Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#272
Pace61.1#350
Improvement-0.6#231

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#292
First Shot-4.4#302
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#161
Layup/Dunks-4.6#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#98
Freethrows-2.9#335
Improvement-1.8#297

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#221
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks+0.8#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#268
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement+1.2#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 14.1% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 46.5% 56.3% 31.5%
.500 or above in Conference 66.7% 76.3% 52.0%
Conference Champion 16.0% 21.5% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 3.9% 12.5%
First Four7.8% 8.2% 7.1%
First Round8.6% 10.1% 6.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 60.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 31 - 4
Quad 414 - 1216 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 203   Northeastern L 72-80 48%     0 - 1 -13.1 +3.9 -17.6
  Nov 08, 2024 299   @ San Diego L 60-74 46%     0 - 2 -18.6 -4.5 -15.9
  Nov 11, 2024 26   @ UCLA L 40-71 3%     0 - 3 -14.1 -22.5 +9.5
  Nov 16, 2024 274   Dartmouth W 78-50 65%     1 - 3 +18.5 +4.5 +14.9
  Nov 19, 2024 341   Wagner L 58-60 80%     1 - 4 -16.4 -7.5 -9.2
  Nov 23, 2024 243   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 35%     2 - 4 +2.4 -3.7 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2024 280   Howard W 69-62 54%     3 - 4 +0.4 -4.9 +5.9
  Dec 01, 2024 287   Sacred Heart L 65-73 66%     3 - 5 -17.9 -12.8 -5.3
  Dec 07, 2024 236   Albany W 80-74 OT 57%     4 - 5 -1.4 +2.6 -4.1
  Dec 13, 2024 195   @ Merrimack L 61-64 25%     4 - 6 -1.6 +5.0 -7.3
  Dec 21, 2024 142   @ Umass Lowell L 71-83 18%     4 - 7 -8.0 +5.4 -14.7
  Dec 29, 2024 242   @ Maine W 59-56 34%     5 - 7 +1.5 -3.6 +5.5
  Jan 02, 2025 261   @ Lafayette L 46-60 38%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -16.5 -17.4 -1.6
  Jan 05, 2025 317   Army W 71-63 73%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -3.9 -1.2 -2.0
  Jan 08, 2025 258   American W 65-62 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 245   @ Colgate L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 15, 2025 263   Lehigh W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   @ Army W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 291   @ Navy L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 254   Bucknell W 64-61 60%    
  Jan 27, 2025 318   Holy Cross W 70-64 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 314   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 05, 2025 291   Navy W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 318   @ Holy Cross W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 12, 2025 254   @ Bucknell L 61-65 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 245   Colgate W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 19, 2025 314   Loyola Maryland W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 258   @ American L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 263   @ Lehigh L 66-69 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 261   Lafayette W 64-61 60%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.2 5.1 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 16.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 5.8 4.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 5.7 5.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.2 4.0 6.2 1.3 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.9 6.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.4 3.3 0.2 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.3 0.5 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.9 9.5 12.7 15.2 15.4 13.8 10.2 6.8 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 98.7% 1.5    1.4 0.1
14-4 93.7% 3.3    2.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 75.4% 5.1    3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 41.3% 4.2    1.3 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-7 10.2% 1.4    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.0% 16.0 9.2 4.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 48.0% 48.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 37.4% 37.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.5% 31.0% 31.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.0
14-4 3.5% 27.9% 27.9% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 2.5
13-5 6.8% 23.6% 23.6% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 5.2
12-6 10.2% 19.3% 19.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 8.2
11-7 13.8% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.1 2.1 11.6
10-8 15.4% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0 13.4
9-9 15.2% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6 13.6
8-10 12.7% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.0
7-11 9.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 9.1
6-12 5.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 5.8
5-13 3.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 3.1
4-14 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 10.6 87.7 0.0%