Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.6 #258
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 #279
Pace 60.4 #361
Improvement +0.2 #171

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #132 B C C D C
Defense #350 F C F C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #327 1.20 #132 -3.0 #284
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #245 0.78 #135 -0.9 #220
Three Pointers 51% #21 1.12 #49 +7.6 #13
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #86 +3.7 #85
Freethrows 15.0 #298 70% #246 10.6 #288
Second Chance 27.1% #280 1.14 #79 0.31 #204
Turnovers 17.0% #205
Total Offense +1.2 #132

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #160 1.24 #283 -2.3 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #206 0.91 #349 -1.1 #264
Three Pointers 41% #182 1.16 #341 -3.1 #302
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #341 -6.5 #341
Freethrows 17.9 #213 73% #188 13.0 #148
Second Chance 30.4% #165 1.05 #204 0.32 #182
Turnovers 12.2% #359
Total Defense -6.7 #350

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #201 0.5% #205
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.3% #72 12.3% #346
Possession Length 19.6 #354 17.5 #223
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 #362 0.15 #105
Improvement -0.6 #229 +0.8 #131

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 12.9% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 37.5% 42.8% 19.2%
.500 or above in Conference 74.8% 80.6% 54.7%
Conference Champion 5.9% 7.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.4% 7.2%
First Four6.9% 7.0% 6.3%
First Round8.9% 9.7% 6.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 77.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 413 - 1015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 233 @Northeastern W 76 - 75 OT 33%  -2  1 - 0 +0 -4 D+ C- F +4 A+ C C
 Fri, Nov 7 60 @Northwestern L 52 - 76 6%  -18  1 - 1 -12 -8 C+ F F -8 D A F
 Wed, Nov 12 247 Brown W 90 - 77 59%  +14  2 - 1 +5 +27 A+ A+ D- -20 F F F
 Sat, Nov 15 237 Merrimack L 79 - 91 56%  -10  2 - 2 -19 +11 A+ C B+ -31 F F B
 Tue, Nov 18 139 @Columbia L 49 - 54 18%  -12  2 - 3 -1 -13 F C A+ +12 A A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 22 196 Harvard W 75 - 74 37%  -2  3 - 3 -1 +8 A+ C F -10 F D+ D+
 Tue, Nov 25 105 @Penn St. L 87 - 96 12%  -12  3 - 4 -2 +26 A+ B A+ -28 F F F
 Sat, Nov 29 174 @Northern Kentucky L 65 - 74 24%  +2  3 - 5 -7 +1 B+ C F -9 A+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 344 @New Hampshire L 82 - 88 OT 62%  +6  3 - 6 -15 +0 D B D+ -14 F D F
 Wed, Dec 10 339 Maine L 59 - 69 80%  -7  3 - 7 -25 -9 F B F -17 F A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 230 @Dartmouth L 64 - 77 32%  -9  3 - 8 -14 -5 D- D- F -10 D A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 286 Umass Lowell W 88 - 76 66%  +9  4 - 8 +2 +16 A+ A+ F -13 F D F
 Wed, Dec 31 193 @Navy L 77 - 82 27%  -5  4 - 9 0 - 1 -4 +9 B F A+ -13 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 241 American L 62 - 64 57%  -5  4 - 10 0 - 2 -9 -2 F B- A+ -7 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 7 318 @Lafayette W 83 - 67 54%  +10  5 - 10 1 - 2 +10 +12 A+ D C- -2 D A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 330 Army W 76 - 68 78% 
 Wed, Jan 14 320 Lehigh W 74 - 67 75% 
 Sat, Jan 17 336 @Loyola Maryland W 75 - 72 60% 
 Wed, Jan 21 318 Lafayette W 76 - 69 74% 
 Sat, Jan 24 205 @Colgate L 69 - 75 29% 
 Wed, Jan 28 193 Navy L 70 - 71 48% 
 Sat, Jan 31 314 @Bucknell W 70 - 69 52% 
 Mon, Feb 2 326 @Holy Cross W 70 - 68 56% 
 Sat, Feb 7 336 Loyola Maryland W 78 - 69 78% 
 Wed, Feb 11 330 @Army W 73 - 71 57% 
 Sat, Feb 14 314 Bucknell W 73 - 66 73% 
 Mon, Feb 16 205 Colgate L 72 - 73 50% 
 Sat, Feb 21 320 @Lehigh W 71 - 70 54% 
 Wed, Feb 25 326 Holy Cross W 73 - 65 75% 
 Sat, Feb 28 241 @American L 70 - 74 35% 
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -6 +1 B C C -7 F C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.7 4.6 8.1 5.5 1.7 0.1 20.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.5 10.0 5.6 1.3 0.1 24.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.2 6.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 4.7 1.8 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.0 1.5 0.1 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.2 0.1 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.9 7.0 11.5 15.7 17.8 16.0 12.3 8.0 3.8 1.1 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 96.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 85.4% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 54.4% 2.1    1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.1% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0
12-6 6.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 2.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 36.0% 36.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 1.1% 34.7% 34.7% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-4 3.8% 27.1% 27.1% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 2.8
13-5 8.0% 20.9% 20.9% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 6.3
12-6 12.3% 18.2% 18.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 10.0
11-7 16.0% 13.3% 13.3% 15.9 0.2 2.0 13.9
10-8 17.8% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.0 2.0 15.7
9-9 15.7% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.4 14.3
8-10 11.5% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.7 10.8
7-11 7.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 6.8
6-12 3.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 3.8
5-13 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 15.8 88.0 0.0%