Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.6 #293
Expected Predictive Rating -6.8 #275
Pace 65.3 #267
Improvement -2.1 #276

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #283 D D+ C C+ D
Defense #279 D C C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #254 1.03 #319 -3.8 #304
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #58 0.71 #259 +1.9 #83
Three Pointers 37% #267 0.96 #261 -3.1 #291
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #323 -5.0 #323
Freethrows 0.31 #145 73% #150 0.23 #136
Second Chance 25.3% #323 1.01 #206 0.26 #298
Turnovers 16.9% #194
Total Offense -4.4 #283

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #127 1.25 #299 -3.1 #287
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #231 0.73 #126 +1.0 #116
Three Pointers 41% #190 1.10 #303 -1.7 #262
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #301 -3.8 #302
Freethrows 0.33 #275 71% #104 0.23 #243
Second Chance 32.2% #251 0.97 #98 0.31 #173
Turnovers 16.1% #215
Total Defense -3.2 #279

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.0% #308 0.8% #240
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.0% #313 6.7% #305
Possession Length 18.6 #310 16.5 #62
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #229 0.22 #332
Improvement +1.0 #128 -3.1 #329

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 14.6% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 61.4% 76.0% 48.1%
.500 or above in Conference 87.9% 95.4% 80.9%
Conference Champion 15.2% 25.9% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.9% 11.3% 8.7%
First Round7.1% 9.1% 5.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 48.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 415 - 915 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 30 @Indiana L 51 - 98 2% -31  0 - 1 -29 -15 D- F B- -14 F C B-
 Thu, Nov 13 246 Charleston Southern W 68 - 64 51% +5  1 - 1 -4 -7 F+ A F +3 C+ D A+
 Sun, Nov 16 240 Lindenwood W 74 - 65 49% +2  2 - 1 +2 +2 C+ C C- -0 C C+ C+
 Fri, Nov 28 33 @Clemson L 56 - 92 2% -25  2 - 2 -19 -7 C F B+ -12 D F+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 239 @Coastal Carolina L 60 - 67 28% -6  2 - 3 -8 -11 F+ F D +2 A- C+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 230 Tennessee St. W 80 - 53 47% +9  3 - 3 +20 +9 A- C+ F +13 A+ C- A
 Sun, Dec 7 178 @Lipscomb L 58 - 92 19% -13  3 - 4 -32 -10 F D- C- -25 F D- F
 Mon, Dec 15 326 North Alabama W 68 - 60 71% +0  4 - 4 -5 -7 F C- A- +2 D- A+ C+
 Wed, Dec 17 59 Mississippi L 66 - 80 7% -13  4 - 5 -5 +4 B- C- B -10 F A- C-
 Sun, Dec 21 275 Chattanooga L 66 - 73 57% -4  4 - 6 -16 -5 F D B -12 F+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 3 331 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 83 - 95 50% -4  4 - 7 0 - 1 -20 +14 D- A+ C -35 F F D-
 Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 71 - 51 88% +10  5 - 7 1 - 1 -1 -9 F C- F +8 B C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 348 Alcorn St. L 62 - 64 76% +4  5 - 8 1 - 2 -17 -13 F D- C- -4 C B F
 Mon, Jan 12 337 Jackson St. W 100 - 91 74% +6  6 - 8 2 - 2 -5 +6 C+ C+ C -13 D- C+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 322 Alabama St. W 73 - 69 59% +0  7 - 8 3 - 2 -6 -6 F D- B- -0 D F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 309 @Texas Southern L 74 - 89 43% +1  7 - 9 3 - 3 -21 +1 B- F D -22 F C F
 Tue, Jan 27 339 @Prairie View W 80 - 60 53% +12  8 - 9 4 - 3 +12 +6 B- F C+ +6 B- A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 317 Florida A&M W 72 - 65 69% +8  9 - 9 5 - 3 -6 +3 D+ D- B- -8 D+ C C
 Mon, Feb 2 236 Bethune-Cookman L 71 - 72 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 266 @Southern L 70 - 75 33%
 Mon, Feb 9 287 @Grambling St. L 68 - 71 38%
 Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 77 - 58 97%
 Mon, Feb 16 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78 - 72 71%
 Thu, Feb 19 317 @Florida A&M L 69 - 70 46%
 Sat, Feb 21 236 @Bethune-Cookman L 69 - 75 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 322 Alabama St. W 75 - 70 68%
 Tue, Mar 3 287 Grambling St. W 71 - 68 59%
 Thu, Mar 5 266 Southern W 73 - 72 55%
Totals 14 - 14 10 - 8 -8 -4 D D+ C -3 D C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 5.8 5.9 2.1 0.4 15.2 1st
2nd 0.9 9.5 8.3 1.6 0.0 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.8 9.8 1.3 0.0 16.9 3rd
4th 1.0 9.8 2.6 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 5.0 5.2 0.2 10.4 5th
6th 0.7 7.1 1.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.8 2.9 0.1 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.6 0.4 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 1.2 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.9 8.6 16.5 22.8 23.2 15.4 7.5 2.1 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.4    0.4
14-4 98.6% 2.1    1.8 0.3
13-5 78.9% 5.9    3.5 2.3 0.2
12-6 37.7% 5.8    1.4 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0
11-7 4.8% 1.1    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.2% 15.2 7.0 5.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.4% 23.9% 23.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-4 2.1% 27.3% 27.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5
13-5 7.5% 22.9% 22.9% 15.9 0.1 1.6 5.8
12-6 15.4% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.1 2.6 12.8
11-7 23.2% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 3.2 20.0
10-8 22.8% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 2.4 20.3
9-9 16.5% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 1.3 15.3
8-10 8.6% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.3 8.3
7-11 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 16.0 87.8 0.0%