Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#98
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#115
Pace73.0#58
Improvement-0.7#221

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#112
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#39
Layup/Dunks+0.5#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#141
Freethrows+1.6#86
Improvement+3.2#42

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#100
First Shot+4.5#55
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#316
Layups/Dunks+2.8#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#21
Freethrows-2.5#338
Improvement-3.8#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 22 - 23 - 3
Quad 34 - 57 - 8
Quad 416 - 223 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 111   Akron W 80-75 OT 65%     1 - 0 +5.9 -6.8 +11.9
  Nov 08, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 79-88 5%     1 - 1 +14.9 +1.0 +15.4
  Nov 12, 2024 253   Arkansas Little Rock W 80-63 88%     2 - 1 +9.3 +10.2 -0.1
  Nov 16, 2024 282   Stephen F. Austin W 59-49 91%     3 - 1 +0.3 -9.8 +10.9
  Nov 29, 2024 194   Indiana St. W 86-81 74%     4 - 1 +3.1 +5.0 -2.2
  Nov 30, 2024 192   Rice L 67-75 74%     4 - 2 -9.8 -6.4 -3.5
  Dec 01, 2024 217   Hofstra L 66-68 78%     4 - 3 -5.0 -0.6 -4.6
  Dec 05, 2024 262   Jackson St. W 66-64 89%     5 - 3 -6.4 -12.9 +6.5
  Dec 08, 2024 50   @ Memphis W 85-72 20%     6 - 3 +26.8 +8.2 +16.7
  Dec 12, 2024 226   Texas Arlington W 83-79 85%     7 - 3 -2.2 +4.2 -6.4
  Dec 15, 2024 109   @ UAB W 98-89 OT 44%     8 - 3 +15.5 +1.8 +11.8
  Dec 21, 2024 317   Coastal Carolina W 97-67 93%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +17.9 +22.3 -2.8
  Jan 02, 2025 277   @ Old Dominion W 78-59 80%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +15.2 +7.5 +8.5
  Jan 04, 2025 166   @ James Madison L 62-67 60%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -2.6 -10.0 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2025 132   @ South Alabama L 62-76 51%     10 - 5 2 - 2 -9.4 +2.9 -14.7
  Jan 11, 2025 101   @ Troy W 84-78 42%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +13.1 +22.8 -9.3
  Jan 16, 2025 305   Louisiana W 83-63 93%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +8.8 +8.0 +1.1
  Jan 18, 2025 254   Georgia St. W 85-59 88%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +18.3 +3.1 +14.5
  Jan 23, 2025 178   Appalachian St. W 65-55 80%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +6.1 -1.1 +8.0
  Jan 25, 2025 202   Texas St. W 80-65 83%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +9.8 +2.6 +7.4
  Jan 29, 2025 295   @ Southern Miss W 81-68 82%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +8.1 +6.1 +1.6
  Feb 01, 2025 202   @ Texas St. W 85-74 67%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +11.3 +11.7 -0.1
  Feb 05, 2025 169   @ Marshall L 72-77 60%     17 - 6 9 - 3 -2.8 -0.7 -2.1
  Feb 08, 2025 133   @ Kent St. L 75-76 52%     17 - 7 +3.4 +5.7 -2.3
  Feb 12, 2025 295   Southern Miss W 101-67 92%     18 - 7 10 - 3 +23.6 +17.8 +3.2
  Feb 15, 2025 101   Troy L 70-71 63%     18 - 8 10 - 4 +0.6 +0.5 +0.1
  Feb 19, 2025 132   South Alabama L 56-60 71%     18 - 9 10 - 5 -4.9 -12.5 +7.3
  Feb 22, 2025 345   Louisiana Monroe W 95-70 96%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +9.9 +12.2 -3.1
  Feb 26, 2025 305   @ Louisiana W 83-64 84%     20 - 9 12 - 5 +13.3 +2.5 +9.2
  Feb 28, 2025 345   @ Louisiana Monroe W 94-67 91%     21 - 9 13 - 5 +17.4 +23.5 -4.3
  Mar 08, 2025 169   Marshall W 77-74 70%     22 - 9 +2.5 +5.6 -3.1
  Mar 09, 2025 132   South Alabama W 74-71 62%     23 - 9 +4.8 +7.1 -2.2
  Mar 10, 2025 101   Troy L 81-94 52%     23 - 10 -8.7 +7.7 -15.7
Projected Record 23 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%