-50 97%     5 - 2 +24.4 +3.4 +20.7
  Sun, Nov 30 103 Wyoming W 76-72 89%     6 - 2 +5.7 +6.1 -0.2
  Sun, Dec 7 39 LSU W 82-58 61%     7 - 2 +36.4 +12.8 +23.3
  Sat, Dec 13 23 Arkansas L 86-93 50%     7 - 3 +8.2 +23.2 -15.3
  Tue, Dec 16 171 Northern Colorado W 101-90 95%     8 - 3 +7.3 +27.4 -19.8
  Sat, Dec 20 4 Duke W 82-81 26%     9 - 3 +22.9 +19.8 +3.1
  Sun, Dec 28 125 Winthrop W 89-73 93%    
  Sat, Jan 3 55 Oklahoma St. W 87-78 80%    
  Tue, Jan 6 8 @Houston L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 73 @Colorado W 81-76 66%    
  Wed, Jan 14 111 Utah W 86-71 91%    
  Sat, Jan 17 11 BYU L 77-78 45%    
  Tue, Jan 20 27 @Baylor L 79-82 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 8 Houston L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 49 @Central Florida W 81-79 56%    
  Mon, Feb 2 17 Kansas W 74-73 53%    
  Sun, Feb 8 62 @West Virginia W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 73 Colorado W 84-73 83%    
  Sat, Feb 14 2 @Arizona L 72-83 16%    
  Tue, Feb 17 71 @Arizona St. W 80-76 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 58 Kansas St. W 86-77 80%    
  Tue, Feb 24 67 Cincinnati W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Feb 28 3 @Iowa St. L 72-82 18%    
  Tue, Mar 3 53 TCU W 76-68 78%    
  Sat, Mar 7 11 @BYU L 74-81 25%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 6.7 3.5 0.3 13.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 6.9 4.8 0.6 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.5 5.2 0.8 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.6 5.0 1.2 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 4.2 1.6 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.3 2.6 2.0 0.2 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.7 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.0 7.1 11.5 14.6 16.7 15.5 12.0 8.3 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 82.5% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 47.6% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 14.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 20.4% 79.6% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 100.0% 14.2% 85.8% 2.5 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.9% 100.0% 11.3% 88.7% 3.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5 8.3% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 3.9 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 100.0%
12-6 12.0% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 4.7 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.4 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 100.0%
11-7 15.5% 99.9% 3.3% 96.7% 5.6 0.0 0.5 1.9 4.8 5.1 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
10-8 16.7% 99.4% 2.3% 97.2% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.0 4.9 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.4%
9-9 14.6% 97.6% 1.2% 96.4% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.6 3.8 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.4 97.5%
8-10 11.5% 84.6% 0.8% 83.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.0 3.2 2.3 0.1 1.8 84.4%
7-11 7.1% 53.1% 0.2% 52.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 3.3 53.0%
6-12 4.0% 18.4% 0.2% 18.2% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.3 18.3%
5-13 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.6%
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 88.5% 3.3% 85.2% 6.3 0.8 2.5 7.3 10.5 14.2 15.1 12.1 8.6 6.2 5.4 5.2 0.3 0.0 11.5 88.1%