Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.5 #331
Expected Predictive Rating -6.4 #264
Pace 76.4 #25
Improvement +1.8 #109

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #306 D+ D D+ C D+
Defense #324 C- D- D+ F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #208 1.11 #242 -1.5 #241
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #83 0.67 #309 +0.8 #135
Three Pointers 37% #262 1.00 #205 -2.3 #261
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #268 -3.0 #265
Freethrows 0.30 #183 75% #103 0.22 #153
Second Chance 25.9% #309 0.98 #240 0.25 #301
Turnovers 18.4% #291
Total Offense -5.1 #306

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #76 1.22 #259 -3.6 #300
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #327 0.67 #51 +2.6 #15
Three Pointers 42% #152 1.02 #198 -0.6 #214
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #232 -1.7 #231
Freethrows 0.39 #360 74% #257 0.29 #357
Second Chance 35.2% #328 1.13 #309 0.40 #339
Turnovers 15.3% #265
Total Defense -5.4 #324

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #276 1.9% #334
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.6% #256 1.3% #210
Possession Length 16.2 #77 16.7 #99
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #163 0.14 #67
Improvement +1.3 #112 +0.5 #157

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 7.5% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.6% 11.5% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 75.8% 92.0% 69.9%
Conference Champion 4.6% 10.8% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.6% 6.5% 3.9%
First Round2.5% 4.0% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Away) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 411 - 912 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 41 @Washington L 50 - 94 2% -21  0 - 1 -29 -18 F F F -9 C- F B+
 Thu, Nov 6 232 @Portland L 74 - 83 18% -10  0 - 2 -10 -10 F C- F +1 C+ B B
 Sat, Nov 8 170 @Loyola Marymount L 72 - 94 12% -9  0 - 3 -20 +2 B- D+ D -22 F C F
 Tue, Nov 11 55 @Oklahoma L 69 - 95 3% -9  0 - 4 -13 +1 D+ C F -14 C- F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 12 @Vanderbilt L 75 - 104 1% -14  0 - 5 -7 +7 B- D+ B -13 A- F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 39 @SMU L 60 - 106 1% -24  0 - 6 -30 -15 D- F D -9 F+ B+ C
 Thu, Nov 20 153 @Marshall L 70 - 98 11% -5  0 - 7 -25 -8 F D+ F+ -15 F A+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 90 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 111 4% -16  0 - 8 -18 +1 F A- A- -15 F C- D-
 Wed, Dec 3 135 @Illinois-Chicago W 63 - 62 9% +5  1 - 8 +6 -8 C D+ D+ +14 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 6 94 @DePaul L 72 - 76 5% +1  1 - 9 +5 +2 A F+ F +3 A+ D F
 Wed, Dec 10 69 @Tulsa L 84 - 117 3% -16  1 - 10 -22 +4 B+ C F+ -23 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 293 Alabama A&M W 95 - 83 50% +4  2 - 10 1 - 0 +1 +27 A A+ C+ -24 C F D+
 Mon, Jan 5 322 Alabama St. W 90 - 79 59% +6  3 - 10 2 - 0 -2 +5 C+ D- D -8 C- C D-
 Sat, Jan 10 309 @Texas Southern W 74 - 66 33% +8  4 - 10 3 - 0 +2 -1 C+ F C+ +4 A- C+ D+
 Mon, Jan 12 339 @Prairie View L 61 - 73 42% -6  4 - 11 3 - 1 -20 -14 F F+ D+ -6 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 317 Florida A&M L 67 - 71 58% -1  4 - 12 3 - 2 -17 -6 D- C+ D -11 F+ F B+
 Mon, Jan 19 236 Bethune-Cookman L 82 - 87 OT 37% +2  4 - 13 3 - 3 -12 -2 C+ D- F -9 B F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 266 @Southern W 75 - 74 23% -2  5 - 13 4 - 3 -2 +3 D- C B- -5 B- F B-
 Sat, Jan 31 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78 - 70 83% +7  6 - 13 5 - 3 -13 -3 F F B- -10 D- D C
 Wed, Feb 4 287 @Grambling St. L 72 - 78 27%
 Sat, Feb 7 348 Alcorn St. W 81 - 77 66%
 Mon, Feb 9 337 Jackson St. W 83 - 79 65%
 Sat, Feb 14 322 @Alabama St. L 78 - 82 37%
 Mon, Feb 16 293 @Alabama A&M L 72 - 78 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 309 Texas Southern W 82 - 81 56%
 Sat, Feb 21 339 Prairie View W 84 - 80 64%
 Sat, Feb 28 365 Mississippi Valley W 82 - 66 93%
 Tue, Mar 3 337 @Jackson St. L 80 - 82 42%
 Thu, Mar 5 348 @Alcorn St. L 78 - 80 44%
Totals 11 - 18 10 - 7 -11 -5 D+ D D+ -5 C- D- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.5 0.2 4.6 1st
2nd 0.8 6.0 4.7 0.8 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.9 7.5 1.1 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 1.5 9.8 2.6 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.1 6.8 6.3 0.3 13.5 5th
6th 1.4 9.8 1.2 12.4 6th
7th 0.1 4.6 5.1 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.7 6.7 0.6 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.4 3.0 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.6 0.4 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 1.6 6.3 16.1 24.1 24.1 17.0 8.1 2.4 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 88.7% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-5 64.6% 1.5    0.6 0.8 0.1
12-6 27.8% 2.3    0.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 3.5% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 1.2 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.3% 22.6% 22.6% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-5 2.4% 12.1% 12.1% 15.8 0.1 0.2 2.1
12-6 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 7.4
11-7 17.0% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 1.2 15.7
10-8 24.1% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 1.3 22.8
9-9 24.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 1.1 23.0
8-10 16.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 15.8
7-11 6.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3
6-12 1.6% 1.6
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 16.0 95.0 0.0%