Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#30
Expected Predictive Rating+14.6#30
Pace67.3#248
Improvement-1.7#300

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#28
First Shot+5.9#38
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#62
Layup/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#41
Freethrows-1.2#245
Improvement-1.4#290

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#40
First Shot+4.3#54
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#101
Layups/Dunks+2.9#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-9.5#365
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#5
Freethrows+2.1#66
Improvement-0.3#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 2.7% 3.9% 1.5%
Top 4 Seed 14.9% 20.3% 9.4%
Top 6 Seed 34.2% 43.9% 24.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 69.1% 78.8% 59.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.9% 77.8% 58.3%
Average Seed 6.7 6.3 7.2
.500 or above 84.9% 92.0% 77.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.8% 69.9% 59.8%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.7% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.9% 1.9%
First Four7.5% 6.7% 8.3%
First Round65.9% 76.0% 55.8%
Second Round44.0% 53.1% 35.1%
Sweet Sixteen18.7% 23.7% 13.7%
Elite Eight6.8% 8.9% 4.8%
Final Four2.6% 3.3% 1.8%
Championship Game0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: LSU (Neutral) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 12
Quad 25 - 111 - 13
Quad 35 - 016 - 13
Quad 44 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 246 Lindenwood W 98-60 97%     1 - 0 +30.3 +14.9 +12.1
  Fri, Nov 7 133 Sam Houston St. W 98-77 91%     2 - 0 +19.8 +21.6 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 11 17 @Illinois L 77-81 27%     2 - 1 +16.0 +11.1 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 14 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-63 96%     3 - 1 +10.4 +9.0 +2.7
  Thu, Nov 20 53 Wake Forest W 84-83 64%     4 - 1 +11.0 +10.9 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 21 2 Purdue L 56-86 21%     4 - 2 -7.8 -6.2 -3.2
  Wed, Nov 26 216 New Orleans W 82-50 96%     5 - 2 +25.7 +5.5 +20.0
  Sun, Nov 30 106 Wyoming W 76-72 88%     6 - 2 +5.3 +7.3 -1.9
  Sun, Dec 7 29 LSU L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Dec 13 22 Arkansas L 76-77 45%    
  Tue, Dec 16 151 Northern Colorado W 82-66 94%    
  Sat, Dec 20 3 Duke L 69-77 22%    
  Sun, Dec 28 107 Winthrop W 84-72 88%    
  Sat, Jan 3 47 Oklahoma St. W 85-79 69%    
  Tue, Jan 6 7 @Houston L 63-72 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 64 @Colorado W 77-75 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 117 Utah W 82-68 89%    
  Sat, Jan 17 8 BYU L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Jan 20 28 @Baylor L 77-80 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 7 Houston L 66-69 39%    
  Sat, Jan 31 63 @Central Florida W 80-78 57%    
  Mon, Feb 2 18 Kansas W 72-71 53%    
  Sun, Feb 8 65 @West Virginia W 69-67 58%    
  Wed, Feb 11 64 Colorado W 80-72 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 9 @Arizona L 73-82 23%    
  Tue, Feb 17 82 @Arizona St. W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 71 Kansas St. W 84-75 79%    
  Tue, Feb 24 68 Cincinnati W 76-68 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 6 @Iowa St. L 71-81 20%    
  Tue, Mar 3 48 TCU W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Mar 7 8 @BYU L 70-79 22%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.1 0.8 0.1 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.3 1.3 0.1 8.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.5 2.2 0.2 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.7 3.7 0.4 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.5 0.8 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.2 3.3 5.1 1.3 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 4.7 2.3 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.4 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.4 0.1 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.5 0.2 3.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.4 6.6 10.1 12.7 14.5 14.6 13.4 10.0 6.7 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 64.4% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
14-4 24.4% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-5 5.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 5.3% 94.7% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 25.6% 74.4% 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.6% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 2.6 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.4% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 3.3 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.7% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 4.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 10.0% 99.7% 7.8% 91.9% 5.1 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 13.4% 99.0% 3.8% 95.2% 6.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 3.3 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 99.0%
10-8 14.6% 94.6% 2.2% 92.4% 7.5 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 3.1 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.8 94.5%
9-9 14.5% 79.9% 1.5% 78.4% 8.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 0.1 2.9 79.6%
8-10 12.7% 46.2% 0.7% 45.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.3 0.2 6.8 45.9%
7-11 10.1% 19.5% 0.1% 19.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.1 8.1 19.4%
6-12 6.6% 4.1% 0.1% 4.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.3 4.0%
5-13 3.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.2%
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 69.1% 3.5% 65.5% 6.7 0.7 2.0 4.7 7.5 9.6 9.7 9.1 7.4 6.1 5.6 6.3 0.5 0.0 30.9 67.9%