St. John's
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.9#13
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#54
Pace74.6#59
Improvement-0.9#250

Offense
Total Offense+11.1#9
First Shot+8.8#12
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#61
Layup/Dunks+9.6#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#267
Freethrows+4.5#13
Improvement+0.0#175

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#24
First Shot+12.9#2
After Offensive Rebounds-6.0#363
Layups/Dunks+1.3#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#10
Freethrows+2.7#39
Improvement-0.9#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
#1 Seed 6.3% 6.9% 2.7%
Top 2 Seed 15.6% 16.9% 7.4%
Top 4 Seed 43.1% 45.8% 25.8%
Top 6 Seed 69.1% 71.7% 52.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.9% 95.9% 89.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 92.9% 94.1% 85.8%
Average Seed 5.0 4.9 6.0
.500 or above 99.1% 99.4% 97.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.9% 98.2% 95.9%
Conference Champion 35.7% 37.1% 27.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 2.5%
First Round94.2% 95.2% 88.1%
Second Round76.9% 78.7% 65.8%
Sweet Sixteen44.0% 45.6% 33.2%
Elite Eight21.5% 22.4% 16.1%
Final Four10.1% 10.6% 7.1%
Championship Game4.6% 4.9% 3.1%
National Champion1.9% 2.0% 1.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Home) - 86.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 7
Quad 28 - 215 - 9
Quad 36 - 021 - 9
Quad 43 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 154 Quinnipiac W 108-74 96%     1 - 0 +31.1 +17.0 +8.6
  Sat, Nov 8 11 Alabama L 96-103 58%     1 - 1 +8.8 +11.0 -1.0
  Sat, Nov 15 118 William & Mary W 93-60 94%     2 - 1 +33.2 +9.0 +20.0
  Thu, Nov 20 304 Bucknell W 97-49 99%     3 - 1 +37.1 +11.4 +21.9
  Mon, Nov 24 6 Iowa St. L 82-83 40%     3 - 2 +19.4 +20.9 -1.5
  Tue, Nov 25 28 Baylor W 96-81 65%     4 - 2 +28.8 +24.3 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 26 20 Auburn L 74-85 60%     4 - 3 +4.4 +10.1 -6.3
  Sat, Dec 6 58 Mississippi W 84-72 86%    
  Sat, Dec 13 174 Iona W 95-73 98%    
  Tue, Dec 16 121 DePaul W 87-69 95%    
  Sat, Dec 20 23 Kentucky W 83-80 60%    
  Tue, Dec 23 193 Harvard W 86-63 99%    
  Wed, Dec 31 85 @Georgetown W 85-76 79%    
  Sat, Jan 3 72 Providence W 92-79 89%    
  Tue, Jan 6 44 @Butler W 85-81 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 45 @Creighton W 81-77 63%    
  Tue, Jan 13 83 Marquette W 87-73 90%    
  Sat, Jan 17 39 @Villanova W 75-72 60%    
  Tue, Jan 20 76 Seton Hall W 79-66 89%    
  Sat, Jan 24 77 @Xavier W 83-76 75%    
  Wed, Jan 28 44 Butler W 88-78 80%    
  Tue, Feb 3 121 @DePaul W 84-72 85%    
  Fri, Feb 6 5 Connecticut W 75-74 51%    
  Mon, Feb 9 77 Xavier W 86-73 88%    
  Sat, Feb 14 72 @Providence W 89-82 74%    
  Wed, Feb 18 83 @Marquette W 84-76 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 45 Creighton W 84-74 81%    
  Wed, Feb 25 5 @Connecticut L 72-78 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 39 Villanova W 78-69 78%    
  Tue, Mar 3 85 Georgetown W 88-73 90%    
  Fri, Mar 6 76 @Seton Hall W 76-69 74%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 6.5 9.7 9.0 5.3 1.4 35.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 7.5 10.7 9.4 4.6 1.0 36.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.7 4.3 1.8 0.4 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 4.1 6.6 9.5 13.1 15.4 16.3 14.3 10.0 5.3 1.4 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
19-1 100.0% 5.3    5.1 0.3
18-2 90.3% 9.0    7.5 1.6 0.0
17-3 67.8% 9.7    6.5 3.1 0.1
16-4 40.0% 6.5    3.5 2.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 18.5% 2.8    1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 6.4% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 35.7% 35.7 25.1 9.4 1.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.4% 100.0% 57.7% 42.3% 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 5.3% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.8 2.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
18-2 10.0% 100.0% 46.5% 53.5% 2.5 2.0 3.5 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 14.3% 100.0% 38.4% 61.6% 3.4 0.8 2.5 4.5 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 16.3% 100.0% 31.9% 68.1% 4.3 0.2 0.9 3.2 5.0 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 15.4% 99.6% 27.1% 72.5% 5.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 4.4 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.4%
14-6 13.1% 99.2% 23.8% 75.4% 6.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 3.6 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.9%
13-7 9.5% 96.9% 17.1% 79.8% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.3 96.2%
12-8 6.6% 89.7% 13.8% 76.0% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.7 88.1%
11-9 4.1% 72.8% 12.3% 60.5% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.1 69.0%
10-10 2.0% 52.1% 9.2% 42.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.0 47.2%
9-11 1.1% 20.3% 3.0% 17.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 17.8%
8-12 0.6% 8.8% 4.4% 4.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.6%
7-13 0.2% 0.2
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 94.9% 29.3% 65.6% 5.0 6.3 9.3 12.5 14.9 13.8 12.2 9.9 6.9 4.6 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 5.1 92.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 1.2 82.6 17.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 1.3 75.0 25.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.4 63.0 29.6 7.4