Bellarmine
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#340
Expected Predictive Rating-18.2#359
Pace65.9#237
Improvement+3.5#45

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#228
First Shot-0.2#173
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#298
Layup/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#107
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement+1.4#117

Defense
Total Defense-9.8#361
First Shot-8.5#360
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#295
Layups/Dunks-5.5#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#353
Freethrows+1.2#102
Improvement+2.1#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 43 - 143 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 36   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-84 1%     0 - 1 -2.6 +3.6 -7.2
  Nov 09, 2024 299   VMI L 71-76 45%     0 - 2 -15.7 -5.5 -10.3
  Nov 13, 2024 338   Southern Indiana L 69-71 59%     0 - 3 -16.3 -8.7 -7.7
  Nov 16, 2024 169   @ Marshall L 62-83 10%     0 - 4 -18.8 -9.6 -9.2
  Nov 19, 2024 23   @ Louisville L 68-100 1%     0 - 5 -13.3 +1.0 -12.7
  Nov 23, 2024 283   Bowling Green W 80-68 42%     1 - 5 +2.1 +6.5 -4.0
  Nov 30, 2024 225   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-86 14%     1 - 6 -16.7 -0.7 -16.4
  Dec 04, 2024 339   @ Western Carolina L 74-86 38%     1 - 7 -21.0 -2.8 -18.0
  Dec 14, 2024 268   Ball St. L 82-86 38%     1 - 8 -12.8 +11.1 -24.3
  Dec 19, 2024 174   @ Wyoming L 55-92 10%     1 - 9 -35.3 -9.4 -29.8
  Dec 21, 2024 80   @ Colorado L 55-79 3%     1 - 10 -14.1 -11.8 -1.9
  Jan 02, 2025 123   @ North Alabama L 66-82 6%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -10.9 +1.1 -13.8
  Jan 04, 2025 344   @ Central Arkansas L 65-71 40%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -15.6 -9.6 -6.2
  Jan 09, 2025 197   Jacksonville L 59-74 24%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -19.7 -4.2 -17.8
  Jan 11, 2025 276   North Florida L 83-98 39%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -24.2 +5.3 -30.2
  Jan 16, 2025 97   Lipscomb L 53-87 10%     1 - 15 0 - 5 -31.8 -16.5 -17.4
  Jan 18, 2025 195   @ Eastern Kentucky L 69-72 12%     1 - 16 0 - 6 -2.2 +0.9 -3.4
  Jan 23, 2025 185   Florida Gulf Coast L 61-77 23%     1 - 17 0 - 7 -20.2 -7.5 -14.7
  Jan 25, 2025 350   Stetson L 76-81 64%     1 - 18 0 - 8 -20.8 -4.3 -16.7
  Jan 30, 2025 278   @ Austin Peay L 77-86 OT 22%     1 - 19 0 - 9 -12.8 -3.2 -9.0
  Feb 01, 2025 97   @ Lipscomb L 80-87 4%     1 - 20 0 - 10 +0.7 +13.0 -12.6
  Feb 06, 2025 276   @ North Florida L 88-95 21%     1 - 21 0 - 11 -10.7 +1.7 -11.8
  Feb 08, 2025 197   @ Jacksonville L 64-73 12%     1 - 22 0 - 12 -8.2 +0.6 -9.7
  Feb 13, 2025 207   Queens L 87-92 OT 26%     1 - 23 0 - 13 -10.3 +3.9 -13.9
  Feb 15, 2025 348   West Georgia L 76-81 63%     1 - 24 0 - 14 -20.5 -2.1 -18.5
  Feb 18, 2025 278   Austin Peay W 94-68 39%     2 - 24 1 - 14 +16.7 +16.2 +0.4
  Feb 20, 2025 195   Eastern Kentucky W 80-74 24%     3 - 24 2 - 14 +1.3 +5.0 -3.5
  Feb 24, 2025 350   @ Stetson L 67-69 43%     3 - 25 2 - 15 -12.3 -7.8 -4.7
  Feb 26, 2025 185   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 61-80 11%     3 - 26 2 - 16 -17.7 -5.8 -13.9
Projected Record 3 - 26 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%