Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.4 257
Results Rating -7.7 287
Pace 60.4 355
Improvement +3.7 52

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 129 B D+ D+ C- C+
Defense D- 349 D- C- F C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 283 C 58% 170 -1.9 250
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 299 B- 41% 84 -1.2 244
Three Pointers 48% 38 A- 39% 14 +7.7 13
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 147 B +4.1 56
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 56
Second Chance D+ 26.5% 294 C 1.02 193 D+ 0.27 277
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 286
Freethrows C- 0.29 242 C- 71% 227 C- 0.20 243
Total Offense C+ +1.5 129

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 155 D 13.3% 311
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 57 D- 8.0% 331
Three Pointers D+ 81% 261 D+ 1.3% 283
Total B- 60% 81 D+ 6.6% 287

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 144 C 57% 161 +0.4 198
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 185 F 46% 356 +1.6 310
Three Pointers 40% 220 F 40% 364 +3.0 313
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 189 D- +4.8 345
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 332
Second Chance C 30.3% 176 D+ 1.08 261 C- 0.33 227
Turnovers F 12.2% 362
Freethrows C+ 0.28 115 C- 73% 215 C+ 0.21 121
Total Defense D- -6.9 349

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 50 C 10.9% 174
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 16% 30 F+ 0.9% 359
Three Pointers B- 81% 102 C 0.8% 175
Total B 50% 67 C- 4.9% 232

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 345 17.3 193
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 355 0.15 119
Improvement +0.8 #146 +2.9 #48

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 280 256 225
Results Rating Rank 308 281 244
Conference Record 8 - 10 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 13% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 16% 29% 3%
.500 or above in Conference 93% 100% 85%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four9% 8% 9%
First Round8% 10% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 413 - 915 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 292 @Northeastern W 76 - 75 OT 47% -2  31% 1 - 0 C- -4 F+ -8 D- C- F B +5 A- C+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 69 @Northwestern L 52 - 76 7% -18  0% 1 - 1 D- -13 F -10 C+ F F D- -6 F+ B+ F+
 Wed, Nov 12 267 Brown W 90 - 77 64% +14  99% 2 - 1 C+ +4 A+ +23 A+ A+ D F -18 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 15 160 Merrimack L 79 - 91 41% -10  1% 2 - 2 F+ -15 A- +11 A+ C A- F -27 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 203 @Columbia L 49 - 54 28% -12  0% 2 - 3 C- -4 F -18 F F+ A A+ +13 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 22 146 Harvard W 75 - 74 28% -2  16% 3 - 3 C+ +2 B+ +8 A+ C F D -6 F D C-
 Tue, Nov 25 115 @Penn St. L 87 - 96 14% -12  3% 3 - 4 C- -3 A+ +21 A+ B- A F -25 F F F
 Sat, Nov 29 195 @Northern Kentucky L 65 - 74 27% +2  73% 3 - 5 D+ -8 C- -2 B+ D+ F D- -7 A+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 346 @New Hampshire L 82 - 88 OT 67% +6  61% 3 - 6 F+ -16 D+ -3 D B+ D F -12 F C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 343 Maine L 59 - 69 83% -7  0% 3 - 7 F -25 F -12 F B F F -15 F A B-
 Sat, Dec 13 250 @Dartmouth L 64 - 77 37% -9  4% 3 - 8 F+ -15 D- -7 D- D D- F+ -8 F+ B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 311 Umass Lowell W 88 - 76 73% +9  97% 4 - 8 C +0 A +13 A+ A+ F+ F -12 F D+ D-
 Wed, Dec 31 154 @Navy L 77 - 82 21% -5  7% 4 - 9 0 - 1 C- -2 B+ +8 B+ F+ A+ F -10 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 3 253 American L 62 - 64 60% -5  19% 4 - 10 0 - 2 D -10 D -5 F B- A D -5 D- A D-
 Wed, Jan 7 322 @Lafayette W 83 - 67 57% +10  97% 5 - 10 1 - 2 B +9 A- +11 A D+ C+ C -1 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 10 338 Army W 100 - 91 81% +8  88% 6 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -6 A+ +18 A+ D+ D+ F -24 F F+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 307 Lehigh L 91 - 93 OT 73% -6  6% 6 - 11 2 - 3 D- -14 C+ +2 A- F B- F -16 D C F
 Sat, Jan 17 315 @Loyola Maryland L 57 - 74 54% -1  50% 6 - 12 2 - 4 F -23 F -23 F F F C -0 B F F
 Wed, Jan 21 322 Lafayette W 77 - 73 OT 77% -2  27% 7 - 12 3 - 4 D -9 D -5 B- F+ F D+ -4 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 24 244 @Colgate L 79 - 80 OT 35% +3  80% 7 - 13 3 - 5 C- -2 C- -1 A- F D- C -1 D F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 154 Navy L 50 - 58 40% +2  64% 7 - 14 3 - 6 D -11 F -12 D C- F C -1 F A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 330 @Bucknell L 97 - 103 2OT 61% -3  22% 7 - 15 3 - 7 D- -14 A- +11 D+ B- A+ F -25 F F F
 Mon, Feb 2 327 @Holy Cross W 72 - 64 59% +3  85% 8 - 15 4 - 7 C +0 B +7 A F B- D -5 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 315 Loyola Maryland W 78 - 69 75% +6  85% 9 - 15 5 - 7 C- -3 D+ -4 B C- F C+ +1 D- A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 338 @Army W 85 - 68 63% +10  92% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B +8 A+ +15 A+ F C D+ -4 B F F
 Sat, Feb 14 330 Bucknell W 82 - 69 80% +10  93% 11 - 15 7 - 7 C -1 B +7 A- C- D- D- -7 F B+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 244 Colgate W 85 - 58 58% +14  99% 12 - 15 8 - 7 A +20 A+ +24 A A+ B+ C+ +2 A+ F+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 307 @Lehigh W 72 - 71 50%
 Wed, Feb 25 327 Holy Cross W 76 - 68 79%
 Sat, Feb 28 253 @American L 71 - 74 38%
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -5 C+ +1 A+ B C+ D- -7 A- C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C B- A- B 35% 27% 48% C+ B D+ C D+ D+ C- C- C- D- C F F D- 40% 20% 40% C D- C D+ C- F C+ C- C+
1.11 58% 41% 39% +4 0 1.11 27% 1.0 .27 18% .29 71% .20 1.18 57% 46% 40% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.1 .33 12% .28 73% .21
Nov
3		 Northeastern F+ B+ A+ F D- 38% 14% 48% C+ D- C D C- F C D+ C- B B+ C A+ A 54% 15% 31% D- A- D+ A- C+ C F C- F
1.02 68% 57% 25% 0 +1 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 21% .34 70% .24 1.01 52% 38% 24% -8 +2 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 17% .42 69% .29
Nov
7		 Northwestern F D F A+ B- 30% 30% 40% D- C+ B F F F F C F D- F F+ C- F 35% 33% 33% A F+ D A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+
0.86 50% 14% 47% -1 -2 0.96 38% 0.1 .05 23% .15 71% .11 1.26 78% 47% 35% +10 -2 1.19 33% 0.9 .30 8% .24 54% .13
Nov
12		 Brown A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% B- A+ A A+ A+ D B A+ A+ F F A+ C- F 31% 19% 50% B D- C- F F F F F F
1.41 75% 33% 48% +16 +1 1.36 41% 1.8 .73 20% .37 89% .33 1.20 73% 22% 33% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.6 .45 14% .42 83% .35
Nov
15		 Merrimack A- A B A+ A+ 27% 20% 53% D+ A+ F A+ C A- C F D+ F D+ A+ F F 33% 13% 53% B- F F C F C+ B F C+
1.23 67% 44% 42% +10 -1 1.20 25% 1.6 .41 16% .35 63% .22 1.41 60% 17% 67% +24 +1 1.51 35% 1.0 .35 17% .30 88% .26
Nov
18		 Columbia F F F F F 59% 8% 33% A+ F D F F+ A C- D- D+ A+ A F B- A- 51% 7% 42% F B A A+ A+ C+ A F+ B+
0.82 47% 0% 12% -21 +3 0.67 25% 0.7 .18 8% .29 69% .20 0.91 45% 67% 33% -5 +3 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 22% .19 78% .15
Nov
22		 Harvard B+ A A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 47% C A+ F A+ C F F F F D F B D F 40% 18% 42% C F A+ F D C- A B- A
1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08 1.16 80% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13
Nov
25		 Penn St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 13% 65% C A+ D+ A+ B- A C+ F+ C F C- F F F 48% 16% 36% D F D F F F F B+ F
1.37 82% 67% 45% +20 0 1.42 25% 1.7 .42 14% .24 69% .16 1.51 62% 71% 44% +12 +1 1.30 33% 1.4 .47 5% .66 70% .46
Nov
29		 Northern Kentucky C- A+ D+ B A- 37% 29% 34% D- B+ D C+ D+ F A- B A D- B A+ A A+ 29% 20% 51% A- A+ F F F C+ F F F
1.04 79% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.18 29% 1.2 .33 26% .41 74% .30 1.19 54% 22% 26% -10 -1 0.80 50% 1.4 .69 18% .47 83% .39
Dec
6		 New Hampshire D+ F F A+ D- 44% 13% 44% B D D- A+ B+ D A F C- F D+ F D+ F 60% 5% 35% F F F A- C- F F A+ D-
1.07 38% 29% 42% -5 +1 0.95 23% 1.7 .40 17% .42 56% .24 1.15 59% 67% 35% +2 +4 1.14 33% 0.8 .25 13% .43 52% .22
Dec
10		 Maine F F A+ F F 27% 4% 69% B F B+ C- B F C+ F C- F D+ F F F 43% 29% 29% B- F D- A+ A B- C+ F D
0.95 42% 50% 23% -16 +1 0.73 44% 1.0 .44 24% .34 63% .21 1.11 61% 50% 58% +15 -1 1.31 24% 0.4 .10 22% .31 80% .25
Dec
13		 Dartmouth D- F+ D D D- 35% 12% 53% C+ D- B+ F D D- B F C- F+ C A- F F 29% 15% 56% C F+ C- A+ B+ F F C+ F
0.97 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.7 .23 15% .31 59% .18 1.17 57% 29% 44% +7 0 1.17 26% 0.8 .19 14% .46 73% .34
Dec
21		 Umass Lowell A A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 20% 33% C A+ C- A+ A+ F+ A+ D A- F D+ F D- F 47% 19% 34% D+ F C+ F D+ D- F+ A+ C
1.35 76% 67% 47% +21 +1 1.44 30% 1.8 .55 17% .37 70% .26 1.16 59% 67% 38% +8 +1 1.19 30% 1.3 .37 17% .39 52% .20
Dec
31		 Navy B+ C A+ C- A- 27% 34% 39% D- B+ F A+ F+ A+ D- A D+ F D D F F 30% 20% 50% C+ F C+ A+ A- F F C F
1.14 60% 58% 32% +6 -3 1.09 13% 1.5 .19 12% .20 83% .17 1.22 62% 44% 45% +11 -1 1.23 29% 0.8 .24 13% .51 73% .38
Jan
3		 American D C- F C- F 27% 18% 55% D+ F D+ A+ B- A D C- D D A F F F+ 39% 20% 41% B- D- A+ A- A D- B- F C
1.05 58% 0% 33% -7 0 0.86 29% 1.3 .37 14% .33 71% .24 1.09 44% 67% 42% +5 0 1.13 14% 0.8 .11 14% .24 83% .20
Jan
7		 Lafayette A- D A+ A+ A+ 38% 29% 33% D+ A C- D D+ C+ D+ C C- C D F A+ C- 52% 16% 32% D C- A A A F B- A+ A
1.26 55% 53% 53% +13 -1 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 14% .26 73% .19 1.02 62% 56% 17% -3 +2 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 8% .26 50% .13
Jan
10		 Army A+ B A+ A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% A- A+ F A+ D+ D+ C A- B F B F F F 31% 16% 53% B+ F C- F F+ F C+ F D
1.46 67% 50% 65% +27 +2 1.60 22% 1.5 .33 16% .36 81% .30 1.33 50% 44% 45% +7 0 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 10% .24 87% .21
Jan
14		 Lehigh C+ C A+ A- B+ 58% 16% 26% A A- F F F B- A A A+ F A- F F D- 35% 27% 38% C+ D A+ F C F D- F F
1.18 58% 67% 40% +7 +2 1.19 18% 0.7 .12 14% .39 81% .32 1.21 48% 50% 43% +5 -1 1.10 9% 2.3 .21 8% .32 87% .28
Jan
17		 Loyola Maryland F F F F F 33% 14% 53% C+ F F F F F C+ A+ A- C C+ D- A+ B 42% 13% 45% C- B C+ F F F F+ A+ D+
0.81 44% 29% 23% -15 0 0.73 22% 0.8 .17 23% .31 88% .28 1.05 55% 43% 25% -7 +1 0.91 26% 1.9 .49 11% .34 62% .21
Jan
21		 Lafayette D C+ A+ C+ C+ 44% 8% 48% A B- F C+ F+ F C- F D D+ C A C C- 44% 13% 44% D+ C- C A+ A F A+ F A+
1.08 61% 50% 36% +4 +2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 20% .28 63% .17 1.02 56% 25% 33% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .12 11% .14 78% .11
Jan
24		 Colgate C- A- A+ F A- 46% 15% 40% B A- F F F D- A+ C+ A+ C A D+ F D- 41% 30% 30% C+ D F C- F B+ A- A+ A
1.09 68% 86% 26% +7 +1 1.19 18% 0.6 .11 18% .45 74% .33 1.10 45% 44% 56% +6 -1 1.13 36% 1.0 .36 19% .20 58% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Navy F F C+ D F+ 44% 13% 44% A D B+ F C- F D F D- C C+ F C F 44% 22% 33% D+ F B A+ A C+ A+ F A+
0.89 47% 40% 29% -8 +1 0.90 36% 0.8 .27 25% .21 67% .14 1.03 55% 70% 33% +5 0 1.13 27% 0.7 .19 20% .04 100% .04
Jan
31		 Bucknell A- B- F C- D 37% 17% 46% B- D+ D+ A+ B- A+ A A A+ F A F F F 39% 24% 37% B F D+ F F F F F F
1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34 1.34 43% 62% 55% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41
Feb
2		 Holy Cross B A+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 36% 36% F A F F+ F B- A+ F B+ D A+ D- F B- 38% 29% 33% C- C+ D F F F A+ C A+
1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23 1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11
Feb
7		 Loyola Maryland D+ F A+ A+ B 30% 9% 62% B- B B F C- F B+ B- B+ C+ F A A+ D- 37% 7% 56% D D- A+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A
1.12 50% 75% 41% +8 +1 1.19 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 78% .27 0.99 86% 25% 25% +2 +2 1.09 12% 0.0 .00 11% .19 58% .11
Feb
11		 Army A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 40% C+ A+ F F F C A+ C- A+ D+ A+ F B B+ 27% 6% 67% C B B- F F F D D D
1.36 82% 75% 47% +25 0 1.52 15% 0.7 .10 14% .49 73% .36 1.09 23% 100% 30% -9 +1 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 11% .29 75% .22
Feb
14		 Bucknell B C- F A+ A 28% 16% 56% C A- A+ F C- D- A+ A+ A+ D- C+ F D+ F 45% 11% 43% F+ F A D B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.26 58% 29% 50% +12 0 1.26 48% 0.7 .33 20% .44 91% .40 1.06 54% 50% 35% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 12% .17 60% .10
Feb
16		 Colgate A+ F+ F A+ A 33% 14% 53% C+ A A A+ A+ B+ F F F C+ A+ B F A+ 34% 30% 36% B A+ D- F F+ F A- F B-
1.48 50% 14% 54% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.8 .71 12% .16 63% .10 1.01 19% 36% 41% -10 -1 0.79 31% 1.2 .36 10% .20 90% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2.4 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.6 28.3 13.5 42.4 3rd
4th 15.9 14.0 29.9 4th
5th 6.1 18.1 24.2 5th
6th 1.1 1.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 7.3 34.6 42.3 15.9 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 15.9% 15.6% 15.6% 15.7 0.0 0.7 1.8 13.4
10-8 42.3% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 0.0 5.3 37.0
9-9 34.6% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 3.1 31.5
8-10 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.5 6.7
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 15.9 88.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 15.7 0.5 27.6 71.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.8%
Lose Out 3.3%